Posted on 04/02/2015 11:56:20 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
As Jeb Bush has learned on the turn of April Fool's Day, it's never too early in a presidential campaign to have a rough week. With Bush backpedalling on his support for Indiana's hotly contested gay discrimination law and rival Ted Cruz riding a surge off his official announcement, Jeb's once commanding lead in key primary states has disappeared, a pair of new polls today finds.
Though Jeb still leads his native Florida, even the Sunshine State race is tightening up, with his support from Republican voters dipping nearly 10 points and Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker close on his heels.
"The Wisconsin governor has climbed into the first tier of contenders along with establishment favorite Jeb Bush, who can’t be happy with his numbers today,” Peter A. Brown, the assistant director of the Quinnipiac Poll, says this morning of the new poll.
The latest numbers from Quinnipiac University, which sampled just over 1,000 registered voters at the end of March, finds Bush with 24 percent support in Florida; that's down from 32 percent last month in the last Q-poll. Walker clocks in at second with 15 percent, while Sen. Marco Rubio is still a distant third at 12 percent. (Though that could change in a hurry with Rubio making an April 13 announcement here in Miami on his presidential run.)
Bush's numbers are even more dire in the rest of the key primary states, Quinnipiac finds. Bush is essentially tied in Ohio with Walker, Cruz and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, all of whom trail that state's Gov. John Kasich's 20 percent support. In Pennsylvania, Jeb is locked with former Sen. Rick Santorum and Florida-based doctor Ben Carson, all of whom trail Walker's 14 percent backing.
A lot could change quickly in each of those states, but the poll cements the growing consensus that no one is going to run away with the GOP nomination — even if Bush has been fundraising like a madman for months.
A separate new poll from Public Policy Polling adds to that consensus and shows that Cruz is back in the game thanks to his official presidential bid announced at Liberty University last week.
PPP surveyed more than 500 registered Republicans for their poll and found Bush, Walker and Cruz all at the top of the field within the 4.7 percent margin of error. Walker led at 20 percent, with Bush next at 17 and Cruz at 16 percent. Rubio landed just six percent in that poll.
Bush also seems to be a more polarizing figure, PPP found, with a nearly even favorability/unfavorability split at 38-37 percent. Rubio, by comparison, is viewed favorably by 55 percent of voters and unfavorably by just 28 percent.
Who knows how Rubio's official entry to the race in just over a week will shake up the field, but if Cruz's numbers this week are any indication, the GOP primary horse race is going to get even tighter at the top.
Sorta poetic justice.
Jebbie and his family been pushing the Invasion so hard and trying to market themselves as Nuevo Mexicans, but why take the fake Hispanic when ya can have the real thing?
Somebody forgot to tell the Bushes that “hispanics” are white people from Spain, not all a bunch of Mestizos who they can manipulate easily.
Today’s ABC-WaPo poll shows Hillary slaughtering every GOP opponent by 14-20 points, and measures RVs at a 30D-22R-38I sampling.
That poll is meaningless.
I will bet a hundred bucks that I could come up with a multiple choice test consisting of factual questions about HRC that FReepers could ace in their sleep and those that were polled would fail miserably.
As she should at this stage. Name recognition, plus the GOP voters are splintered among many. Hilary Clinton is essentially the expected Democratic candidate. Wasn’t Jimmy Carter ahead of all the GOP candidates by double digits until after the GOP primaries, and still got slaughtered by Ronald Reagan in 1980?
“Somebody forgot to tell the Bushes that “hispanics” are white people from Spain, not all a bunch of Mestizos who they can manipulate easily.”
This will be interesting..
Yeah. Wait for it...
“I’m more Mexican than you!”
Nobody but the cheap labor importers want Jebster to run for President.
I had always heard that he was the smart one, but he doesn’t seem so smart to me. He’s running as a Democrat in an R jersey and expects us to believe he’s a conservative.
Stay home Jeb, save us all a lot of heartburn. If you get the nod, you’ll lose bigger than Goldwater and be responsible for the death of the GOP.
I am out every day telling people I meet to not vote for Bush and telling them why.
Most of the time I get this reply. “Are you sure why have I not heard this on the evening news or TV” I then get the phone out and go on the internet to show them and they agree in the end they will not vote for him
Irrelevant. The focus has not yet been on Hillary’s crimInality and failures. Bob
You are a true trooper!
Yeah ....
Is he a Bush-Clinton or a Clinton-Bush?
I was never clear on that.
Was out earlier and got talking to a woman there. She said she would vote for Bush because he was a good Gov and I went through the usual info I do and it took some time but she got it in the end. Her husband came out and asked what was going on.
She said to him” did you know about Bush and illegal immigration and this common core thing in the schools?” He said yes and would never for him.
He shook my hand and we parted.
I do things like this in public too.
My current pet project is using the term REGRESSIVE all the time.
It’s the only way we can get the facts out because most people sadly watch their evening news or local news and think that is the truth.
The national media is a joke and biased.
Wasn’t that the kind of polling Hillary was getting in the summer and fall of 2007? At that time the media were giddy about the prospect of the first female president and many people, including our side, thought Hillary’s presidency was inevitable. That is until The One appeared and then it was bye bye Hillary. Nine months is a long time in politics, but I think it will be deja vu again for Hillary. The Dems have someone in the wings to take her on.
Cruz is going to show how these rigged, front loaded primaries can work to a conservative’s benefit. He so far is the only candidate who isn’t backtracking, “explaining,” or changing course.
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