Skip to comments.Nate Silver Ups The Ante On Historic Wager Offer With Joe Scarborough (Who will win the elections?)
Posted on 11/01/2012 8:32:50 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Punditry vs. numbers!
Old school journalists vs. data-driven wonks! Scouts vs. Moneyball!
Nate Silver (who has become increasingly embattled for his confident assessments of Obama's chances) just offered Joe Scarborough a wager that will redefine the future of journalism.
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
Nate Silver is going to eat the biggest plate of crow on November 7th that he’s ever seen.
“Redefine the future of journalism”?
What’s the big deal? Why don’t they make it $100,000? That would be more impressive.
Joe Scarborough is a piece of crap as well, I think he will vote for Obama,,,He is a POS period
Donate money to the Red Cross? Why not just set fire to it?
How about donating to the Salvation Army instead?
There’s your proof: Nate Silver is not an objective pollster, he’s an Obama activist. Compare with Scott Rasmussen, one of the few bona fide objective pollsters, who when asked by Hannity last night who is going to win the election he diplomatically stated something like (paraphrased) “I don’t know, and people who think they do are either delusional or self-promoting.” I actually sensed that was a shot across the bow at Dick Morris, who was on BOR just earlier. My emotions about this election are tied to Rasmussen’s data, for better or worse.
He really is a pos.
Is there any record of this guy Silver being any good at poker? Not that aggregating other people's polls has anything to do with poker, of course.
5 day to go before Fundamental Restoration returns to America!
The Trunaround of 2012
Here's my three Romney win scenarios.
Worst Case Romney Win:
Likely Case Romney Win:
Best Case Romney Win:
I am with you on the worst case. But, really, that is my more likely. CO polling consistently with Romney ahead, and that means something for a state that is perenially democratic. Wisconsin tied, which probably means that Romney is actually ahead. Iowa is tougher. Iowa will be a hard stated to garner. Still have hopes for Ohio, but am afraid of voting irregularities. Slim hope for Minn, and PA.
only what he claims. He stated that he got into political prediction because after selling his baseball formula work he earned a humble living playing online poker. After it was made illegal he started trying to figure out the odds of the “b@$-—ds that voted for it would be kicked out”
Take that bet, Joe! The Red Cross needs the money!
“Nate Silver is going to eat the biggest plate of crow on November 7th that hes ever seen.”
Nat Silver will make excuses while his boss, the New York Times, states how proud they are of him and what a valuable asset he is to journalism and how he was probably right but Republicans stole it in Ohio.
Not good enough. Silver should offer odds based on his “model’s” prediction. If he has Obama at 75%, that’s 3:1 odds he needs to offer.
BTW, notice how Scarborough says it could go either way and Silver insists he bet on Romney. Heh!
Actually... today Silver has the odds at 80%. So, the bet should be 4:1! :-)
RE: Nate Silver is going to eat the biggest plate of crow on November 7th that hes ever seen.
Look at the bright side, either way, the Red Cross gets $1000.
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