Skip to comments.Prediction: Romney 325, Obama 213
Posted on 11/05/2012 7:10:38 PM PST by Red Steel
Yup. Thats right. A landslide for Romney approaching the magnitude of Obamas against McCain. Thats my prediction.
On Sunday, we changed our clocks. On Tuesday, well change our president.
Romney will win the states McCain carried in 2008, plus: Florida, Indiana, Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado, Iowa, Ohio, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Minnesota.
In the popular vote, Romney will win by more than 5 points.
The Obama campaign made the following key mistakes:
It bet the farm on negative ads in swing states. It didnt realize that Mitts convention speech and the three debates would give him the chance to live down the charges and demonstrate through facts and his demeanor that they were baseless.
Obama had no Plan B if the negatives didnt work. He never really laid in a convincing defense of his record, except to recall the mess that he inherited and to try to make people believe things were better. He had no vision for his second term, except more of same. He never moved to the center the shift that reelected Bill Clinton.
Obama drew his list of swing states too narrowly. He did not contemplate that he would be forced to defend Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan or Minnesota and squandered his money contesting unwinnable states like North Carolina. When Romney bypassed Obamas firewall states (like the Germans did the French Maginot Line in World War II), the president had not laid in the necessary prophylactic irradiation of negative ads, and three of the states embraced Romney.
By focusing on the negative, Obama sacrificed first his personal popularity and then his dignity and presidentiality. No longer was he the hope and the change. He became nothing more than a nasty partisan, throwing epithets at his rival. A president does not let himself be quoted as saying that his opponent is a bullsh--ter or that voting is the best revenge. Even his dress was wrong. Instead of appearing in a dark suit, he dressed in an open-neck white shirt, trying to be everyman but succeeding only in not looking like a president.
Since he offered nothing more than a negative campaign and a grab-bag of special-interest pleadings for single women, unions, college kids and minorities, Obama failed to inspire the turnout that he needed. Against Santorum and Gingrich, Obama could have made the case that their prospective presidencies were sufficiently dangerous that liberals and Democrats must rush to the polls to stop them. But against the congenial Romney, the warnings rang hollow.
In the first debate, Obama was terrible. Well likely find out what his excuses are after the polls close. Did he have the flu? Was it the altitude? Had he, as Bob Woodward suggested, just received a dose of bad news? Why did he appear distracted?
Obama should have gotten the facts out quickly about Benghazi rather than let them drip, drip, drip out over six weeks. He could then have handled the crisis and won points for determination and toughness. Instead, to the very end, he looked like he was covering up the fact of a terrorist attack. Because he was.
After Sandy, Obama visited New Jersey and surveyed the damage with Gov. Chris Christie (R). He should have stayed on the storm, superintending relief efforts, urging FEMA on, absorbing the lessons of Bushs failure to cope well with Katrina. Instead, he returned to the partisan wars and the strident speeches in swing states.
None of this should take away from Romneys brilliant campaign. By staying on the economy and not being tempted into side issues like Libya, Mitt kept the focus where it needed to be and never let up. His campaigns foray into Pennsylvania, Minnesota and Wisconsin was vital to his chances of victory. More about what Mitt did right in my post-election column on Thursday. But for now, lets celebrate the new president we are about to elect.
Tomorrow we get to take out the trash.
Hopefully enough racists in the swing states can be cobbled together to put Romney in the White House./s
Tomorrow we don't just get to flush the turd down the toilet, but we also get our septic tank's SCUM pumped and removed.
Zero’s going to get Romnitized on Tuesday.. BLOWOUT! :)
Don’t forget the bigots, sexists, and homophobes!
His total was 69k. how many will he lose on those voting on election day.
Obama gambled and lost. He got his base voters to vote early hoping that + the ridiculously oversampled polls would make him look inevitable, and he’d ride it to a win. Wrong. Get out of our house Obama!
so I take it Morris has resumed his Romney landslide bit after scaring us with the Sandy “helps” obammey act....
Remember: Dick Morris makes millions of dollars a year helping candidates and parties win world-wide. Theres a reason both Trent Lott and Bill Clinton hired him. If he, Michael Barone and Karl Rove say its gonna rain, buy a boat.
Loving the optimism I’m seeing on FR tonight!
The traitors in the MSM should be put on trial after the election.
The biggest and most important election in American history and Barry “Joe Cool” Obama is going to play basketball. The boy just don’t shive a git, does he? That’s been his problem for the past four years.
Well, great. So I’m gonna hold my nose, again, and vote for the double talking liberal. And I’m not talking about Obama. And all you so called conservatives better be there beside me holding him accountable. If Romney does win then he better not be cut any slack here. Even less slack than Obama. Cause you have all drank the Romney Kool-aid.
Me? Once again I have compromised my principles. Screw it. It ain’t the first time for me.
How about YOU?
They were godafying Silver's polling analysis while making fun of Limbaugh. Useless idiots
I really hope so. Voting tomorrow in North Carolina, my wife and I are doing our part to to bring change to the white house.
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GOD I can hardly wait until tomorrow. We’re actually going to vote the bastard out!!!
Actually Morris no longer makes money helping candidates and the last time he really was a factor was with Clinton as an advisor beginning in 1994. Romney can still win and I would love for the media complex to be deeply embarrassed by a Romney win, but having Morris on our side makes me nervous. He has almost always been wrong ever since he told us that Hillary would not even run for Senate in New York.
I wish I had this kind of confidence. I think because the downside risk is so great, I’m worried sick. Really.
Good! Maybe he can try out for the NBA after tomorrow.
That is mslsd... you saw all they have and all that they are. There is nothing else below the surface.
I uunderstand your angst. Try to relax. Tomorrow will be big!
