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Bob Shrum: R.I.P., Mitt Romney
The Daily Beast ^ | November 2, 2012 | Robert Shrum

Posted on 11/02/2012 9:28:35 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Mitt made multiple mistakes that will lead to his defeat on Tuesday. Some of them date all the way back to 2008.

The campaign has come down to a race between Mitt’s media and Mitt’s mistakes—and the mistakes are winning.

We have now crossed the billion dollar mark in ad purchases. In Ohio alone, the two sides, Super PACs and all, are spending $30 million in the closing week—and in the battleground states overall, Romney forces are outspending Obama by $30 million.

But the contest is not as unbalanced as the numbers. The Obama money goes further because more of the total buy has been placed by the campaign itself, which by law pays less for television time than outside groups. Obama’s strategists also got more for less than the Romney enterprise by buying well in advance, when the so-called lowest unit rate was lower. In any event, the airwaves in the swing states are saturated. The Thursday before the election, the noon news on the CBS station in Columbus, Ohio, featured 22 political spots one after another. A lot of it, perhaps most of it, is so much electoral wallpaper.

What matters more is what happened months or even years ago, when Mitt Romney inflicted serial damage on himself that can’t be wiped away by a last-minute ad barrage or a barnstorming tour through the final hours.

Go all the way back to Nov. 18, 2008, when Romney wrote that op-ed in The New York Times headlined: “Let Detroit Go Bankrupt.” Few pieces have had as long or relevant a political life. Michigan, Mitt’s original home state, and Ohio, home to 850,000 auto industry-related jobs, have proved stubbornly resistant to a Republican nominee who seems so conspicuously hostile to their livelihoods. If the President carries both states, Romney’s prospects next Tuesday look about as promising as the Edsel’s in the 1950s. For those too young to remember it, the car was a landmark flop. Wikipedia offers a commonly accepted explanation: it was “a supreme example of the corporate culture’s failure to understand American consumers.”

Romney’s op-ed was a supreme example of a corporate guy’s failure to understand American voters. He can quibble that he favored “a managed bankruptcy”—without the use of federal funds. The Obama campaign—and most experts—respond that in the depth of the financial crisis, there was no private capital available to keep the auto companies in business while they were reorganized. That’s true, but almost beside the point. What’s indelible, immediately apprehensible, persistently top-of-mind is the headline itself. Romney could have claimed he didn’t write it; he didn’t. He could have argued it wasn’t what he meant. Instead, he doubled down, telling an interviewer: “That’s exactly what I said—the headline you read—‘Let Detroit Go Bankrupt.’”

In a last-ditch attempt to crack Ohio and Michigan, Romney has now resorted to advertising an outright lie—that Chrysler’s Jeep division will soon move its jobs from the United States to China. The media has debunked the fiction, which was borrowed from the fantasy precincts of the rightwing blogs. The Detroit press called it “false” in a news story— not just on the editorial page. TV stations have scorned the Romney spot—at times, pre-emptively refuting it just before it airs. When Bozo the Trump tweeted the lie, a Chrysler Vice President swiftly tweeted back: “You are full of shit.” The Obama response ad was easy to make, entirely believable—and of course, showed a grimly grinning Romney letting Detroit go bankrupt. Maybe he’s created a new watchword and a warning for Presidential politics: Would that mine opponent would write an op-ed.

Now fast forward nearly four years to last summer in a second, probably fateful Mitt mistake. It fits with the first one—and reinforces the narrative of an out-of-touch, plutocratic candidate who doesn’t care about working families or the middle class. Romney let the Obama campaign pummel and define him as the profiteering-job destroyer from Bain. Eighteen years after this attack shattered his Senate bid against Ted Kennedy, you would think Mitt had an answer other than nostrums about “free-enterprise.” The fact that he didn’t offer one suggests that there isn’t a convincing one. When he was asked on CBS, he simply brushed the question aside: the President is “grasping at any straw he can find.”

After a summer of dithering, the Romney campaign fled to relatively contentless website www.sterlingbusinesscareer.com defending his tenure at Bain. This is an inexplicable case of lame and latter-day rather than rapid response. According to Politico, the site has attracted “far fewer than the number of eyeballs on the Bain attacks on the airwaves.” Ceding the ground here left Romney’s favorable-unfavorable rates upside down with swing voters from Las Vegas to Toledo— and left him with a steep hill to climb. Even as he made progress, which he finally did, he has been struggling to erase the deficit.

