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Romney will win Pennsylvania
Daily Caller ^ | November 2, 2012 | Michael Hudome

Posted on 11/02/2012 8:48:16 PM PDT by Arec Barrwin

Romney will win Pennsylvania

Posted By Michael Hudome On 3:43 PM 11/02/2012 @ 3:43 PM In Opinion | No Comments

Despite all the hype, it’s going to be a short election night. The Keystone State is the key reason. Pennsylvania will go for Governor Mitt Romney.

Reasonable prognosticators — and even the MSNBC crowd — will realize once the results are in from Pennsylvania that the other three time zones won’t matter.

Once upon a time, Pennsylvania was a pivotal swing state. But in recent years it has been reliably Democratic in presidential elections.

Certain other patterns have persisted as well. For example, the Pennsylvania governor’s mansion changes parties every eight years, with Democrats and Republicans swapping the residence.

But this presidential election is different. The Boston crowd has decided to compete for the state’s 20 electoral votes.

And it’s with good reason.

President Barack Obama simply isn’t working for culturally conservative Democrats in Western Pennsylvania and the proverbial “T” — which is Pennsylvania-speak for the entire state except the city of Philadelphia and the four counties (Bucks, Chester, Delaware and Montgomery) abutting the city.

Half of the NRA membership in the entire country is within a four-hour drive of Pittsburgh. These voters do, in fact, cling to their guns and religion.

Recent electoral results signal a Republican surge in the Commonwealth. Conservative Pat Toomey was elected to the Senate in 2010 despite the best efforts of the White House.

Republicans control 12 of Pennsylvania’s 18 congressional seats. In the crucial Philadelphia suburbs, Democrats were only able to offer token opposition to Congressmen Mike Fitzpatrick and Patrick Meehan this year.

In those critical counties near Philly, Governor Romney is a perfect fit for Independent and Republican women. Polls suggest there is no gender gap.

This election, voter intensity favors Republicans. Senator Bob Casey (of the Potted Plant Party) has his hands full with a challenge from businessman Tom Smith. Recent polls show that race is a toss-up.

Given all these factors, it’s no wonder Romney and his allies have started an air war. In fact, Republicans have spent enough money on ads in Pennsylvania in the past week to fund a solid, month-long ad campaign in the state.

So be prepared to go back to your regularly scheduled programming on Tuesday night. No need to stay up all night waiting for the results from the Midwest and Rocky Mountains.

Michael J. Hudome is a Republican media consultant whose clients have included John McCain for President, all four national committees and several current and former members of the House and Senate.


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2012swingstates; obama; pa2012; pa2012election; pennsylvania; romney
#Mittmentum
1 posted on 11/02/2012 8:48:18 PM PDT by Arec Barrwin
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To: Arec Barrwin

Bump


2 posted on 11/02/2012 8:51:38 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: Arec Barrwin

I’m beginning to think that half of the voters living in this country actually DON’T WANT TO WORK.


3 posted on 11/02/2012 8:53:14 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (The Red Cross says, Vote For Obama!)
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To: Arec Barrwin

Romney’s campaign emails are worded with confidence. The fact that he’s having a huge rally in Bucks County makes me think he believes he can carry the suburbs and thus the state.

I’m excited to see him on Sunday!


4 posted on 11/02/2012 8:55:13 PM PDT by Shadow44
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To: Arec Barrwin

“Half of the NRA membership in the entire country is within a four-hour drive of Pittsburgh.”

:) It’s game over for p-resident Jarjar and FL Chewie..


5 posted on 11/02/2012 8:55:16 PM PDT by max americana (Make the world a better place by punching a liberal in the face)
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To: Arec Barrwin

OK, so if Romney can win the rust belt folks, doesn’t that mean its over?

Our long national nightmare is almost over.


6 posted on 11/02/2012 8:56:24 PM PDT by garjog (We do not want another four more years of the last four years.)
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To: Arec Barrwin

It would be nice to be able to get to sleep on Tuesday at a decent hour. I will rest very nicely with PA in the bag.


