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Mittmentum Builds
Townhall ^ | November 3, 2012 | Hugh Hewitt

Posted on 11/03/2012 12:01:17 AM PDT by GonzoII

Mittmentum Builds

By Hugh Hewitt

11/3/2012

 

Michael Barone is America’s “one man decision desk,” with credibility on elections far beyond that of anyone else working the field in America today.

Which is why Michael’s bold Washington Examiner column from yesterday cut through all the spin from Chicago and all the blather from MSNBC, and struck President Obama supporters in their gut.

Barone, having surveyed all the polling data from every source and all the early voting numbers from all the states, sees Mitt Romney rolling up 315 Electoral College votes, including the states of Ohio, Virginia, Florida, Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire, Wisconsin –and Pennsylvania!

Other evidence is rolling in to back up Barone’s prediction, most especially the not-friendly-to-Romney Washington Post tracking poll which put the governor a point ahead of the president on Friday night, a post-Sandy sign of a momentum swing towards Romney.

He who surges last surges best in a presidential campaign, and it appears that Romney has indeed caught the last big wave.

Romney’s amazing “closing argument speech” in Wisconsin yesterday is the sort of performance that flows from a candidate who knows he is winning. The enormous crowds that are greeting Romney and his running mate Paul Ryan wherever they travel tell the same story, and the pictures from this afternoon’s rally at Fiddler’s Green in Colorado promise to send the same message.

If Romney delivers a blowout rally in Pennsylvania Sunday a shocked political establishment will look up from Nate Silver’s “model” and begin to realize that they have missed something big.

The Hill’s A.B. Stoddard speculated on the Fox News Channel Friday afternoon that the aftermath of Sandy has resulted in spreading dismay which is further dampening an already depressed American spirit, thus increasing the desire for a change and what Romney calls “a fresh start.”

Indeed, the suffering and misery from New Jersey and New York do underscore how tough the country has had it for the past four years, just as the new unemployment number did Friday morning.

That 7.9% number is higher than when President Obama took office, a definitive declaration of failure on the economic front, one that reminds us of the president’s “one term proposition,” prediction of years ago.

Even as the legions of the president’s enthusiastic supporters have melted away, new armies of energized Roman Catholics and Evangelicals are mobilizing across the country to defend their religious freedom, under direct assault from the president and his team of ideologues at HHS. They are joined by small businessmen and women from across the nation who have had it with mandates and rules, a mind-number tidal wave of regulatory overkill that is driving them down.

Adding to the motivation of the anti-Obama vote is simmering anger with the Manhattan-Beltway media elites obvious double standard, their near-uniform commitment to keep the president safe from scrutiny on issues from Benghazi to Fast and Furious. The White House press corps, with a few noble exceptions, has become a palace guard, and voters know this and deeply resent the media messengers who have circled their network wagons around the president they invested in so deeply four years ago.

When Romney took the stage in Wisconsin yesterday, he was joined by Bart Starr, a man understood to be a winner not just in Wisconsin but across the country. (The video of the speech is at HughHewitt.com.) Romney isn’t easing off anymore than Starr did when Lombardi prowled the sidelines. He and Ryan are closing strong, and hope by doing so to bring along an increased GOP majority in the House and a Senate under the leadership of Mitch McConnell.

To accomplish this last thing they will need the help of voters in Indiana rallying to Richard Mourdock, the latest target of a media obsessed with abortion rights absolutism even as the country struggles to avoid the fiscal cliff.

They will especially need Ohio voters to pull the lever not just for Romney and Ryan but also for the state’s treasurer Josh Mandel, a Marine Corps combat veteran and a rising star who could bring vigor to a Senate much in need of energy and a long-range vision.

As Barone’s conclusions make clear, the momentum is with Mitt, and thus the country has a real chance for the fresh start it so desperately needs.

Hugh Hewitt

Hugh Hewitt is host of a nationally syndicated radio talk show. Hugh Hewitt's new book is The War On The West.


TOPICS: Editorial
KEYWORDS: romney; romney2012
"Michael Barone is America’s “one man decision desk,” with credibility on elections far beyond that of anyone else working the field in America today."

Any questions?

1 posted on 11/03/2012 12:01:25 AM PDT by GonzoII
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To: GonzoII

No. MO indicates its going to be a blowout. It has always gone with the winner and his winning margin in the state mirrors exactly his national winning margin.


2 posted on 11/03/2012 12:09:00 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: GonzoII
If Romney delivers a blowout rally in Pennsylvania Sunday a shocked political establishment will look up from Nate Silver’s “model” and begin to realize that they have missed something big.

