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Fox News and Hannity have been playing the election as close all year, in spite of having Dick Morris on all year telling them that unless the President breaks 50%, the undecideds all break for the challenger. So, with Obama (in skewed polls) stuck at 47%, that means Romney gets 53% and wins big.

Fox plays it that it's close for reasons of ratings. If its not close, who's going to watch?

We've seen swings against the Democrats of 10% to 20% since The One was elected. Nothing's changed. Just in Ohio, with the clean up of voter rolls, there are 220,000 fewer Democrat voters. So, Obama won 53% in an unprecedented turnout election in 2008 with Dems at +6 or +8. This time the Pubbies have a +2 or more. That alone puts Obama at 45%. Add the drop in Dem turnout, the increase in Pubbie turnout, the 10-13% of Obama voters switching to Romney and you get to my prediction, which I've had for months.

Obama will be lucky to break 40%.

Take it to the bank.