Skip to comments.Mittmentum Builds
Posted on 11/03/2012 12:01:17 AM PDT by GonzoII
Michael Barone is Americas one man decision desk, with credibility on elections far beyond that of anyone else working the field in America today.
Which is why Michaels bold Washington Examiner column from yesterday cut through all the spin from Chicago and all the blather from MSNBC, and struck President Obama supporters in their gut.
Barone, having surveyed all the polling data from every source and all the early voting numbers from all the states, sees Mitt Romney rolling up 315 Electoral College votes, including the states of Ohio, Virginia, Florida, Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania!
Other evidence is rolling in to back up Barones prediction, most especially the not-friendly-to-Romney Washington Post tracking poll which put the governor a point ahead of the president on Friday night, a post-Sandy sign of a momentum swing towards Romney.
He who surges last surges best in a presidential campaign, and it appears that Romney has indeed caught the last big wave.
Romneys amazing closing argument speech in Wisconsin yesterday is the sort of performance that flows from a candidate who knows he is winning. The enormous crowds that are greeting Romney and his running mate Paul Ryan wherever they travel tell the same story, and the pictures from this afternoons rally at Fiddlers Green in Colorado promise to send the same message.
If Romney delivers a blowout rally in Pennsylvania Sunday a shocked political establishment will look up from Nate Silvers model and begin to realize that they have missed something big.
The Hills A.B. Stoddard speculated on the Fox News Channel Friday afternoon that the aftermath of Sandy has resulted in spreading dismay which is further dampening an already depressed American spirit, thus increasing the desire for a change and what Romney calls a fresh start.
Indeed, the suffering and misery from New Jersey and New York do underscore how tough the country has had it for the past four years, just as the new unemployment number did Friday morning.
That 7.9% number is higher than when President Obama took office, a definitive declaration of failure on the economic front, one that reminds us of the presidents one term proposition, prediction of years ago.
Even as the legions of the presidents enthusiastic supporters have melted away, new armies of energized Roman Catholics and Evangelicals are mobilizing across the country to defend their religious freedom, under direct assault from the president and his team of ideologues at HHS. They are joined by small businessmen and women from across the nation who have had it with mandates and rules, a mind-number tidal wave of regulatory overkill that is driving them down.
Adding to the motivation of the anti-Obama vote is simmering anger with the Manhattan-Beltway media elites obvious double standard, their near-uniform commitment to keep the president safe from scrutiny on issues from Benghazi to Fast and Furious. The White House press corps, with a few noble exceptions, has become a palace guard, and voters know this and deeply resent the media messengers who have circled their network wagons around the president they invested in so deeply four years ago.
When Romney took the stage in Wisconsin yesterday, he was joined by Bart Starr, a man understood to be a winner not just in Wisconsin but across the country. (The video of the speech is at HughHewitt.com.) Romney isnt easing off anymore than Starr did when Lombardi prowled the sidelines. He and Ryan are closing strong, and hope by doing so to bring along an increased GOP majority in the House and a Senate under the leadership of Mitch McConnell.
To accomplish this last thing they will need the help of voters in Indiana rallying to Richard Mourdock, the latest target of a media obsessed with abortion rights absolutism even as the country struggles to avoid the fiscal cliff.
They will especially need Ohio voters to pull the lever not just for Romney and Ryan but also for the states treasurer Josh Mandel, a Marine Corps combat veteran and a rising star who could bring vigor to a Senate much in need of energy and a long-range vision.
As Barones conclusions make clear, the momentum is with Mitt, and thus the country has a real chance for the fresh start it so desperately needs.
No. MO indicates its going to be a blowout. It has always gone with the winner and his winning margin in the state mirrors exactly his national winning margin.
Watching them come to grips with the failure of Nate Silver's model will be one of many shadenfreudish nuggets to be savored post election.
But, but, but this can’t be CNN, PPP, RAS, Gallup, etc all say we are LOSING!!!!!
Except for Gallup, all the pollsters say it “looks too close to call.”
If you don’t believe what you saw in Chester OH tonight, you need to take two pills, be put in restraints and confined to the insane asylum.
Who are you’re gonna believe - the lying polls or the evidence of the Mittmentum? The “wave” is still gathering steam and hasn’t crested yet!
Vote him out!
Sunday they'll release their latest poll; post Sandy.
“Except for Gallup, all the pollsters say it looks too close to call.”
Yeah, just like we were told the Wisconsin Recall was TOO CLOSE TO CALL.
They deserve respect for looking at the fundamentals and making a call...what was it..Mitt by +6% I believe.
Hewitt gets really close to seeing a key point with this statement from his column:
“The White House press corps, with a few noble exceptions, has become a palace guard, and voters know this and deeply resent the media messengers who have circled their network wagons around the president they invested in so deeply four years ago.”
Maybe voters resent this, maybe not. But one thing some voters know, that if they want their president and the government he presides over to held accountable, to have their feet held to the fire, they MUST vote for the GOP candidate.
So the public does not have to resent the palace guard press. They can merely know it is not good for good governance and thus know they must vote GOP for president. That is what the public has done more elections than not since 1968.
I bet they have it tied.
“Except for Gallup, all the pollsters say it looks too close to call.”
They deserve respect for looking at the fundamentals and making a call...what was it..Mitt by +6% I believe.”
Respect also equals revenge, a dish best served cold. The Obama Admin via Eric Holder, went after Gallup by joining in a lawsuit against Gallup already in process because they didn’t like the results of a Gallup poll that had anti-Obama results. Axelrod complained, and shortly thereafter the Justice Dept. filed suit. So, now Gallup strikes back, with one poll after another that puts Romney in the lead, and by no small amount. Payback is sweet.
Foxnews continues to shovel out this “too close to call” garbage 24-7.
They have been solid on Libya and the hurricane aftermath, but totally unwatchable when they insist on repeating the MSM election “horse-race” mantra.
I can predict that Republicans are going to get a landslide too, and I solely base my study on the fact that Nancy Pelosi is no longer running her slobbering mouth.
Gallup’s simply watching Mittmentum.
Obama shouldn’t talk too much about revenge if he doesn’t want to just lose but have the floor mopped with him from coast to coast. Projection can also give one’s opponents ideas.
We need more live voters than dead ones.
or house was only going to pickup 30 to 35 seats in 2010.
And that Harry Reid is running his. Making dire threats about he intends to stonewall everything Mitt Romney wants to do.
Dear God, please allow this odious little creep to wake up and find himself the minority leader on Wednesday morning.
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