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Prediction: Romney 325, Obama 213
The Hill ^ | 11/05/12 08:21 PM ET | Dick Morris

Posted on 11/05/2012 7:10:38 PM PST by Red Steel

Yup. That’s right. A landslide for Romney approaching the magnitude of Obama’s against McCain. That’s my prediction.

On Sunday, we changed our clocks. On Tuesday, we’ll change our president.

Romney will win the states McCain carried in 2008, plus: Florida, Indiana, Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado, Iowa, Ohio, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Minnesota.

In the popular vote, Romney will win by more than 5 points.

The Obama campaign made the following key mistakes:

• It bet the farm on negative ads in swing states. It didn’t realize that Mitt’s convention speech and the three debates would give him the chance to live down the charges and demonstrate — through facts and his demeanor — that they were baseless.

• Obama had no Plan B if the negatives didn’t work. He never really laid in a convincing defense of his record, except to recall the mess that he inherited and to try to make people believe things were better. He had no vision for his second term, except more of same. He never moved to the center — the shift that reelected Bill Clinton.

• Obama drew his list of swing states too narrowly. He did not contemplate that he would be forced to defend Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan or Minnesota and squandered his money contesting unwinnable states like North Carolina. When Romney bypassed Obama’s “firewall” states (like the Germans did the French Maginot Line in World War II), the president had not laid in the necessary prophylactic irradiation of negative ads, and three of the states embraced Romney.

• By focusing on the negative, Obama sacrificed first his personal popularity and then his dignity and presidentiality. No longer was he the hope and the change. He became nothing more than a nasty partisan, throwing epithets at his rival. A president does not let himself be quoted as saying that his opponent is a “bullsh--ter” or that voting is the best “revenge.” Even his dress was wrong. Instead of appearing in a dark suit, he dressed in an open-neck white shirt, trying to be everyman but succeeding only in not looking like a president.

• Since he offered nothing more than a negative campaign and a grab-bag of special-interest pleadings for single women, unions, college kids and minorities, Obama failed to inspire the turnout that he needed. Against Santorum and Gingrich, Obama could have made the case that their prospective presidencies were sufficiently dangerous that liberals and Democrats must rush to the polls to stop them. But against the congenial Romney, the warnings rang hollow.

• In the first debate, Obama was terrible. We’ll likely find out what his excuses are after the polls close. Did he have the flu? Was it the altitude? Had he, as Bob Woodward suggested, just received a dose of bad news? Why did he appear distracted?

• Obama should have gotten the facts out quickly about Benghazi rather than let them drip, drip, drip out over six weeks. He could then have handled the crisis and won points for determination and toughness. Instead, to the very end, he looked like he was covering up the fact of a terrorist attack. Because he was.

• After Sandy, Obama visited New Jersey and surveyed the damage with Gov. Chris Christie (R). He should have stayed on the storm, superintending relief efforts, urging FEMA on, absorbing the lessons of Bush’s failure to cope well with Katrina. Instead, he returned to the partisan wars and the strident speeches in swing states.

None of this should take away from Romney’s brilliant campaign. By staying on the economy and not being tempted into side issues like Libya, Mitt kept the focus where it needed to be and never let up. His campaign’s foray into Pennsylvania, Minnesota and Wisconsin was vital to his chances of victory. More about what Mitt did right in my post-election column on Thursday. But for now, let’s celebrate the new president we are about to elect.


TOPICS: Editorial; Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; dickmorris
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Morris also said on Hannity that Obama has received 10 million less votes for early voting than he got in 2008.
1 posted on 11/05/2012 7:10:38 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

Tomorrow we get to take out the trash.


2 posted on 11/05/2012 7:15:08 PM PST by Farmer Dean (stop worrying about what they want to do to you,start thinking about what you want to do to them)
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Hopefully enough racists in the swing states can be cobbled together to put Romney in the White House./s


3 posted on 11/05/2012 7:15:46 PM PST by RBStealth
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Comment #4 Removed by Moderator

To: Farmer Dean
Tomorrow we get to take out the trash.

Tomorrow we don't just get to flush the turd down the toilet, but we also get our septic tank's SCUM pumped and removed.

5 posted on 11/05/2012 7:19:40 PM PST by C210N ("ask not what the candidate can do for you, ask what you can do for the candidate" (Breitbart, 2012))
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To: Red Steel

Zero’s going to get Romnitized on Tuesday.. BLOWOUT! :)


6 posted on 11/05/2012 7:19:54 PM PST by carlo3b (Less Government, more Fiber..)
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To: Red Steel
to the very end, he looked like he was covering up the fact of a terrorist attack. Because he was.

Bears repeating.

7 posted on 11/05/2012 7:21:33 PM PST by aposiopetic
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To: RBStealth

Don’t forget the bigots, sexists, and homophobes!


