Posted on 10/11/2004 1:34:49 PM PDT by Bungarian
The results are cooked or more dems were polled. Look at Gallop's own poll concerning the debate and who won.
Sen. John Kerry and President George W. Bush battled each other to a virtual tie in Friday night's presidential debate, according to a random sample of 515 registered voters who watched the event. Forty-seven percent of viewers said Kerry did the better job; 45% picked Bush.
47 Kerry and 45 Bush
Now look at the results from the latest poll showing Kerry up on the same question.
30. Regardless of which candidate you happen to support, who do you think did the better job in last Friday’s debate: John Kerry or George W. Bush?
Kerry Bush Neither Both equally No opinion 2nd Presidential Debate 2004 Oct 9-10 45 30 1 10 14 1st Presidential Debate 2004 Oct 1-3 57 25 1 5 12 Based on 484 national adults in Form A.
Kerry 45 Bush 30
2 points difference in the first poll and 15 points in the latest poll.
This shows that the latest poll either has more dems or they cooked the numbers.
It's hard to believe would oversample Dems that much.
More likely is that these people watched the media spin the 2d debate into a Kerry victory. People believe what they are told.
Even the ABC "instapoll" (instapolls BTW are totally worthless) showed Kerry only winning the debate by 3%.
The horserace numbers are still tied, 48-48 registered, 49-48 Kerry ahead by one.
No problem. Only one poll matters, November 2, 2004.
I myself am getting sick of the polls, and I consider myself a poll junkie :) But I do think you have a point, AND I noticed when looking at RealClearPolitics.com that this same CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll has NEVER been conducted just on 2 days. It appears the general approach prior was to poll Friday-Sunday. So that doesn't make sense to me, makes me question consistency of result.
What were the poll numbers in Australia before Howard's victory?
It seems like Republican numbers are usually understated in the polls before national elections (2000 Gore vs. Bush being an exception).
This poll is psyops in full throttle.
Think your view of the poll representing more than 39% RATS or less than 35% Republican is an accurate!
The second poll is mostly of people that did not see the debate. How could Kerry receive all these votes!
Where is the Newsweak Poll this week???? Maybe they didn't like the results?
November 2nd. Bush 52% F'n 47% Assorted nuts 1%.
Exactly what I figured.
Howard was considered either tied or slightly behind going into the vote in Australia. How did it turn out?
No, Howard was ahead in the polls the last 2 weeks.
I am concerned that the primary reaction here to the Gallup and Zogby polls has been to make excuses and accusations of bias -- we need to be organzing and redoubling our efforts to reelect our President in the event that these polls are right.
I noticed the same thing. USA Today cooked the numbers.
You sure? I thought he was down, bashed by the MSM as headed for doom because of GW.
Your Right,these gallop polls always seem to favor the democrats. sometimes i think these polls are only taken in the Liberal Capital of the World: MASSACHUSETTS!!!
However accurate these polls are, Bush has work to do. At the next debate, he absolutely must score on these three issues: Kerry's liberal voting record; his absences from votes and committee meetings; the lie in Kerry's tax pledge, as noted in other discussions in this forum.
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