Watching them come to grips with the failure of Nate Silver's model will be one of many shadenfreudish nuggets to be savored post election.

3 posted on 11/03/2012 12:10:14 AM PDT by Yardstick
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To: GonzoII

But, but, but this can’t be CNN, PPP, RAS, Gallup, etc all say we are LOSING!!!!!


4 posted on 11/03/2012 12:16:17 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: fortheDeclaration

Except for Gallup, all the pollsters say it “looks too close to call.”

If you don’t believe what you saw in Chester OH tonight, you need to take two pills, be put in restraints and confined to the insane asylum.

Who are you’re gonna believe - the lying polls or the evidence of the Mittmentum? The “wave” is still gathering steam and hasn’t crested yet!


5 posted on 11/03/2012 12:22:25 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: fortheDeclaration

Vote him out!


6 posted on 11/03/2012 12:25:23 AM PDT by cardinal4 (Baraq Hussein Obama lied, the country damn near died..)
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To: fortheDeclaration
Actually I think Gallup is doing good this year.

Sunday they'll release their latest poll; post Sandy.

7 posted on 11/03/2012 12:26:14 AM PDT by GonzoII (Quia tu es, Deus, fortitudo mea...Quare tristis es anima mea?)
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To: goldstategop

“Except for Gallup, all the pollsters say it “looks too close to call.””

Yeah, just like we were told the Wisconsin Recall was TOO CLOSE TO CALL.


8 posted on 11/03/2012 12:26:41 AM PDT by ShovelThemOut
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To: goldstategop
"Except for Gallup, all the pollsters say it “looks too close to call.”"

They deserve respect for looking at the fundamentals and making a call...what was it..Mitt by +6% I believe.

9 posted on 11/03/2012 12:29:58 AM PDT by GonzoII (Quia tu es, Deus, fortitudo mea...Quare tristis es anima mea?)
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To: GonzoII

Hewitt gets really close to seeing a key point with this statement from his column:

“The White House press corps, with a few noble exceptions, has become a palace guard, and voters know this and deeply resent the media messengers who have circled their network wagons around the president they invested in so deeply four years ago.”

Maybe voters resent this, maybe not. But one thing some voters know, that if they want their president and the government he presides over to held accountable, to have their feet held to the fire, they MUST vote for the GOP candidate.

So the public does not have to resent the palace guard press. They can merely know it is not good for good governance and thus know they must vote GOP for president. That is what the public has done more elections than not since 1968.


10 posted on 11/03/2012 12:35:10 AM PDT by JLS
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To: GonzoII

George Washington, waits for Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney and vice-presidential nominee Paul Ryan at a campaign rally in West Chester, Ohio November 2, 2012.
11 posted on 11/03/2012 12:46:27 AM PDT by Berlin_Freeper (WINNING IS EVERYTHING!)
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To: Berlin_Freeper
If old George was there we know who the country's going to back!!
12 posted on 11/03/2012 12:53:54 AM PDT by GonzoII (Quia tu es, Deus, fortitudo mea...Quare tristis es anima mea?)
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To: GonzoII

I bet they have it tied.


13 posted on 11/03/2012 12:57:23 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: GonzoII

“Except for Gallup, all the pollsters say it “looks too close to call.””
They deserve respect for looking at the fundamentals and making a call...what was it..Mitt by +6% I believe.”

Respect also equals revenge, a dish best served cold. The Obama Admin via Eric Holder, went after Gallup by joining in a lawsuit against Gallup already in process because they didn’t like the results of a Gallup poll that had anti-Obama results. Axelrod complained, and shortly thereafter the Justice Dept. filed suit. So, now Gallup strikes back, with one poll after another that puts Romney in the lead, and by no small amount. Payback is sweet.


14 posted on 11/03/2012 1:16:34 AM PDT by flaglady47 (When the gov't fears the people, liberty; When the people fear the gov't, tyranny.)
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To: ShovelThemOut

Foxnews continues to shovel out this “too close to call” garbage 24-7.

They have been solid on Libya and the hurricane aftermath, but totally unwatchable when they insist on repeating the MSM election “horse-race” mantra.


15 posted on 11/03/2012 1:17:56 AM PDT by cgbg (No bailouts for New York and California. Let them eat debt.)
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To: GonzoII

I can predict that Republicans are going to get a landslide too, and I solely base my study on the fact that Nancy Pelosi is no longer running her slobbering mouth.


16 posted on 11/03/2012 1:24:54 AM PDT by lwoodham (I am Andrew Breitbart. Don't doubt me on this.)
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To: flaglady47

Gallup’s simply watching Mittmentum.