The struggle intensified when he selected Paul Ryan as his running mate instead of the safer, Ohio-friendly Senator Rob Portman—the choice of most of Romney’s advisers. Ryan, who has proposed to replace Medicare with Vouchercare, instantly threatened the nominee’s margin with seniors, who are essential to assembling a barely sufficient GOP coalition. Some Republicans rejoice that their vulnerability here has been blunted by charging—falsely by the way—that Obamacare cut more than $700 billion from Medicare (the cuts were in excessive payments to entities like insurance companies.) But the GOP campaign has had to spend time and millions of dollars on this—and the hard evidence suggests that for them the battle is being lost. The latest Democracy Corps survey reports: “[On] Medicare … Obama [is] trusted by 14 points over Romney in the states where the issue has been contested in advertising from both sides.”

If the Republicans lose Florida—and when Obama holds on to senior-rich Pennsylvania, Mitt’s last, least hope—put it down to the Ryan mistake. The choice didn’t even achieve one effect its champions insistently predicted— that it would energize the sanforized Romney. Instead of Romney being Ryanized, Ryan has been Romneyized. He’s become a bland non-presence—which, given the sharp edge of his views, may be the better part of rightwing valour.

Then came other big mistakes, interrupted by one notable success.

The convention, which was supposed to introduce and humanize the Republican nominee on its last night, morphed into a Saturday Night Live skit. It was an elementary failure of event planning to let an unscripted Clint Eastwood conduct a farcical debate with an empty chair- and then to push real-people testimonials to Romney’s character out of prime time so Florida Sen. Marco Rubio could talk more about himself than Mitt. There was no bounce—and a marked decline for the Republican nominee after a bravura Democratic Convention a week later in Charlotte.

If the Obama of the second debate had showed up to the first, the election would have been over then and there. But he didn’t; it was his mistake and Romney’s singular moment. But the Republican seemed to have no coherent plan for his second and third encounters with the President other than insisting that the race was simply a referendum: If you’re kind of dissatisfied with the economy, give me a try; after all, I am in the midst of a moderate makeover. This typifies the pervasive error of the Romney strategy. The Obama forces cast the election as a choice: who’s on your side—on tax fairness, on fighting for the middle class, on equality for women and all Americans, on decency towards immigrants? The President vigorously prosecuted his case in the last two debates- and Romney ended up on the wrong side on choice after choice.

I had predicted that Mitt could win the first debate—and he clearly did. But I argued that this would not change the structure of the race unless Obama stumbled again—and he didn’t. The Romney “momentum,” which was less than it was cracked up to be, has long since stopped for all but the delusional and disingenuous Dick Morris, the turncoat Clinton adviser who laughably foresees a Romney “landslide.” I guess this is what Rupert Murdoch pays him for; at least, Morris could have gotten the electoral votes right for the states he mentioned. Karl Rove, now also of Fox, has offered up more modulated happy-talk. But as Romney desperately reaches for Pennsylvania and Minnesota, virtually no one believes the spin—apparently not even Newt Gingrich, whose blog slipped up and posted a prediction that “Obama is going to win.”

Romney’s colossal mistake on Libya in the second debate also prepared the way for the real October surprise, the bromance between the President and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie. Mitt was slapped down for politicizing Libya in that debate—and reproved by moderator Candy Crowley for being outright wrong on whether Obama had called the attack an “act of terror.” The GOP nominee refused to venture back into the controversy the next time the two candidates met. He had disabled himself; despite the fevered advice of the neocons, and the relentless conspiracy-mongering of the embittered John McCain, Romney was quiescent. And the real issue at stake wasn’t just foreign policy, where Obama is far ahead, but ultimately the quality and character of his Presidential leadership. The response to Hurricane Sandy was the sequel— and the President’s most powerful and persistent validator was Romney’s convention keynoter, Chris Christie. He showered praise on Obama as “wonderful”—and added: “If you think right now I give a damn about presidential politics, then you don’t know me.”

