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Prediction: Romney 325, Obama 213
The Hill ^ | 11/05/12 08:21 PM ET | Dick Morris

Posted on 11/05/2012 7:10:38 PM PST by Red Steel

Yup. That’s right. A landslide for Romney approaching the magnitude of Obama’s against McCain. That’s my prediction.

On Sunday, we changed our clocks. On Tuesday, we’ll change our president.

Romney will win the states McCain carried in 2008, plus: Florida, Indiana, Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado, Iowa, Ohio, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Minnesota.

In the popular vote, Romney will win by more than 5 points.

The Obama campaign made the following key mistakes:

• It bet the farm on negative ads in swing states. It didn’t realize that Mitt’s convention speech and the three debates would give him the chance to live down the charges and demonstrate — through facts and his demeanor — that they were baseless.

• Obama had no Plan B if the negatives didn’t work. He never really laid in a convincing defense of his record, except to recall the mess that he inherited and to try to make people believe things were better. He had no vision for his second term, except more of same. He never moved to the center — the shift that reelected Bill Clinton.

• Obama drew his list of swing states too narrowly. He did not contemplate that he would be forced to defend Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan or Minnesota and squandered his money contesting unwinnable states like North Carolina. When Romney bypassed Obama’s “firewall” states (like the Germans did the French Maginot Line in World War II), the president had not laid in the necessary prophylactic irradiation of negative ads, and three of the states embraced Romney.

• By focusing on the negative, Obama sacrificed first his personal popularity and then his dignity and presidentiality. No longer was he the hope and the change. He became nothing more than a nasty partisan, throwing epithets at his rival. A president does not let himself be quoted as saying that his opponent is a “bullsh--ter” or that voting is the best “revenge.” Even his dress was wrong. Instead of appearing in a dark suit, he dressed in an open-neck white shirt, trying to be everyman but succeeding only in not looking like a president.

• Since he offered nothing more than a negative campaign and a grab-bag of special-interest pleadings for single women, unions, college kids and minorities, Obama failed to inspire the turnout that he needed. Against Santorum and Gingrich, Obama could have made the case that their prospective presidencies were sufficiently dangerous that liberals and Democrats must rush to the polls to stop them. But against the congenial Romney, the warnings rang hollow.

• In the first debate, Obama was terrible. We’ll likely find out what his excuses are after the polls close. Did he have the flu? Was it the altitude? Had he, as Bob Woodward suggested, just received a dose of bad news? Why did he appear distracted?

• Obama should have gotten the facts out quickly about Benghazi rather than let them drip, drip, drip out over six weeks. He could then have handled the crisis and won points for determination and toughness. Instead, to the very end, he looked like he was covering up the fact of a terrorist attack. Because he was.

• After Sandy, Obama visited New Jersey and surveyed the damage with Gov. Chris Christie (R). He should have stayed on the storm, superintending relief efforts, urging FEMA on, absorbing the lessons of Bush’s failure to cope well with Katrina. Instead, he returned to the partisan wars and the strident speeches in swing states.

None of this should take away from Romney’s brilliant campaign. By staying on the economy and not being tempted into side issues like Libya, Mitt kept the focus where it needed to be and never let up. His campaign’s foray into Pennsylvania, Minnesota and Wisconsin was vital to his chances of victory. More about what Mitt did right in my post-election column on Thursday. But for now, let’s celebrate the new president we are about to elect.


TOPICS: Editorial; Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; dickmorris
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To: Red Steel
I wonder if, in the case of a Romney popular vote victory today, if anyone will take the opportunity to remind the Progressive folk that if their National Popular Vote Bill kicked in today, then 132 of Obama's Electoral Votes would STILL go to Romney. (HI, CA, WA, IL, MD, DC, NJ, MA, and VT) Instead of this predicted 325-213 solid spread for Romney, it would become a 457-81 slaughter. And even worse for them, it could be pointed out, even if Obama found the extra X-million votes to be the popular vote winner, he would gain exactly ZERO Electoral Votes from that very same bill. Their minds will explode, and then they will quickly scream for that bill to be repealed in those 9 states. (The pact is NOT in force today because the signatory states do not yet total half of the available EV's... "only" 25% right now.)

But sadly, this post is irrelevant. I think the Chicago machine is in full force for today and tomorrow, with the help of numerous national and international bodies, and they'll do enough "creative" work to steal yet another one.

81 posted on 11/06/2012 5:24:18 AM PST by Teacher317 ('Tis time to fear when tyrants seem to kiss.)
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To: cherry

Yes, since then Morris said Obama blew it.


82 posted on 11/06/2012 5:50:19 AM PST by tsowellfan (KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!)
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To: Red Steel

I predict a Romney win with 273 EC votes.
Yes it SHOULD be higher, but sadly, it won’t.
Not with all the increases in those on the government dole.


83 posted on 11/06/2012 6:34:57 AM PST by a real Sheila (RYAN/romney 2012)
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To: Kickass Conservative
That reminds me of one of the stories from James Herriot ("All Things Wise And Wonderful").

A young hottie farm girl, whom Tristan takes a fancy too. Standing between them is the veritably named Mr. Mount:

"...a veritable massif of a man towering several inches over six feet. From shoulders like the great buttresses of the fell which overhung his farm rose a beetling cliff of head with craggy outcrops of jaw and cheek and brow. He had the biggest hands I had ever seen—approximately three times the size of my own."