Obama shouldn’t talk too much about revenge if he doesn’t want to just lose but have the floor mopped with him from coast to coast. Projection can also give one’s opponents ideas.


17 posted on 11/03/2012 1:27:10 AM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (cat dog, cat dog, alone in the world is a little cat dog)
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To: cgbg

We need more live voters than dead ones.


18 posted on 11/03/2012 1:28:34 AM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (cat dog, cat dog, alone in the world is a little cat dog)
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To: ShovelThemOut

or house was only going to pickup 30 to 35 seats in 2010.


19 posted on 11/03/2012 2:33:25 AM PDT by scbison
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To: lwoodham
I can predict that Republicans are going to get a landslide too, and I solely base my study on the fact that Nancy Pelosi is no longer running her slobbering mouth.

And that Harry Reid is running his. Making dire threats about he intends to stonewall everything Mitt Romney wants to do.

Dear God, please allow this odious little creep to wake up and find himself the minority leader on Wednesday morning.

20 posted on 11/03/2012 2:47:54 AM PDT by JustaCowgirl (Mitt Romney -- Obama asks for votes for revenge, I ask for votes for love of country)
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To: lwoodham

“I can predict that Republicans are going to get a landslide too, and I solely base my study on the fact that Nancy Pelosi is no longer running her slobbering mouth.”

That’s interesting. I’m cautiously optimistic Mitt will win, because I can’t believe there are nearly enough voters who want four more years of this economic stagnation while the left’s pet causes (environmentalists, homosexuals, etc.) are the sole focus of this administration. Unemployment and inflation, while buried by Obama’s media, are kicking most Americans in the teeth; it is impossible to conceal, and should suffice for a Romney win.


21 posted on 11/03/2012 3:54:03 AM PDT by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic war against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: Berlin_Freeper

compare that pictures to obamas rallies. they always have mostly college kids. (brainwashed, i assume)


22 posted on 11/03/2012 4:12:05 AM PDT by willywill
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To: lwoodham

I can predict that Republicans are going to get a landslide too, and I solely base my study on the fact that Nancy Pelosi is no longer running her slobbering mouth.

well, we have to elect romney, to know what he’s about.


23 posted on 11/03/2012 4:12:13 AM PDT by willywill
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To: JustaCowgirl; All
And that Harry Reid is running his

Yes, I want Harry to howl this at the moon. I want every voter well aware that for us to clean up after this Obamanation, we need a Republican senate.

24 posted on 11/03/2012 4:33:58 AM PDT by marktwain
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To: cgbg

It’s easy to understand why Fox News is saying “too close to call” 24/7. A blowout does not drive ratings! And it is a for profit organization.


25 posted on 11/03/2012 5:22:39 AM PDT by gbscott1954 (Please come back Sarah!!!)
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To: cgbg

Probably the there are higher ratings in “too close to call” than in “Mitt Avalanche”.


26 posted on 11/03/2012 5:31:26 AM PDT by Aria ( 2008 wasn't an election - it was a coup d'etat.)
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To: GonzoII

“Even as the legions of the president’s enthusiastic supporters have melted away, new armies of energized Roman Catholics and Evangelicals are mobilizing across the country to defend their religious freedom, under direct assault from the president and his team of ideologues at HHS”

Something has been going on here... something unprecedented. I think I know what it is. At least I know that when I think hard about this election and the evil that must be defeated... and when I pray over it... I am filled with the Holy Spirit. What I mean is that I can feel the power of GOD at work. Maybe I am crazy but I do think our prayers are being heard and I think GOD has found enough good souls left here in America to warrant our saving. Either way... I love GOD and belong to my Savior JESUS. I have faith like never before... no matter what happens.

LLS


27 posted on 11/03/2012 5:42:50 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: cgbg
A fighter on edge is more aggressive... I think Fox is being told to play this election out as they are... maybe Mitt's people think that we need to remain alert and on edge... obama certainly doesn't want it to look like a blow out. Maybe not... but I know it in my bones that Mitt will win... and I have not had that sensation since I knew that Reagan was going to destroy jimmuh. PRAISE GOD!

LLS

28 posted on 11/03/2012 5:48:49 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: fortheDeclaration

I have a feeling we are going to see some movement in the polls so the pollsters can claim some legitimacy at the end. They have gone as far as they can go and now they must try to salvage what is left of their reputation.


29 posted on 11/03/2012 5:53:27 AM PDT by kabar
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To: LibLieSlayer
I feel it here in VA. A righteous anger is sweeping the land.