7 posted on 11/02/2012 8:56:59 PM PDT by JIM O
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To: Arec Barrwin
Senator Bob Casey (of the Potted Plant Party) has his hands full with a challenge from businessman Tom Smith. Recent polls show that race is a toss-up...when Romney wins the state at least half the credit will go to Smith, whether he himself wins or not - he's been peppering Casey with some very colorful, forceful and damaging TV ads since last summer - while aimed at his own campaign, they have nevertheless been generic enough, pushing for our own energy, smaller government and less regulation, that they have helped "soften" the public in preparation for the Romney assault - win or lose, thanks Mr. Smith.......
8 posted on 11/02/2012 9:00:44 PM PDT by Intolerant in NJ
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To: FlingWingFlyer

If you watch an Occupy Wall Street protest its not that hard to figure out..of course they don’t want to work..Obama voters want everything and I mean EVERYTHING handed to them..food..gas, housing, car, phone, everything supplied by the Govt because they think its their “right” to get free stuff


9 posted on 11/02/2012 9:01:01 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: garjog

It would be nice, really nice for the first time in four years to actually go to bed with a smile on my face knowing our country is finally rid of this cancer


10 posted on 11/02/2012 9:02:07 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: garjog

oh Dear God.....let it be true...


11 posted on 11/02/2012 9:04:03 PM PDT by cherry
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To: garjog

The Rust Belt is having a Great Awakening.

Unions have led it to decay; a vestige remains of it’s greatness.

Coal, iron ore and sweat won two World Wars.


12 posted on 11/02/2012 9:08:13 PM PDT by One Name (Ultimately, the TRUTH is a razor's edge and no man can sit astride it.)
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Comment #13 Removed by Moderator

To: Arec Barrwin

I believed strongly until the last few days that Romney would win PA. The bad news is that a lot of volunteers are suddenly down for the count with no power and limited communication in northeast PA from Sandy and it has really damaged the GOTV efforts... if you live elsewhere in or near the state, please volunteer as much as possible!!! The election is so close here, it would be tragic to lose the state by a tiny margin :-(


14 posted on 11/02/2012 9:11:24 PM PDT by Tamzee (The U.S. re-electing Obama would be like the Titanic backing up and ramming the iceberg again.)
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To: Arec Barrwin

One issue with an aggressive media is that others are afraid to share their opinion .
Like old soviet times. Everybody smiles and agrees with whatever’s said. Who wants conflict?


15 posted on 11/02/2012 9:34:01 PM PDT by Morris70
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To: FlingWingFlyer
I’m beginning to think that half of the voters living in this country actually DON’T WANT TO WORK.

Well, I don't want to work, but I have a conscience that won't let me steal from my neighbors, so I work.

It's the immoral reprobates that don't want to work that you have to worry about.

16 posted on 11/02/2012 9:56:28 PM PDT by seowulf ("If you write a whole line of zeroes, it's still---nothing"...Kira Alexandrovna Argounova)
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To: seowulf

I used to have an old “Wizard of Id” cartoon under the glass on my desk. I’ve managed to lose it somehow. It had one of the guys in his serf suit sitting at a desk in the horse stable. The desk had a “help wanted” sign on it. Another guy standing there in a serf suit asked him, “What kind of benefits come with this job?” The guy at the desk says, “You’ll be able to buy food.” LOL! I wish I could find that cartoon again.


17 posted on 11/02/2012 10:13:45 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (The Red Cross says, Vote For Obama!)
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To: Tamzee

If people are without power they’ll typically tend to blame their discomfort and annoyance at those currently in power. The failure to retore power quickly can actually redound to Romney’s benefit. Just as Bush was blamed for many bad things that happened during his administration, Zero will be blamed for this. And the fact that he did a fly-by photo op in NJ and then went begging for money in Vegas can’t be sitting well with people who don’t have a functioning light switch or refrigerator.


18 posted on 11/02/2012 10:27:12 PM PDT by Two Kids' Dad (((( America or 0bama. You can't choose both. ))))
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To: Arec Barrwin

So let it be written, so let it be done!

19 posted on 11/02/2012 10:31:53 PM PDT by RPTMS
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To: Arec Barrwin
But this presidential election is different. The Boston crowd has decided to compete for the state’s 20 electoral votes.

McCain/Palin were all over PA last time. Bush also campaigned here. Romney seems to have basically ignored it except for one appearance a few weeks ago and now Sunday's appearance.

20 posted on 11/02/2012 10:39:49 PM PDT by JediJones (Vote NO on Proposition Zero! Tuesday, November 6th!)
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To: FlingWingFlyer

DUH!


21 posted on 11/02/2012 10:44:42 PM PDT by Eagles6 (DNC 2012 Convention: Celebrating infanticide and sodomy. Denying God.What could possibly go wrong?)
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To: Morris70

Who wants conflict?

