Posted on 10/09/2015 5:02:28 PM PDT by VinL
If Americas 58th presidential election validates Ted Cruzs audacious base plus strategy, he will have refuted assumptions about the importance of independent swing voters and the inertia of many missing voters. Critics say his plan for pursuing the Republican nomination precludes winning the presidency. Jason Johnson, Cruzs chief strategist, responds: Im working backward from Election Day, because Cruzs plan for winning the necessary 1,236 convention delegates is an extrapolation from his strategy for winning 270 electoral votes.
All presidential campaigns aspire to favorably change the composition of the electorate. Cruz aims to substantially reconfigure the electorate as it has recently been.
Between George W. Bushs 2000 election and his 2004 reelection, the turnout of non-Hispanic whites increased by an astonishing 10 million. Barack Obama produced a surge of what Johnson calls two-election voters. In 2008, the African American voting rate increased from 2004 while white voting declined slightly; in 2012, African Americans voted at a higher rate than whites.
Florida in 2012, turnout of non-Hispanic whites declined from 2008 even though the eligible voting-age population increased by 864,000. Nationally, the Census Bureaus Thom File writes: The number of non-Hispanic white voters decreased by about 2 million between 2008 and 2012. In the past five elections (1996-2012), their share of eligible voters declined from 79.2 percent to 71.1 percent and their share of the turnout declined from 82.5 percent to 73.7 percent, while the Hispanic and black shares of votes cast increased about four and three percentage...
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
I imagine Cruz's plan was part of his conversation with Trump.
Cruz may have the plan, Trump has the verve. Trump gets to be unorthodox. Cruz has to be excruciatingly orthodox.
I still say that Sen Cruz is the closest candidate to Ronald Reagan that we will see in a long time.
You will get over it. Trump will have a place for Cruz if he wants it.
Hope it works. Cruz is fantastic. Unlike Trump he has proven he can win an election.
Minus the bubbly persona and yeehaw.
Rita, I’m not forcing Cruz on you— -:) but we had that conversation about Hillary winning— and I said Cruz has a plan. I’m sure this plan was likely conveyed to Trump in their conversations.
Anyway, I thought the article might be of interest to you.
excruciatingly orthodox.
************8
Good Lord man, did you read the article?
He sure can get elected Senator.
But what are people expecting out of a Senator vs. out of a President.
Senators tend not to be executive-type people. They’re busy little bees in their hives.
Curious-— are you a conservative or a liberal?
Actually, in a one on one, he’s fun to be around. He has a great sense of humor.
Yeah I did and Will expects Rubio to come charging ahead of Trump.
Let’s hold our hands over our ears and pretend there is no Trump, is the thing this boils down to.
Anyone working in professional services, IT, accounting, nursing, etc, better hope Cruz goes down in flames.
Democrat George Will is a paid flack by Walker and now
anti-American anti-conservative pro-Clinton FOX “News”.
But if he did that in public he’d get killed as a senator.
This is a concern that Trump is blessedly free of.
If I am for Trump, what is Cruz for having secret negations with Trump as you suggest?
His H1B plans don’t seem to be all that considerate of the US workforce, that is to be sure. H1B people can be perfectly fine, I work among them myself, but they also don’t have to be concerned about the country they are working in.
Ping
No, you either didn’t read the article, or failed to comprehend the implications beyond the myopic Cruz/Trump dynamic.
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