8 posted on 11/05/2012 7:21:33 PM PST by Cato in PA (1/26/12: Bloody Thursday)
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To: Red Steel

His total was 69k. how many will he lose on those voting on election day.


9 posted on 11/05/2012 7:21:57 PM PST by Donnafrflorida (Thru HIM all things are possible.)
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To: Red Steel

Obama gambled and lost. He got his base voters to vote early hoping that + the ridiculously oversampled polls would make him look inevitable, and he’d ride it to a win. Wrong. Get out of our house Obama!


10 posted on 11/05/2012 7:23:27 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: Red Steel

so I take it Morris has resumed his Romney landslide bit after scaring us with the Sandy “helps” obammey act....


11 posted on 11/05/2012 7:24:09 PM PST by cherry
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To: Red Steel
But for now, let’s celebrate the new president we are about to elect.

Amen!

12 posted on 11/05/2012 7:24:24 PM PST by Kitty Mittens (To God Be All Excellent Praise!)
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To: Red Steel

Remember: Dick Morris makes millions of dollars a year helping candidates and parties win world-wide. There’s a reason both Trent Lott and Bill Clinton hired him. If he, Michael Barone and Karl Rove say it’s gonna rain, buy a boat.


13 posted on 11/05/2012 7:27:01 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland United States. There would be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: Kitty Mittens

Loving the optimism I’m seeing on FR tonight!


14 posted on 11/05/2012 7:27:35 PM PST by Crooked Constituent
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To: Crooked Constituent

The traitors in the MSM should be put on trial after the election.


15 posted on 11/05/2012 7:31:47 PM PST by Signalman
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To: Red Steel

The biggest and most important election in American history and Barry “Joe Cool” Obama is going to play basketball. The boy just don’t shive a git, does he? That’s been his problem for the past four years.


16 posted on 11/05/2012 7:37:50 PM PST by FlingWingFlyer (Stop the freeloader REVENGE against America! Vote on November 6th!)
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To: Red Steel

Well, great. So I’m gonna hold my nose, again, and vote for the double talking liberal. And I’m not talking about Obama. And all you so called conservatives better be there beside me holding him accountable. If Romney does win then he better not be cut any slack here. Even less slack than Obama. Cause you have all drank the Romney Kool-aid.

Me? Once again I have compromised my principles. Screw it. It ain’t the first time for me.

How about YOU?


17 posted on 11/05/2012 7:38:04 PM PST by saleman (!!!!)
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To: Crooked Constituent
Too much optimism, someone better put a stop to it.


18 posted on 11/05/2012 7:39:11 PM PST by HerrBlucher (Praise to the Lord the Almighty the King of Creation)
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To: Signalman
Caught a glimpse of MSNBC while channel surfing. Who is the skanky looking brunette on O'Donnell's show? Her top lip curls up like she just smelled a fart (or fish).

They were godafying Silver's polling analysis while making fun of Limbaugh. Useless idiots

19 posted on 11/05/2012 7:40:42 PM PST by gov_bean_ counter (Hope and Change has become Attack and Obfuscate.)
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To: Red Steel

I really hope so. Voting tomorrow in North Carolina, my wife and I are doing our part to to bring change to the white house.


20 posted on 11/05/2012 7:40:53 PM PST by VelcroRaptor
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To: Crooked Constituent
Loving the optimism I’m seeing on FR tonight!

Yes!!

The 4-year Obama Nightmare is about to end!

21 posted on 11/05/2012 7:45:36 PM PST by Kitty Mittens (To God Be All Excellent Praise!)
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To: All


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22 posted on 11/05/2012 7:46:38 PM PST by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: Farmer Dean


23 posted on 11/05/2012 7:46:52 PM PST by garjog (We do not want another four more years of the last four years.)
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To: Red Steel

GOD I can hardly wait until tomorrow. We’re actually going to vote the bastard out!!!


24 posted on 11/05/2012 7:49:45 PM PST by Marathoner (If the bastard were to win reelection, let America burn. IDGAF anymore.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Actually Morris no longer makes money helping candidates and the last time he really was a factor was with Clinton as an advisor beginning in 1994. Romney can still win and I would love for the media complex to be deeply embarrassed by a Romney win, but having Morris on our side makes me nervous. He has almost always been wrong ever since he told us that Hillary would not even run for Senate in New York.


25 posted on 11/05/2012 7:49:47 PM PST by Uncle Augie
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To: Red Steel

I wish I had this kind of confidence. I think because the downside risk is so great, I’m worried sick. Really.


26 posted on 11/05/2012 7:49:57 PM PST by muir_redwoods (Don't fire until you see the blue of their helmets)
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To: FlingWingFlyer
The biggest and most important election in American history and Barry “Joe Cool” Obama is going to play basketball. The boy just don’t shive a git, does he?

Good! Maybe he can try out for the NBA after tomorrow.

