Posted on 11/01/2012 8:32:50 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Punditry vs. numbers!
Old school journalists vs. data-driven wonks! Scouts vs. Moneyball!
Nate Silver (who has become increasingly embattled for his confident assessments of Obama's chances) just offered Joe Scarborough a wager that will redefine the future of journalism.
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
Nate Silver is going to eat the biggest plate of crow on November 7th that he’s ever seen.
“Redefine the future of journalism”?
Lol. Ok.
What’s the big deal? Why don’t they make it $100,000? That would be more impressive.
Joe Scarborough is a piece of crap as well, I think he will vote for Obama,,,He is a POS period
Donate money to the Red Cross? Why not just set fire to it?
How about donating to the Salvation Army instead?
There’s your proof: Nate Silver is not an objective pollster, he’s an Obama activist. Compare with Scott Rasmussen, one of the few bona fide objective pollsters, who when asked by Hannity last night who is going to win the election he diplomatically stated something like (paraphrased) “I don’t know, and people who think they do are either delusional or self-promoting.” I actually sensed that was a shot across the bow at Dick Morris, who was on BOR just earlier. My emotions about this election are tied to Rasmussen’s data, for better or worse.
He really is a pos.
Is there any record of this guy Silver being any good at poker? Not that aggregating other people's polls has anything to do with poker, of course.
5 day to go before Fundamental Restoration returns to America!
The Trunaround of 2012
http://www.jeffhead.com/turnaround2012.htm
Here's my three Romney win scenarios.
Worst Case Romney Win:
Likely Case Romney Win:
Best Case Romney Win:
I am with you on the worst case. But, really, that is my more likely. CO polling consistently with Romney ahead, and that means something for a state that is perenially democratic. Wisconsin tied, which probably means that Romney is actually ahead. Iowa is tougher. Iowa will be a hard stated to garner. Still have hopes for Ohio, but am afraid of voting irregularities. Slim hope for Minn, and PA.
only what he claims. He stated that he got into political prediction because after selling his baseball formula work he earned a humble living playing online poker. After it was made illegal he started trying to figure out the odds of the “b@$-—ds that voted for it would be kicked out”
Take that bet, Joe! The Red Cross needs the money!
“Nate Silver is going to eat the biggest plate of crow on November 7th that he’s ever seen.”
Nat Silver will make excuses while his boss, the New York Times, states how proud they are of him and what a valuable asset he is to journalism and how he was probably right but Republicans stole it in Ohio.
Not good enough. Silver should offer odds based on his “model’s” prediction. If he has Obama at 75%, that’s 3:1 odds he needs to offer.
BTW, notice how Scarborough says it could go either way and Silver insists he bet on Romney. Heh!
Actually... today Silver has the odds at 80%. So, the bet should be 4:1! :-)
Agreed!
RE: Nate Silver is going to eat the biggest plate of crow on November 7th that he’s ever seen.
Look at the bright side, either way, the Red Cross gets $1000.
Exactly. In poker, you get a bad bluff, time to flush the weasel. Push it out of Silver's comfort zone.
I've seen a couple of posters mention something along these lines...what's wrong with the Red Cross?
Red Cross = scumbags that steal a good share of every dollar donated.
I wouldn’t pi$$ in their ear if their head was on fire.
Am afraid S E Cupp is close to reaching that same status...Chris Cristie whom I never liked, surpassed that status last few days
He already had that status in my book because of his hateful attacks on Gov Palin
Joe Scarborough (pos) said prior to Romney selecting Ryan as his running mate said this.....
“if Romney picks Ryan I will be more excited about voting Republican than I have been in more than 20 years” That was word for word basically what he said.
He only said it because at the time...It looked clearly to him that Romney would NOT pick Ryan, that was the only reason he said it...
He is currently hiding his excitement, he was sure hiding it well when he was on the rope line with Obama the other day...SARC
One minor quibble with your worst-case scenario: My gut feeling is that Ohio would go red before Wisconsin. That’s just my intuition, though.
I’ll take a grand if he offers 3-1 like his model says. I’ll give a grand to the Red Cross if Obama wins and he can give 3 grand to Priests for Life if Romney wins.
We’ll know five days from now by this time.
Here’s an “Uninstall Obama App,” we are going to apply on Novemebr 6th, and it cannot be hacked.
Pass it around!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BFdbrblWQ5o
That we shall.
Here’s an “Uninstall Obama App,” we are going to apply on Novemebr 6th, and it cannot be hacked.
I figured he was malware.
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