Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Nate Silver Ups The Ante On Historic Wager Offer With Joe Scarborough (Who will win the elections?)
Business Insider ^ | 11/01/2012 | Joe Weisenthal

Posted on 11/01/2012 8:32:50 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Punditry vs. numbers!

Old school journalists vs. data-driven wonks! Scouts vs. Moneyball!

Nate Silver (who has become increasingly embattled for his confident assessments of Obama's chances) just offered Joe Scarborough a wager that will redefine the future of journalism.


(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections; natesilver; scarborough; wager
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-29 next last

1 posted on 11/01/2012 8:32:59 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Nate Silver is going to eat the biggest plate of crow on November 7th that he’s ever seen.


2 posted on 11/01/2012 8:36:58 AM PDT by WashingtonSource
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

“Redefine the future of journalism”?

Lol. Ok.


3 posted on 11/01/2012 8:37:24 AM PDT by Psycho_Bunny (Thought Puzzle: Describe Islam without using the phrase "mental disorder" more than four times.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

What’s the big deal? Why don’t they make it $100,000? That would be more impressive.


4 posted on 11/01/2012 8:38:03 AM PDT by Castigar
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Joe Scarborough is a piece of crap as well, I think he will vote for Obama,,,He is a POS period


5 posted on 11/01/2012 8:39:02 AM PDT by Friendofgeorge (ASARAH PALIN 2012 OR BUST)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Donate money to the Red Cross? Why not just set fire to it?

How about donating to the Salvation Army instead?


6 posted on 11/01/2012 8:41:01 AM PDT by agere_contra ("Government creates nothing" - Romney, 2012)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

There’s your proof: Nate Silver is not an objective pollster, he’s an Obama activist. Compare with Scott Rasmussen, one of the few bona fide objective pollsters, who when asked by Hannity last night who is going to win the election he diplomatically stated something like (paraphrased) “I don’t know, and people who think they do are either delusional or self-promoting.” I actually sensed that was a shot across the bow at Dick Morris, who was on BOR just earlier. My emotions about this election are tied to Rasmussen’s data, for better or worse.


7 posted on 11/01/2012 8:41:09 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Psycho_Bunny
Lol. Ok.
no doubt this is as far from journalism as you can get. I may have to change my opinion of Silver, I guess this is his old online poker self showing up, betting on the odds. At least whoever loses the Red Cross wins.
8 posted on 11/01/2012 8:43:18 AM PDT by HenryArmitage (it was not meant that we should voyage far.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Friendofgeorge

He really is a pos.


9 posted on 11/01/2012 8:45:27 AM PDT by snarkytart
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: HenryArmitage
I guess this is his old online poker self showing up

Is there any record of this guy Silver being any good at poker? Not that aggregating other people's polls has anything to do with poker, of course.

10 posted on 11/01/2012 8:47:14 AM PDT by Zhang Fei (Let us pray that peace be now restored to the world and that God will preserve it always.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
I'm thinking it's a 53% (Romney) to 46% (Obama) win, and maybe 54% to 45%, with a Romney electoral college total of around 310, maybe 315.

5 day to go before Fundamental Restoration returns to America!

The Trunaround of 2012
http://www.jeffhead.com/turnaround2012.htm

Here's my three Romney win scenarios.

Worst Case Romney Win:

Likely Case Romney Win:

Best Case Romney Win:


11 posted on 11/01/2012 8:49:23 AM PDT by Jeff Head ( Freedom is not free, never has been, never will be (www.dragonsfuryseries.com))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Jeff Head

I am with you on the worst case. But, really, that is my more likely. CO polling consistently with Romney ahead, and that means something for a state that is perenially democratic. Wisconsin tied, which probably means that Romney is actually ahead. Iowa is tougher. Iowa will be a hard stated to garner. Still have hopes for Ohio, but am afraid of voting irregularities. Slim hope for Minn, and PA.


12 posted on 11/01/2012 8:54:31 AM PDT by job
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Zhang Fei

only what he claims. He stated that he got into political prediction because after selling his baseball formula work he earned a humble living playing online poker. After it was made illegal he started trying to figure out the odds of the “b@$-—ds that voted for it would be kicked out”


13 posted on 11/01/2012 9:00:30 AM PDT by HenryArmitage (it was not meant that we should voyage far.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Take that bet, Joe! The Red Cross needs the money!


14 posted on 11/01/2012 9:12:18 AM PDT by Mr. Silverback (Reagan @ only 39/Mondale +5/Dukakis +17/McCain +3...panic is unwarranted. So is complacency.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: WashingtonSource

“Nate Silver is going to eat the biggest plate of crow on November 7th that he’s ever seen.”

Nat Silver will make excuses while his boss, the New York Times, states how proud they are of him and what a valuable asset he is to journalism and how he was probably right but Republicans stole it in Ohio.


15 posted on 11/01/2012 9:14:34 AM PDT by DesScorp
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Not good enough. Silver should offer odds based on his “model’s” prediction. If he has Obama at 75%, that’s 3:1 odds he needs to offer.


16 posted on 11/01/2012 9:19:18 AM PDT by kevkrom (If a wise man has an argument with a foolish man, the fool only rages or laughs...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

BTW, notice how Scarborough says it could go either way and Silver insists he bet on Romney. Heh!


17 posted on 11/01/2012 9:21:52 AM PDT by Mr. Silverback (Reagan @ only 39/Mondale +5/Dukakis +17/McCain +3...panic is unwarranted. So is complacency.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: kevkrom
Not good enough. Silver should offer odds based on his “model’s” prediction. If he has Obama at 75%, that’s 3:1 odds he needs to offer.

Actually... today Silver has the odds at 80%. So, the bet should be 4:1! :-)

18 posted on 11/01/2012 9:26:45 AM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( The best minds are not in government. If any were, business would hire them)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: kevkrom

Agreed!


19 posted on 11/01/2012 9:27:59 AM PDT by Mr. Silverback (Reagan @ only 39/Mondale +5/Dukakis +17/McCain +3...panic is unwarranted. So is complacency.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: WashingtonSource

RE: Nate Silver is going to eat the biggest plate of crow on November 7th that he’s ever seen.

Look at the bright side, either way, the Red Cross gets $1000.


20 posted on 11/01/2012 9:38:48 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-29 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson