Posted on 11/03/2012 12:01:17 AM PDT by GonzoII
Michael Barone is Americas one man decision desk, with credibility on elections far beyond that of anyone else working the field in America today.
Which is why Michaels bold Washington Examiner column from yesterday cut through all the spin from Chicago and all the blather from MSNBC, and struck President Obama supporters in their gut.
Barone, having surveyed all the polling data from every source and all the early voting numbers from all the states, sees Mitt Romney rolling up 315 Electoral College votes, including the states of Ohio, Virginia, Florida, Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania!
Other evidence is rolling in to back up Barones prediction, most especially the not-friendly-to-Romney Washington Post tracking poll which put the governor a point ahead of the president on Friday night, a post-Sandy sign of a momentum swing towards Romney.
He who surges last surges best in a presidential campaign, and it appears that Romney has indeed caught the last big wave.
Romneys amazing closing argument speech in Wisconsin yesterday is the sort of performance that flows from a candidate who knows he is winning. The enormous crowds that are greeting Romney and his running mate Paul Ryan wherever they travel tell the same story, and the pictures from this afternoons rally at Fiddlers Green in Colorado promise to send the same message.
If Romney delivers a blowout rally in Pennsylvania Sunday a shocked political establishment will look up from Nate Silvers model and begin to realize that they have missed something big.
The Hills A.B. Stoddard speculated on the Fox News Channel Friday afternoon that the aftermath of Sandy has resulted in spreading dismay which is further dampening an already depressed American spirit, thus increasing the desire for a change and what Romney calls a fresh start.
Indeed, the suffering and misery from New Jersey and New York do underscore how tough the country has had it for the past four years, just as the new unemployment number did Friday morning.
That 7.9% number is higher than when President Obama took office, a definitive declaration of failure on the economic front, one that reminds us of the presidents one term proposition, prediction of years ago.
Even as the legions of the presidents enthusiastic supporters have melted away, new armies of energized Roman Catholics and Evangelicals are mobilizing across the country to defend their religious freedom, under direct assault from the president and his team of ideologues at HHS. They are joined by small businessmen and women from across the nation who have had it with mandates and rules, a mind-number tidal wave of regulatory overkill that is driving them down.
Adding to the motivation of the anti-Obama vote is simmering anger with the Manhattan-Beltway media elites obvious double standard, their near-uniform commitment to keep the president safe from scrutiny on issues from Benghazi to Fast and Furious. The White House press corps, with a few noble exceptions, has become a palace guard, and voters know this and deeply resent the media messengers who have circled their network wagons around the president they invested in so deeply four years ago.
When Romney took the stage in Wisconsin yesterday, he was joined by Bart Starr, a man understood to be a winner not just in Wisconsin but across the country. (The video of the speech is at HughHewitt.com.) Romney isnt easing off anymore than Starr did when Lombardi prowled the sidelines. He and Ryan are closing strong, and hope by doing so to bring along an increased GOP majority in the House and a Senate under the leadership of Mitch McConnell.
To accomplish this last thing they will need the help of voters in Indiana rallying to Richard Mourdock, the latest target of a media obsessed with abortion rights absolutism even as the country struggles to avoid the fiscal cliff.
They will especially need Ohio voters to pull the lever not just for Romney and Ryan but also for the states treasurer Josh Mandel, a Marine Corps combat veteran and a rising star who could bring vigor to a Senate much in need of energy and a long-range vision.
As Barones conclusions make clear, the momentum is with Mitt, and thus the country has a real chance for the fresh start it so desperately needs.
“I can predict that Republicans are going to get a landslide too, and I solely base my study on the fact that Nancy Pelosi is no longer running her slobbering mouth.”
That’s interesting. I’m cautiously optimistic Mitt will win, because I can’t believe there are nearly enough voters who want four more years of this economic stagnation while the left’s pet causes (environmentalists, homosexuals, etc.) are the sole focus of this administration. Unemployment and inflation, while buried by Obama’s media, are kicking most Americans in the teeth; it is impossible to conceal, and should suffice for a Romney win.
compare that pictures to obamas rallies. they always have mostly college kids. (brainwashed, i assume)
I can predict that Republicans are going to get a landslide too, and I solely base my study on the fact that Nancy Pelosi is no longer running her slobbering mouth.
well, we have to elect romney, to know what he’s about.