Prediction: Romney sweeps all 50 states (based on what an old man selling veggies at a roadside stand in Georgia told me). I believe him.
An anxious heart weighs a man down, but a kind word cheers him up (Proverbs 12:25, NIV).
I sought the LORD, and he heard me, and delivered me from all my fears (Psalm 34:4).
Do not be anxious about anything, but in everything, by prayer and petition, with thanksgiving, present your requests to God. And the peace of God, which transcends all understanding, will guard your hearts and your minds in Christ Jesus (Philippians 4:6-7).
Humble yourselves, therefore, under Gods mighty hand, that he may lift you up in due time. Cast all your anxiety on him because he cares for you (1 Peter 5:6-7) (Also see Psalm 55:22-23)
Then Jesus said to his disciples: Therefore I tell you, do not worry about your life, what you will eat; or about your body, what you will wear. Life is more than food, and the body more than clothes. Consider the ravens: They do not sow or reap, they have no storeroom or barn; yet God feeds them. And how much more valuable you are than birds! Who of you by worrying can add a single hour to his life? Since you cannot do this very little thing, why do you worry about the rest? (Luke 12:22-26, NIV). (Also see Matthew 6:25-34)
Why are you downcast, O my soul? Why so disturbed within me? Put your hope in God, for I will yet praise him, my Savior and my God (Psalm 42:5).
Trust in the LORD with all your heart and lean not on your own understanding; in all your ways acknowledge him, and he will make your paths straight. Do not be wise in your own eyes; fear the LORD and shun evil. This will bring health to your body and nourishment to your bones (Proverbs 3:5-8).
the Spirit helps us in our weakness. We do not know what we ought to pray for, but the Spirit himself intercedes for us with groans that words cannot express. And he who searches our hearts knows the mind of the Spirit, because the Spirit intercedes for the saints in accordance with Gods will. And we know that in all things God works for the good of those who love him, who have been called according to his purpose (Romans 8:26-28).
And my God will meet all your needs according to his glorious riches in Christ Jesus (Philippians 4:19).
I can do everything through him who gives me strength (Philippians 4:13).
The apostle Paul found his strength in God, He reminds us that, I have been in prison frequently, been flogged severely, and been exposed to death again and again. Five times I received from the Jews the forty lashes minus one. Three times I was beaten with rods, once I was stoned, three times I was shipwrecked, I spent a night and a day in the open sea, I have been constantly on the move. I have been in danger from rivers, in danger from bandits, in danger from my own countrymen, in danger from Gentiles; in danger in the city, in danger in the country, in danger at sea; and in danger from false brothers. I have known hunger and thirst and have often gone without food; I have been cold and naked. Who is weak, and I do not feel weak? Who is led into sin, and I do not inwardly burn? If I must boast, I will boast of the things that show my weakness. I will not boast about myself, except about my weaknesses. [God] said to me, My grace is sufficient for you, for my power is made perfect in weakness. Therefore I will boast all the more gladly about my weaknesses, so that Christs power may rest on me. That is why, for Christs sake, I delight in weaknesses, in insults, in hardships, in persecutions, in difficulties. For when I am weak, then I am strong (2 Corinthians 11:23-12:10).
So we say with confidence, The Lord is my helper; I will not be afraid. What can man do to me? (Hebrews 13:6).
put your hope in the LORD both now and forevermore. (Psalm 131:1)
Racist? What planet are you living on, the racist are all in Obama’s camp...
Sigh! I see that sometimes including a so-called sarcasm tag is not enough. How about a laugh track?
Wow 10 Million less. That is a lot. I missed Hannity tonight so didn’t hear that. Good news.
From your lips to God’s ears.
Sandy did help Obama. Instead of losing by 5-7% nationally, he’s going to lose by 2-4.
1928 Herbert Hoover crushed Al Smith in an incredible landslide ~ then, in 1932 Franklin Roosevelt crushed Herbert Hoover in an incredible landslide.
I proposed that as a model for this election ~ that Obama would be crushed ~ one way or the other, but it would be big ~ which is why we could have run Michelle Bachmann or her husband, or maybe even Mitch Daniels ~ and won in a landslide.
“..... say its gonna rain, buy a boat.”
LOL.... I am old enough that I should have heard that before, but it’s new to me and I love it.
19 hours 50 minutes CUT ‘ER LOOSE ~ we will really need to start tossing some logs in the way
we will see. There is no way Romney does all that and carries both Ohio and PA. I would be delighted to be proven wrong but my prediction is that Obama wins this thing. There are just too many non taxpayers that want Obama-phones and free money from rich people
“19 hrs 50 minutes CUT ER LOOSE ~ we will really need to start tossing some logs in the way”
I’m not exactly sure what that means but I am voting for the liberal. The communist, I hope he dies a slow and painful death. But, I’ve been entirely too good lately and I feel like I need to do something that will make me feel dirty in the morning.
Oh well, maybe you never really had any principles. Get over it. It’s OK.
Oh, I got principles. I just don’t follow them a whole lot. It’s a damn good thing that God is a forgiving God.
Better Mitt Romney than a Marxist Muslim anti- Christian anti-American gun-grabbing Kenyan Keynesian!
Look, I gotta go to bed pretty soon. Isn’t anyone gonna call me a Mormon hater?
Hope ya’ll feel happy with yourselves. I just feel used like a 14yo girl after the prom. Way after. Like you were supposed to be home at 12 but the car ran out of gas and we couldn’t find anyone to help us and I’m sorry I got home at six in the morning used.
So, anyway I’m gonna vote in the morning and I’m voting for Romney. I sure would feel better if the Republican establishment used a condom. But, 12 hrs of sleep and it’ll all be OK!
Trust me. I feel your pain
But definitely the lesser of two evils.