27 posted on 11/05/2012 7:52:07 PM PST by Marathoner (If the bastard were to win reelection, let America burn. IDGAF anymore.)
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To: Red Steel
We will collectively wipe our posteriors with obama tomorrow!

LLS

28 posted on 11/05/2012 7:53:07 PM PST by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: muir_redwoods
I wish I had this kind of confidence. I think because the downside risk is so great, I’m worried sick. Really.

You are not the only one. I'm excited but nervous at the same time.
29 posted on 11/05/2012 7:54:31 PM PST by FL911
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To: gov_bean_ counter

That is mslsd... you saw all they have and all that they are. There is nothing else below the surface.

LLS


30 posted on 11/05/2012 7:56:28 PM PST by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: FL911

I uunderstand your angst. Try to relax. Tomorrow will be big!


31 posted on 11/05/2012 7:57:02 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: Red Steel

Prediction: Romney sweeps all 50 states (based on what an old man selling veggies at a roadside stand in Georgia told me). I believe him.


32 posted on 11/05/2012 7:57:13 PM PST by JouleZ (You are the company you keep.)
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To: muir_redwoods

“An anxious heart weighs a man down, but a kind word cheers him up” (Proverbs 12:25, NIV).

“I sought the LORD, and he heard me, and delivered me from all my fears” (Psalm 34:4).

“Do not be anxious about anything, but in everything, by prayer and petition, with thanksgiving, present your requests to God. And the peace of God, which transcends all understanding, will guard your hearts and your minds in Christ Jesus” (Philippians 4:6-7).

“Humble yourselves, therefore, under God’s mighty hand, that he may lift you up in due time. Cast all your anxiety on him because he cares for you” (1 Peter 5:6-7) (Also see Psalm 55:22-23)

“Then Jesus said to his disciples: ‘Therefore I tell you, do not worry about your life, what you will eat; or about your body, what you will wear. Life is more than food, and the body more than clothes. Consider the ravens: They do not sow or reap, they have no storeroom or barn; yet God feeds them. And how much more valuable you are than birds! Who of you by worrying can add a single hour to his life? Since you cannot do this very little thing, why do you worry about the rest?’” (Luke 12:22-26, NIV). (Also see Matthew 6:25-34)

“Why are you downcast, O my soul? Why so disturbed within me? Put your hope in God, for I will yet praise him, my Savior and my God” (Psalm 42:5).

“Trust in the LORD with all your heart and lean not on your own understanding; in all your ways acknowledge him, and he will make your paths straight. Do not be wise in your own eyes; fear the LORD and shun evil. This will bring health to your body and nourishment to your bones” (Proverbs 3:5-8).

“…the Spirit helps us in our weakness. We do not know what we ought to pray for, but the Spirit himself intercedes for us with groans that words cannot express. And he who searches our hearts knows the mind of the Spirit, because the Spirit intercedes for the saints in accordance with God’s will. And we know that in all things God works for the good of those who love him, who have been called according to his purpose” (Romans 8:26-28).

“And my God will meet all your needs according to his glorious riches in Christ Jesus” (Philippians 4:19).

“I can do everything through him who gives me strength” (Philippians 4:13).

The apostle Paul found his strength in God, He reminds us that, “I …have …been in prison …frequently, been flogged …severely, and been exposed to death again and again. Five times I received from the Jews the forty lashes minus one. Three times I was beaten with rods, once I was stoned, three times I was shipwrecked, I spent a night and a day in the open sea, I have been constantly on the move. I have been in danger from rivers, in danger from bandits, in danger from my own countrymen, in danger from Gentiles; in danger in the city, in danger in the country, in danger at sea; and in danger from false brothers. …I have known hunger and thirst and have often gone without food; I have been cold and naked. …Who is weak, and I do not feel weak? Who is led into sin, and I do not inwardly burn? If I must boast, I will boast of the things that show my weakness. …I will not boast about myself, except about my weaknesses. …[God] said to me, ‘My grace is sufficient for you, for my power is made perfect in weakness.’ Therefore I will boast all the more gladly about my weaknesses, so that Christ’s power may rest on me. That is why, for Christ’s sake, I delight in weaknesses, in insults, in hardships, in persecutions, in difficulties. For when I am weak, then I am strong” (2 Corinthians 11:23-12:10).

“So we say with confidence, ‘The Lord is my helper; I will not be afraid. What can man do to me?’” (Hebrews 13:6).

“…put your hope in the LORD both now and forevermore.” (Psalm 131:1)


33 posted on 11/05/2012 7:59:39 PM PST by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: RBStealth

Racist? What planet are you living on, the racist are all in Obama’s camp...


34 posted on 11/05/2012 8:02:20 PM PST by Monorprise
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To: Monorprise

Sigh! I see that sometimes including a so-called sarcasm tag is not enough. How about a laugh track?


