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Most accurate model predicts..who wins in 2020
Moody's Analytics

Posted on 06/13/2020 6:05:33 PM PDT by entropy12



TOPICS: Campaign News; Polls
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2020; 2020election; election2016; election2020; polls; trump
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To: This_Dude

” I hope you’re right. I’m not as optimistic. Country’s burning, economy isn’t doing so great and we’re in the middle of an insurrection.

Not to mention the absolutely rampant cheating that is guaranteed to take place.

Everything is at stake

Go head and call me a pearl clutched if you want, but I see problems on the horizon “

If I were a betting man , I’d bet on Biden especially if he picks a black woman as VP because everybody knows THAT is who will be POTUS relatively soon after Crazy Joe takes office and has to resign due to mental health issues .


21 posted on 06/13/2020 6:40:10 PM PDT by sushiman (i)
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To: entropy12

Most accurate model!!!

Stop before model kills again...


22 posted on 06/13/2020 6:43:22 PM PDT by Professional
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To: This_Dude

Given a choice between Democrats and the anarchists and support for BLM, rioters, horrible policies that hate middle America OR voting for the American People and voting for patriots, I hope American adults vote for America and it’s greatness.


23 posted on 06/13/2020 6:44:45 PM PDT by Hulka
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To: Hulka

Problem is most American adults suck.

Garbage In, Garbage Out.


24 posted on 06/13/2020 6:46:11 PM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: SamAdams76

I feel very good about November.

I’m hopeful. Got some dem/moderate friends who think their party has gone off the deep end. They are now thinking about voting for Trump. Will see.


25 posted on 06/13/2020 6:48:45 PM PDT by lizma2
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To: entropy12

I hope that’s a good model. The following is what I’m hearing locally between women. Most of them are like zombies, their noses following the clucking from big television companies and socialist counterculture social media.

LADY TROUBLES Trump ‘losing female vote to Biden by a historic margin not seen in more than 50 years’ – but men still on his side
https://www.the-sun.com/news/979095/president-trump-joe-biden-female-vote-historic-margin/


26 posted on 06/13/2020 6:49:47 PM PDT by familyop ( "Welcome to Costco. I love you." - -Costco greeter in the movie, "Idiocracy".)
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To: SamAdams76

Does the model take into account system wide cheating? It is going to happen.


27 posted on 06/13/2020 6:54:28 PM PDT by arthurus (t)
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To: arthurus

Republicans can cheat too. Two can play at that game.


28 posted on 06/13/2020 6:59:44 PM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: This_Dude

The insane rioting is flipping a lot of suburban moms/women to Trump. The Dems need to keep harping on defund the police and they will crash and burn.

They are scaring the hell out of people.


29 posted on 06/13/2020 7:00:52 PM PDT by headstamp 2 (There's a stairway to heaven, but there's also a highway to hell.)
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To: entropy12

Let’s hope it’s the Pocketbook model. But, honestly, I think all best are off with this election. Massive highs and lows in one term plus the polarizing effect of the media and the massive vote fraud that is likely in the works could change the equation dramatically.

In 2016, the Democrats thought they didn’t have to cheat to win. In 2020, they KNOW they will have to cheat to win. And so they will in every way possible. And the idiot GOP will not even challenge them over it.


30 posted on 06/13/2020 7:02:44 PM PDT by OrangeHoof (Step One of the recovery is 'flatten the curve'. Step Two is to flatten the tyrants.)
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To: dfwgator

Do not under-estimate silent majority. Remember we are not running McCain or Romney in 2020. Majority of people like prosperity over riots and like law and order. Trump is going to get higher percentage of AA vote in 2020 than in 2016. There are sane AA’s in the country and many of them are doing better than ever.

Fraud is the hallmark of democrats. But turnout can overwhelm fraud. Media Polls will be wrong again in 2020 same as in 2016.


31 posted on 06/13/2020 7:03:05 PM PDT by entropy12 (covid-19 separates the fearful from the freedom loving! If I am not afraid, no one should be.)
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To: Professional

32 posted on 06/13/2020 7:04:54 PM PDT by EEGator
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To: OrangeHoof

Voting is controlled by individual counties. Not by DNC. So fraud will be more in blue counties and blue states. So long as there is electoral college, we are going to be OK. Just do not get lazy and forget to vote.


33 posted on 06/13/2020 7:05:45 PM PDT by entropy12 (covid-19 separates the fearful from the freedom loving! If I am not afraid, no one should be.)
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To: SamAdams76

Except when the GOP does it they get caught and throw out the results, see NC congressional race 2018.


34 posted on 06/13/2020 7:13:07 PM PDT by redangus
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To: entropy12

if the dems can’t cheat nationwide with mail-in voting.

It will be bad enough they will attempt to do so with computer counted voting, they will be running mountains of fake ballots for dems through and that will be bad enough.


35 posted on 06/13/2020 7:13:17 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; Not Averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: SamAdams76
It may happen in isolated instances. The Democrats own the big cities and have long used their control of the vote count in the cities in a couple of states to swing those states to the Democrats. The cities send their vote totals in last so they know how many they need and add enough to swing the state. This time it will be done in every state that does not get a handle on it first. DJT won Florida and thus the election only because the Democrat vote counters in Broward County Florida ̣(my state) were incompetent. They tried but the Republican governor caught that act and closed it. In ststes like PA which has a Democrat governor and a Trump majority population there will be no Republican governor to stop the chicanery.
36 posted on 06/13/2020 7:16:25 PM PDT by arthurus (th)
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To: SamAdams76

Never underestimate the mercurial tendencies of the American voter.’


37 posted on 06/13/2020 7:24:13 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Prayers up for Rush Limbaugh...)
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To: arthurus

Trump has to win buy 200 000 votes in each swing state or the democrats will try and steal it...they probably have the ballots in the back rooms now....they were asleep last time...Hillary had it in the bag...

They almost got the Florida governor and senate race...


38 posted on 06/13/2020 7:38:24 PM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

Doesn’t really matter who wins anymore.

Trump has been rendered powerless.


39 posted on 06/13/2020 7:39:18 PM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: entropy12
Trump will be destroyed in early and mail-in voting. Election Day turnout will be lower because of Covid-19.

2020 Georgia primary voters: Dem 915,000; Rep 806,000
2016 Georgia primary voters: Dem 765,000: Rep 1,296,000

2020 Ohio primary voters: Dem 861,000; Rep 677,000
2016 Ohio primary voters: Dem 1,241,000; Rep 1,989,000

40 posted on 06/13/2020 7:42:01 PM PDT by Yosemite2000
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