Yes, I want Harry to howl this at the moon. I want every voter well aware that for us to clean up after this Obamanation, we need a Republican senate.
It’s easy to understand why Fox News is saying “too close to call” 24/7. A blowout does not drive ratings! And it is a for profit organization.
Probably the there are higher ratings in “too close to call” than in “Mitt Avalanche”.
“Even as the legions of the presidents enthusiastic supporters have melted away, new armies of energized Roman Catholics and Evangelicals are mobilizing across the country to defend their religious freedom, under direct assault from the president and his team of ideologues at HHS”
Something has been going on here... something unprecedented. I think I know what it is. At least I know that when I think hard about this election and the evil that must be defeated... and when I pray over it... I am filled with the Holy Spirit. What I mean is that I can feel the power of GOD at work. Maybe I am crazy but I do think our prayers are being heard and I think GOD has found enough good souls left here in America to warrant our saving. Either way... I love GOD and belong to my Savior JESUS. I have faith like never before... no matter what happens.
LLS
LLS
I have a feeling we are going to see some movement in the polls so the pollsters can claim some legitimacy at the end. They have gone as far as they can go and now they must try to salvage what is left of their reputation.
"Put the trumpet to your lips! Like an eagle the enemy comes against the house of the Lord, because they have transgressed My covenant, and rebelled against My law. They cry out to Me, "My God, we of Israel know Thee!" Israel has rejected the good; the enemy will pursue him. They have set up kings, but not by Me; They have appointed princes, but I did not know it. With their silver and gold they have made idols for themselves... how long will they be incapable of innocence? ...For they sow the wind, and they reap the whirlwind... Since Ephraim has multiplied altars for sin, they have become altars of sinning for him. Though I wrote for him ten thousand precepts of My law, they are regarded as a strange thing. As for My sacrificial gifts, they sacrifice the flesh and eat it, but the Lord has taken no delight in them. Now He will remember their iniquity, and punish them for their sins; they will return to Egypt. For Israel has forgotten his Maker and built palaces; and Judah has multiplied fortified cities, but I will send a fire upon its cities that it may consume its palatial dwellings. (HOSEA 8:1-14).
“I can predict that Republicans are going to get a landslide too, and I solely base my study on the fact that Nancy Pelosi is no longer running her slobbering mouth.”
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Oh, if only she would refrain from ever running it again. I say once again that people who babble like Nancy used to be confined to mental institutions, NOT elected to high office.
Oh man... PRAISE GOD... Amen!
LLS
That's what they said at this point in 1980.
And the situation this year is almost the same: an economy that started bad and ended worse, a disastrous foreign policy, and a candidate with a new vision.
Obama even ran his campaign like Carter, trying to portray Romney as a bad guy (with a cooperative kneepad media), and watching it all flushed away when Romney finally was able to present himself to the public without a filter.
It's not going to be the kind of blowout we had in 1980, but it's going to be a bigger margin than anyone suspects.
And while we're cleaning up, we don't want to hear alot of talking!
Fox plays it that it's close for reasons of ratings. If its not close, who's going to watch?
We've seen swings against the Democrats of 10% to 20% since The One was elected. Nothing's changed. Just in Ohio, with the clean up of voter rolls, there are 220,000 fewer Democrat voters. So, Obama won 53% in an unprecedented turnout election in 2008 with Dems at +6 or +8. This time the Pubbies have a +2 or more. That alone puts Obama at 45%. Add the drop in Dem turnout, the increase in Pubbie turnout, the 10-13% of Obama voters switching to Romney and you get to my prediction, which I've had for months.
Obama will be lucky to break 40%.
Take it to the bank.
And we've been under the media radar this election..maybe a good thing.
LLS,you are not crazy....
I agree.
LLS
Absolutely!
LLS
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