35 posted on 11/05/2012 8:05:49 PM PST by Revolting cat! (Bad things are wrong! Ice cream is delicious!)
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To: Red Steel

Wow 10 Million less. That is a lot. I missed Hannity tonight so didn’t hear that. Good news.


36 posted on 11/05/2012 8:07:18 PM PST by Qwackertoo (Romney/Ryan 2012 The Future of Our Children and Their Children are at stake.)
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To: Red Steel; a fool in paradise; Slings and Arrows
Dude, I'm more nervous than Nervous Norvus!


37 posted on 11/05/2012 8:08:05 PM PST by Revolting cat! (Bad things are wrong! Ice cream is delicious!)
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To: carlo3b

From your lips to God’s ears.


38 posted on 11/05/2012 8:08:55 PM PST by Gator113 (I would have voted for NEWT, now it's Romney & Ryan.~Just livin' life, my way~)
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To: cherry

Sandy did help Obama. Instead of losing by 5-7% nationally, he’s going to lose by 2-4.


39 posted on 11/05/2012 8:12:54 PM PST by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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To: Red Steel
For Romney to win he has to do as well as McCain AND Obama has to be down 10 million votes.

1928 Herbert Hoover crushed Al Smith in an incredible landslide ~ then, in 1932 Franklin Roosevelt crushed Herbert Hoover in an incredible landslide.

I proposed that as a model for this election ~ that Obama would be crushed ~ one way or the other, but it would be big ~ which is why we could have run Michelle Bachmann or her husband, or maybe even Mitch Daniels ~ and won in a landslide.

40 posted on 11/05/2012 8:13:10 PM PST by muawiyah
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“..... say it’s gonna rain, buy a boat.”

LOL.... I am old enough that I should have heard that before, but it’s new to me and I love it.


41 posted on 11/05/2012 8:13:13 PM PST by Gator113 (I would have voted for NEWT, now it's Romney & Ryan.~Just livin' life, my way~)
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To: saleman

19 hours 50 minutes CUT ‘ER LOOSE ~ we will really need to start tossing some logs in the way


42 posted on 11/05/2012 8:14:49 PM PST by muawiyah
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To: Red Steel

we will see. There is no way Romney does all that and carries both Ohio and PA. I would be delighted to be proven wrong but my prediction is that Obama wins this thing. There are just too many non taxpayers that want Obama-phones and free money from rich people


43 posted on 11/05/2012 8:20:31 PM PST by plain talk
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To: muawiyah

“19 hrs 50 minutes CUT ‘ER LOOSE ~ we will really need to start tossing some logs in the way”

I’m not exactly sure what that means but I am voting for the liberal. The communist, I hope he dies a slow and painful death. But, I’ve been entirely too good lately and I feel like I need to do something that will make me feel dirty in the morning.


44 posted on 11/05/2012 8:26:06 PM PST by saleman (!!!!)
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To: saleman

Oh well, maybe you never really had any principles. Get over it. It’s OK.


45 posted on 11/05/2012 8:26:19 PM PST by Henry Hnyellar
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To: Henry Hnyellar

Oh, I got principles. I just don’t follow them a whole lot. It’s a damn good thing that God is a forgiving God.


46 posted on 11/05/2012 8:32:06 PM PST by saleman (!!!!)
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To: saleman

Better Mitt Romney than a Marxist Muslim anti- Christian anti-American gun-grabbing Kenyan Keynesian!


47 posted on 11/05/2012 8:33:28 PM PST by ZULU (See video: http://gatesofvienna.blogspot.com/2012/09/the-first-siege-of-vienna.html)
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To: ZULU
Yea well....I'll give you a Marxist Muslim gun grabber....and give you a Liberal, Mormon (not that there is anything wrong with that), gun grabber. And raise you a Massachusetts, Ted Kennedy Obama Care.
48 posted on 11/05/2012 8:37:38 PM PST by saleman (!!!!)
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To: saleman

Look, I gotta go to bed pretty soon. Isn’t anyone gonna call me a Mormon hater?

Anyone?

Hope ya’ll feel happy with yourselves. I just feel used like a 14yo girl after the prom. Way after. Like you were supposed to be home at 12 but the car ran out of gas and we couldn’t find anyone to help us and I’m sorry I got home at six in the morning used.

So, anyway I’m gonna vote in the morning and I’m voting for Romney. I sure would feel better if the Republican establishment used a condom. But, 12 hrs of sleep and it’ll all be OK!


49 posted on 11/05/2012 8:58:02 PM PST by saleman (!!!!)
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To: saleman

Trust me. I feel your pain
But definitely the lesser of two evils.


50 posted on 11/05/2012 9:05:22 PM PST by ZULU (See video: http://gatesofvienna.blogspot.com/2012/09/the-first-siege-of-vienna.html)
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