Not good enough. Silver should offer odds based on his “model’s” prediction. If he has Obama at 75%, that’s 3:1 odds he needs to offer.
posted on 11/01/2012 9:19:18 AM PDT
(If a wise man has an argument with a foolish man, the fool only rages or laughs...)
Not good enough. Silver should offer odds based on his models prediction. If he has Obama at 75%, thats 3:1 odds he needs to offer.
Actually... today Silver has the odds at 80%. So, the bet should be 4:1! :-)
posted on 11/01/2012 9:26:45 AM PDT
( The best minds are not in government. If any were, business would hire them)
posted on 11/01/2012 9:27:59 AM PDT
by Mr. Silverback
(Reagan @ only 39/Mondale +5/Dukakis +17/McCain +3...panic is unwarranted. So is complacency.)
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