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CNN/ORC National Poll – Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz Suffer Stunning Drops, Trump and Carson Gain
The Conservative Treehouse ^ | Feb. 29, 2016 | Sundance

Posted on 02/29/2016 5:04:20 PM PST by SatinDoll

A new CNN/ORC national poll (full pdf below) is being highlighted in the media discussion based on the top-line results: Donald Trump 49% !

However, that’s not the real headline in the data. The real lead story should be the damage Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz have done to themselves as they continue a scorched-earth campaign.

The first signals of a backlash appeared over the weekend’s polling when it became clear Senator Rubio and Senator Cruz where losing support at an exponential rate the longer they continued to make unfounded accusations. Donald Trump and Ben Carson are benefactors of the Rubio/Cruz kamikaze mission:

[See poll data here]

There’s an increased possibility Cruz may lose Texas if enough Trump supporters can turn out in any similar proportion to previous state turnouts. Ted Cruz entire campaign apparatus has fallen back upon Texas, and his latest rally (today) drew only a few hundred supporters.

It is increasingly improbable to project Ted Cruz as the likely winner of Texas when all other Super-Tuesday polling, and national polling, shows an entirely divergent reality.

Via CNN – Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are poised to lead the nation’s two major parties in this fall’s presidential election, with a new nationwide CNN/ORC poll finding each well ahead of their closest competitors just as the race expands to a national stage.

Trump has expanded his lead over the diminished field to capture the support of nearly half of Republican voters, while Clinton tops Sanders by nearly 20 points.

On the Republican side, the new survey finds Trump’s lead is dominant, and his support tops that of his four remaining opponents combined. The businessman tops his nearest competitor by more than 30 points: 49% back Trump, 16% Marco Rubio, 15% Ted Cruz, 10% Ben Carson and 6% John Kasich.

Trump’s supporters are incredibly enthusiastic about the coming election, and largely committed in their support for him. Nearly 8 in 10 say that they are more enthusiastic about voting this year than in previous elections, among Republicans who are not supporting Trump, just 39% say they are more enthusiastic than in years past.

Likewise, 78% of Trump’s backers say they will definitely support him vs. 22% who say they could still change their minds. Among those backing other candidates, 57% say they are committed to their chosen candidate.

The survey asked those Republicans not currently backing Trump whether they would support him if he became the party’s nominee, and just a quarter of Republicans overall say they probably or definitely wouldn’t support him in November. That’s about the same as the share saying they wouldn’t back Rubio or Cruz.


TOPICS: Florida; New York; Texas; Campaign News; Polls
KEYWORDS: 2016election; 2016polls; bencarson; cnsrvtvtreehouse; election2016; florida; marcorubio; newyork; sundance; supertuesday; tedcruz; texas; trump
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No wonder the GOPe is going ballistic, and trying to paint Donald with KKK associations.
1 posted on 02/29/2016 5:04:20 PM PST by SatinDoll
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To: SatinDoll

Trump train is unstoppable!

Death to the Uniparty!


2 posted on 02/29/2016 5:06:04 PM PST by TigerClaws
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To: TigerClaws
Stab to the Heart if Texas goes to Trump

I'll be glad to see that creepy guy gone

3 posted on 02/29/2016 5:08:08 PM PST by scooby321
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To: SatinDoll

350 people were polled, according to Rush....not enough to warrant those hyper-ventilating headlines.


4 posted on 02/29/2016 5:08:32 PM PST by txrefugee
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To: SatinDoll
Trump is coming He can’t be stopped He is the King of the Monsters
5 posted on 02/29/2016 5:09:11 PM PST by Donglalinger
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To: txrefugee

“according to Rush”

I remember when that used to mean something.


6 posted on 02/29/2016 5:10:03 PM PST by Eddie01
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To: SatinDoll

Marco & Teddy, the love that dare not speak its name , is bombing? Wow, I’m surprised...