I don’t want it in most aspects of my life, and most people don’t want it when it comes to politics. But I love a good political fight. I love saying “I’m voting for the White guy”, just to tweak people. Maybe it’s because I live in such a Liberal city (NYC), and because, for years, I considered myself a Centrist Democrat who hated cardboard cut out Left wingers, since I grew up in an area where Democrats were old school Southern Blue Dogs.

So when I became a full fledged Conservative (thanks to Rudy Giuliani making NYC livable again, with 9/11 pushing me completely over the edge), I’ve gotten such a kick out of being politically incorrect.

But I know most people aren’t like me. They don’t want to be controversial or ruffle anyone’s feathers. I can’t relate to that at all, but then again, I’m a FReeper, right?


22 posted on 11/02/2012 11:26:46 PM PDT by The Fop (Excuse me while I clean the saliva out of my racist dog whistle)
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To: Morris70

Who wants conflict?

I don’t want it in most aspects of my life, and most people don’t want it when it comes to politics. But I love a good political fight. I love saying “I’m voting for the White guy”, just to tweak people. Maybe it’s because I live in such a Liberal city (NYC), and because, for years, I considered myself a Centrist Democrat who hated cardboard cut out Left wingers, since I grew up in an area where Democrats were old school Southern Blue Dogs.

So when I became a full fledged Conservative (thanks to Rudy Giuliani making NYC livable again, with 9/11 pushing me completely over the edge), I’ve gotten such a kick out of being politically incorrect.

But I know most people aren’t like me. They don’t want to be controversial or ruffle anyone’s feathers. I can’t relate to that at all, but then again, I’m a FReeper, right?


23 posted on 11/02/2012 11:26:46 PM PDT by The Fop (Excuse me while I clean the saliva out of my racist dog whistle)
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To: Sarah Barracuda
Think of the Democrat party as being in business and it is the business of that party and especially of the elites of the party who profit from it most, to supply the 47% with the rationale by which they can not work and live off the government.

To supply these rationalizations, the Democrat party resorts to the race card in normal times and class warfare most of the time. Essentially the Democratic Party is telling the 47% is okay to drop out of the system and be a parasite to the system because the system is unfair, corrupt, and needs to be "transformed."

We see this most blatantly in the African-American "community" but it is also apparent among Social Security recipients who are told that they are only receiving what they paid for.

The Republicans are at a severe disadvantage, they must disabuse the electorate of these rationalizations and so they run the risk of all messengers bearing unwelcome news.


24 posted on 11/03/2012 1:59:31 AM PDT by nathanbedford ("Attack, repeat, attack!" Bull Halsey)
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To: Arec Barrwin

This may very well happen.. and if it does..assuming FL, VA and NC emerge from their mistake of 2012, this will indeed be a happy night for us... regardless of what happens in Ohio!


25 posted on 11/03/2012 2:19:14 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Pray hard!)
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To: Tamzee

If our PA volunteers are “down for the count” so are the D voters in Philly. Look for turnout there o be down at least 10%.


26 posted on 11/03/2012 3:49:11 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: ScottinVA

Stop the whatever-happens-in-Ohio stuff. We are a REPUBLICAN state. Governor, legislature, local councils, judges, etc.

We will go BIG for Romney on Tuesday.


27 posted on 11/03/2012 3:57:35 AM PDT by gotribe (He's a mack-daddy http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AV415yit7Zg)
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To: FlingWingFlyer
On the other hand...


28 posted on 11/03/2012 4:10:30 AM PDT by Stand Watch Listen
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To: One Name

“Coal, iron ore and sweat won two World Wars.”

Steel, copper and coal fueled America’s Industrial Revolution. Those three resources made America a super power. Oil and natural gas will create a second American revolution in industry and high-tech.


29 posted on 11/03/2012 6:10:11 AM PDT by sergeantdave (The FBI has declared war on the Marine Corps)
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To: The Fop

I too have been more bold in political conflict than normal. I might have lost a client to politics. I was showing a liberal Californian property in Oregon, he wanted lots of trees and started complaining about how us Oregonians have “slaughtered” all of our trees.
I said, “Slaughter? don’t you think that is a little strong, that word would be better used to describe the 40 million babies that have been slaughtered in the womb for the past 39 years, we harvest trees, you slaughter babies.”


30 posted on 11/03/2012 6:20:19 AM PDT by thirst4truth (www.Believer.com)
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To: Arec Barrwin

I saw my first Casey sign this morning. So, the Smith to Casey sign ratio is running something like 200 to 1.