After a number of misadventures, Tristan mentions casually that he would not be dating her anymore.

"Seems her father has forbidden it."

Read the whole thing here at Chapter 30.

Cheers!

84 posted on 11/06/2012 6:35:20 AM PST by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: Red Steel

352/186


85 posted on 11/06/2012 6:44:11 AM PST by CincyRichieRich (Keep your head up and keep moving forward!)
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To: LibLieSlayer

Thanks for posting this. Have been praying all night. I can’t sleep as I am so worried about my country, if Obama manages to steal a win.


86 posted on 11/06/2012 6:44:39 AM PST by pugmama
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To: tsowellfan; cherry
FEMA is always going to be a problem. You don't find highly qualified people lining up to be appointees in that agency ~ and when it comes to the Obama regime they had the smallest number of capable people ever seen. They had a good number of huffers and puffers but no one who has done stuff and knows what to do anywhere.

Obama probably imagined he'd solved the FEMA problem by rounding up a bunch of appointees with even less talent and experience than the ones George H W Bush put in the agency's top jobs ~ but that's not what happened at all.

Best bet is to abolish the national level of the agency and turn it into a funding mechanism for state emergency management agencies.

87 posted on 11/06/2012 7:20:09 AM PST by muawiyah
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To: pugmama

You are not alone... but have faith!

LLS


88 posted on 11/06/2012 8:10:35 AM PST by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: saleman

100% correct. First we have to get rid of Obama. Then our work on keeping Romney on the right path begins.


89 posted on 11/06/2012 8:13:03 AM PST by Personal Responsibility (In times of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act - Orwell)
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To: Signalman

“The traitors in the MSM should be put on trial after the election.”

Just put them out of business by not watching them. Let them be stripped of their camera’s and microphones and forced to become bloggers with 12 readers.


90 posted on 11/06/2012 8:31:43 AM PST by milemark (Wait 'till they get a load of my binders...)
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To: saleman

“Me? Once again I have compromised my principles. Screw it. It ain’t the first time for me.

How about YOU?”

Really?! Okay, here are the choices I’ve had for President since I became eligible to vote:

Bush v Dukakis
Bush v Clinton v Perot
Dole v Clinton v Perot
Bush v Gore
Bush v Kerry
McCain v Obama
Romney v Obama

I missed my chance to vote for Reagan by 2 years. Everyone in their mid 40s and younger has never had the opportunity to vote for a real conservative for President.

I’ve voted for the more conservative man each time. Call it comprimising principles, but imagine what the country would be like if Obama had “inherited” it from Dukakis, Clinton, Gore and Kerry rather than Bush, Clinton and Bush.


91 posted on 11/06/2012 8:45:14 AM PST by milemark (Wait 'till they get a load of my binders...)
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To: Personal Responsibility

“100% correct. First we have to get rid of Obama. Then our work on keeping Romney on the right path begins.”

That’s exactly right. When we win elections (say 2010), one can have the tendency to think, OK, now I can return to my ‘normal’ life, when then is the time to stay engaged in the process. If it’s not clear today - enthusiasm about basic, better principles is what will win electoral success, and restore this once great country.

I would add, given a Romney win, it’s going to still be a really, really rough road ahead with all of the dead we’re under the pile of, and how beholden the economies are to the banksta class that controls us all ultimately with debt based paper (fiat) money (see the Federal Reserve Act of 1913....)


92 posted on 11/06/2012 9:38:13 AM PST by SeattleBruce (Pray 2 Chronicles 7:14! Tea Party like it's 1773! Repeal the Federal Reserve Act of 1913!)
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To: milemark

That’s kida my whole point. The reason that you have had these choices is precisely because the conservative voters fall right in line with the RINOS and vote Republican no matter who the nominee is.

Every single one of these years we have had good, conservative canidates and they always cannibalize each others votes and the RINO wins the nomination. We especially, I think, had several great conservative choices this year. Not perfect...but better than what we got.

I sure don’t know the answer. After I voted for McCain I felt like I had betrayed my principles. And I said “never again”. Well here it is 4 years later and once again here I am.

What’s the definition of insanity?


93 posted on 11/06/2012 9:54:31 AM PST by saleman (!!!!)
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To: saleman
Me? Once again I have compromised my principles. Screw it. It ain’t the first time for me. How about YOU?

No. Never again. I voted my conscience, someone I'm not ashamed to tell the Lord why I voted for him.

94 posted on 11/06/2012 10:47:17 AM PST by mikeus_maximus
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To: Red Steel

Romney 355
0bama 183


95 posted on 11/06/2012 11:02:12 AM PST by Nasher (Mitt Romney just took Obama for a cross country drive strapped to the roof of his car.)
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To: rockybalmon
>>Allow no one to attack your home<<

Not to worry, if history repeats itself, the vunerables will burn their own homes, buisnesses and cars.

96 posted on 11/06/2012 11:44:24 AM PST by servantboy777
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To: Uncle Augie

LOL. If Morris was good at predictions, we’d have President Hillary Clinton defending against Romney in this election after having defeated Giuliani in 2008.


97 posted on 11/06/2012 12:34:58 PM PST by Opinionated Blowhard ("When the people find they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.")
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