"Put the trumpet to your lips! Like an eagle the enemy comes against the house of the Lord, because they have transgressed My covenant, and rebelled against My law. They cry out to Me, "My God, we of Israel know Thee!" Israel has rejected the good; the enemy will pursue him. They have set up kings, but not by Me; They have appointed princes, but I did not know it. With their silver and gold they have made idols for themselves... how long will they be incapable of innocence? ...For they sow the wind, and they reap the whirlwind... Since Ephraim has multiplied altars for sin, they have become altars of sinning for him. Though I wrote for him ten thousand precepts of My law, they are regarded as a strange thing. As for My sacrificial gifts, they sacrifice the flesh and eat it, but the Lord has taken no delight in them. Now He will remember their iniquity, and punish them for their sins; they will return to Egypt. For Israel has forgotten his Maker and built palaces; and Judah has multiplied fortified cities, but I will send a fire upon its cities that it may consume its palatial dwellings. (HOSEA 8:1-14).

30 posted on 11/03/2012 6:03:01 AM PDT by kabar
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To: lwoodham

“I can predict that Republicans are going to get a landslide too, and I solely base my study on the fact that Nancy Pelosi is no longer running her slobbering mouth.”
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

Oh, if only she would refrain from ever running it again. I say once again that people who babble like Nancy used to be confined to mental institutions, NOT elected to high office.


31 posted on 11/03/2012 6:08:07 AM PDT by RipSawyer (Free healthcare is worth FAR LESS than it costs.)
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To: kabar

Oh man... PRAISE GOD... Amen!

LLS


32 posted on 11/03/2012 6:12:21 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: goldstategop
Except for Gallup, all the pollsters say it “looks too close to call.”

That's what they said at this point in 1980.

And the situation this year is almost the same: an economy that started bad and ended worse, a disastrous foreign policy, and a candidate with a new vision.

Obama even ran his campaign like Carter, trying to portray Romney as a bad guy (with a cooperative kneepad media), and watching it all flushed away when Romney finally was able to present himself to the public without a filter.

It's not going to be the kind of blowout we had in 1980, but it's going to be a bigger margin than anyone suspects.

33 posted on 11/03/2012 6:14:02 AM PDT by justlurking (tagline removed, as demanded by Admin Moderator)
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To: HiTech RedNeck
have the floor mopped with him from coast to coast.

And while we're cleaning up, we don't want to hear alot of talking!

34 posted on 11/03/2012 6:22:55 AM PDT by jonno (Having an opinion is not the same as having the answer...)
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To: LibLieSlayer
Fox News and Hannity have been playing the election as close all year, in spite of having Dick Morris on all year telling them that unless the President breaks 50%, the undecideds all break for the challenger. So, with Obama (in skewed polls) stuck at 47%, that means Romney gets 53% and wins big.

Fox plays it that it's close for reasons of ratings. If its not close, who's going to watch?

We've seen swings against the Democrats of 10% to 20% since The One was elected. Nothing's changed. Just in Ohio, with the clean up of voter rolls, there are 220,000 fewer Democrat voters. So, Obama won 53% in an unprecedented turnout election in 2008 with Dems at +6 or +8. This time the Pubbies have a +2 or more. That alone puts Obama at 45%. Add the drop in Dem turnout, the increase in Pubbie turnout, the 10-13% of Obama voters switching to Romney and you get to my prediction, which I've had for months.

Obama will be lucky to break 40%.

Take it to the bank.

35 posted on 11/03/2012 6:50:20 AM PDT by Jabba the Nutt (.Are they stupid, malicious or evil?)
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To: LibLieSlayer
"armies of energized Roman Catholics and Evangelicals are mobilizing across the country to defend their religious freedom"

And we've been under the media radar this election..maybe a good thing.

36 posted on 11/03/2012 7:11:18 AM PDT by GonzoII (Quia tu es, Deus, fortitudo mea...Quare tristis es anima mea?)
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To: GonzoII

LLS,you are not crazy....


37 posted on 11/03/2012 7:29:41 AM PDT by georgia peach (georgia peach)
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To: willywill
Has he even appeared anywhere other than union halls and college campuses? It figures: union thugs are loyal sellouts; college age people are naive, credulous and easily swayed--ie natural liberals, until they grow up. Just the thing for a flam-flam man running a con.
38 posted on 11/03/2012 8:07:46 AM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: Jabba the Nutt

I agree.

LLS


39 posted on 11/03/2012 8:12:29 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: GonzoII

Absolutely!

LLS


40 posted on 11/03/2012 8:15:13 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: Jabba the Nutt

If so, it will be a Reaganesque tsunami.


41 posted on 11/03/2012 8:34:57 PM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (cat dog, cat dog, alone in the world is a little cat dog)
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