31 posted on 11/03/2012 6:24:19 AM PDT by Fresh Wind (If Obama is an empty chair, then Biden is the whoopee cushion.)
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To: LS
If our PA volunteers are “down for the count” so are the D voters in Philly. Look for turnout there o be down at least 10%.

I hope you are right but I've searched the news and couldn't find anything about power outages in Philly to the extent we have them here in the upper right part of the conservative "T" in this state. Big swatches of conservative areas have had no power for almost a week now.

We'll just have to do as much as we can here and hope for the best, though.

By the way, I got your latest book and am looking forward to starting it Nov 8th. Am volunteering all my free time through the election, will be SLEEPING Nov 7th, time to read again on Thursday LOL

32 posted on 11/03/2012 6:27:44 AM PDT by Tamzee (The U.S. re-electing Obama would be like the Titanic backing up and ramming the iceberg again.)
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To: fatima; Fresh Wind; st.eqed; xsmommy; House Atreides; Nowhere Man; South Hawthorne; PaulZe; ...

Romney rally on Sunday at Shady Brook Farms, Bucks County

Doors open at 2:30
Event at 5:30
Print tickets at Romney website

PA Ping!

If you want on/off the PA Ping List, please freepmail me.

If you see posts of interest to Pennsylvanians, please ping me.

Thanks!


33 posted on 11/03/2012 6:44:46 AM PDT by randita
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To: nathanbedford

As to your comment on social security recipients.
I posed this question to 10 or 12 of us who were having our morning coffee at a local eatery.
If there was a proven plan to stabilize S/S that called for all S/S recipients to take a 5% (an arbitrary number)cut for 10 years (also arbitrary) would you agree to it? I again repeated that this would guarantee S/S for the future.
Bear in mind that none of these people would be hurt by this. Almost all of them could be considered conservative.
Not one would agree to it.
I guess that reinforces the notion that we are in deep doo-doo.


34 posted on 11/03/2012 6:52:17 AM PDT by certrtwngnut (He shrugs!)
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To: randita

Thank you. I just ordered my ticket. I will be there!!


35 posted on 11/03/2012 7:27:38 AM PDT by PaulZe
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To: certrtwngnut
The undeniable truth is that it is human nature to rationalize our desires, even our selfish desires. So even sexagenarians who have worked their entire adult lives and presumably accepted principles of personal responsibility, are unwilling in retirement to acknowledge that they are getting more as Social Security recipients than they gave as taxpayers.

So we, are as you say, in deep doo doo if even this class in our society is vulnerable to the siren song and will react vehemently in the polling booths to any perceived threat to their monthly payments. If these people with a reasonable history of contributing to society and self-reliance will vote their selfish interests, imagine a society populated with whole demographic sections that do not share the basic Horatio Alger myth. It is foreign to their cultural experience.

As the Democrats manage to flood America with immigrants who culturally simply do not share knowledge of and therefore commitment to the rule law, individual responsibility and capitalism, or the notion of a limited and constitutionally restricted government, America descends ever deeper into the doo doo.

The Democrat party is responsible for supplying these rationalizations as well as legislating our demographic destiny. When the rationalizations become a mountain rather than a few mole hills, it becomes impossible for the bulk of society to look the other way and pretend that we are operating a sensible political system. The Democrats must bring us to the point where Obama can enter from stage left and not just exploit the rationalizations but exploit the cynicism itself to wreck the system. At least 47% of Americans are saying, the system is corrupt and I am only interested in getting mine let the devil take the hindmost.

I believe this is what people betray who are ignorant of politics but who think they appear wise and sophisticated by saying, "all politicians are the same, they are all corrupt." At this point relativism becomes a modus vivendi and these cynics easily accept any rationalization which comes their way and succumb to the most selfish and ultimately self-destructive electoral results. In short, they vote Democrat.

So we are on a course of disintegration and there are very few stops along the line. Tuesday's election might be one of them if we win but it is a great deal to ask of one man to stand athwart the decline and fall of the American Empire and halt the decline.


36 posted on 11/03/2012 10:20:34 AM PDT by nathanbedford ("Attack, repeat, attack!" Bull Halsey)
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To: randita

Thanks for the ping.


37 posted on 11/03/2012 10:34:08 AM PDT by GOPJ ( http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zbOuxqK2T34)
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To: gotribe

Well, I certainly hope so. We`re about to find out how Republican Ohio is. If GOPers and conservatives pour into the voting polls like never before, we have a chance.


38 posted on 11/03/2012 12:41:11 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Pray hard!)
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