7 posted on 02/29/2016 5:10:17 PM PST by heights
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To: SatinDoll

It will be shocking if Trump wins Texas. I doubt he will.


8 posted on 02/29/2016 5:10:48 PM PST by PghBaldy (12/14 - 930am -rampage begins... 12/15 - 1030am - Obama's advance team scouts photo-op locations.)
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To: SatinDoll

I do not know if it is true, but what I do know that if it is true then I am not surprised, because that last debate was ridiculous.

Rubio made a mockery of it, before that debate the crowd made a mockery of it, which was done by the establishment.


9 posted on 02/29/2016 5:11:05 PM PST by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: SatinDoll

If the poll just before election day has a sudden shift, it means the pollsters were lying before.


10 posted on 02/29/2016 5:11:39 PM PST by PapaBear3625 (Big government is attractive to those who think that THEY will be in control of it.)
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To: SatinDoll

Cruz trying to run as anti-establishment ATTACKING disgracefully the epitome of an anti-establishment candidate in Donald Trump wasn’t a good plan.


11 posted on 02/29/2016 5:12:46 PM PST by DouglasKC
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To: SatinDoll

Not surprising.

When Rubio and Cruz started to act like Trump they lost a lot of people who were only supporting them because they were not Trump.


12 posted on 02/29/2016 5:13:40 PM PST by Helicondelta
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To: txrefugee

1010 adults. 920 registered voters


13 posted on 02/29/2016 5:14:35 PM PST by stocksthatgoup (My first choice is Trump 4 economics and Not a Politician . Cruz to endorse Rubio Stay Home)
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To: SatinDoll

Contrary to the TV talking heads and political pundits I thought Ben Carson came in second to Trump at the last “debate,” ahead of the two yapping Chihuahuas and The Ohio Chopper.


14 posted on 02/29/2016 5:14:56 PM PST by TTFlyer
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To: Helicondelta
I understand why some people simply don't care for Trump's style. But how is Marco Rubio 2.0 supposed to attract those voters? He simply comes off abrasive and phony. Makes no sense.

I expect Ben Carson to do better than expect tomorrow in Texas and throughout the country.
15 posted on 02/29/2016 5:22:39 PM PST by Publius22
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To: scooby321

It’s game over if Texas goes Trump. It’s a great thought but I won’t bet the farm.


16 posted on 02/29/2016 5:26:38 PM PST by sparklite2 ( "The white man is the Jew of Liberal Fascism." -Jonah Goldberg)
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To: DouglasKC
Cruz and Rubio working together so soon after Rubio accused Cruz of insulting the Bible was not believable. Cruz after spending over a month trying to convince us the wall was his idea, then tag teaming with Rubio was not believable. It seemed like a Cuban mafia was working against eligible candidates. It had to get the supporters of both of them wondering what the heck is going on.

One thing, for sure. Neither one has core beliefs that govern their actions.

17 posted on 02/29/2016 5:27:37 PM PST by grania
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To: heights
Trump can pull off parody and sniping humor.

Cruz and Rubio most certainly cannot. Trump can be Don Rickles and Cruz/Rubio are Dan Quayle.

18 posted on 02/29/2016 5:27:45 PM PST by blackdog (There is no such thing as healing, only a balance between destructive and constructive forces.)
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To: txrefugee

Interviews with 1,001 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC International on February 24 - 27, 2016. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. The sample also includes 920 interviews among registered voters (plus or minus 3 percentage points). This sample includes 600 interviews among landline respondents and 401 interviews among cell phone respondent

http://theconservativetreehouse.com/2016/02/29/cnnorc-national-poll-marco-rubio-and-ted-cruz-suffer-stunning-drops-trump-and-carson-gain/


19 posted on 02/29/2016 5:29:24 PM PST by JayGalt
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To: SatinDoll

Going wholly negative wrecked Rubio. He simply cannot pull it off.


20 posted on 02/29/2016 5:29:40 PM PST by MNJohnnie ( Tyranny, like Hell, is not easily conquered)
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