I think I know who’s going to win when I hear the bloviating Rush Limbaugh denounces Christie as “a Greek column” for Obama’s reelection. And you can measure the desperation of the Romney Campaign not only in his sudden apparition in Pennsylvania—if he can’t make it in Ohio, he has to try somewhere else—but in the race-baiting of the bumptious John Sununu, Romney’s co-chair, who attributed Colin Powell’s endorsement of the President to the fact that they’re both African-Americans.

Whether this was intentional or a mistake, it was plainly shameful. And as I have argued before, it was a mistake for Mitt’s strategists to invest so much in the wallpaper of late advertising while neglecting field organization—where Obama has a deep-rooted and potentially decisive edge.

Finally, Romney made some unavoidable mistakes embedded in the DNA of today’s GOP. He assumed, correctly, that in the primaries he had to pander on social issues to the religious right— and on immigration to a party that has become the modern incarnation of nativism. He can plead in mitigation that he had no choice—and if that is so, look for another Republican defeat in 2016. On Nov. 7, Romney may be asking himself: What does it profit a Mitt to gain a nomination and lose his chance to make history in the White House?

Still, the fault is not just in his party but in himself. The Romney campaign has been a trail of missteps—and the Obama managers masterfully took advantage of this and took control of the race. So let’s thank Mitt for making his own mistakes. As we may have noticed, he’s very good at it. Romney—R.I.P.


TOPICS: Campaign News; Issues; Polls
KEYWORDS: bho2012; democrats; obama; polls; romney; shrum
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Remember, this is the guy who famously called Sen. John Kerry "Mr. President" after seeing the first exit poll results for the 2004 election.
1 posted on 11/02/2012 9:28:49 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Mitt was slapped down for politicizing Libya in that debate—and reproved by moderator Candy Crowley for being outright wrong on whether Obama had called the attack an “act of terror.”

What planet does this clown live on? Mitt was right, and Crowley even went on to admit it!
2 posted on 11/02/2012 9:31:12 PM PDT by verum ago (Some people must truly be in love, for only love can be so blind.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Bob Shrum is high on himself.


3 posted on 11/02/2012 9:32:15 PM PDT by RichInOC (No! BAD Rich! (What'd I say?))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The pressure is getting to the commie libs like Shrum. Many are ready for the happy house with the padded walls.


4 posted on 11/02/2012 9:32:24 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (The Red Cross says, Vote For Obama!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

You’d think Shrum would say something intelligent enough to maybe get him hired in 2016, but maybe he’s had enough.


5 posted on 11/02/2012 9:33:50 PM PDT by bigbob
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The tragic parts of this are that this psycho gets paid money to this kind of crap, and there are STILL people that are stupid enough to believe the picture these accomplices paint. Sadly, they are allowed also to vote.....

God be with us on Tuesday night. Please save our country.


6 posted on 11/02/2012 9:33:50 PM PDT by EagleUSA
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

LOL Poor lib..must suck to see those polls from PA showing Romney up FOUR..libs are going to be on suicide watch after this election..but don’t expect me to have any sympathy for them, they can all commit mass suicide for all I care


7 posted on 11/02/2012 9:33:55 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Shrum should be parking cars for a living...presuming he knows how to drive.

This election officially is in the bag now.

8 posted on 11/02/2012 9:34:16 PM PDT by decal (I'm not rude, I don't suffer fools is all.)
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To: verum ago

He wishes it were possible to smear Mitt with such chicken feed. The public has long ago said it does not care.


9 posted on 11/02/2012 9:34:52 PM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (cat dog, cat dog, alone in the world is a little cat dog)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
He also worked for the campaigns of President Dukakis and President Gore. ROTLMAO
10 posted on 11/02/2012 9:34:52 PM PDT by Reaganez
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Whatevuh .....Butt Boy.

Not you of corpse...LOL


11 posted on 11/02/2012 9:34:59 PM PDT by Vendome (Don't take life so seriously, you won't live through it anyway)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Hmmmmm ..?? Bob Schrum ..?? Isn’t this the same campaign manager WHO HAS NEVER WON AN ELECTION ..??

I rest my case!!


12 posted on 11/02/2012 9:35:35 PM PDT by CyberAnt ("America is the greatest nation on the face of the earth".)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

bob shrum, who never met a presidential campaign he didn’t LOSE.


13 posted on 11/02/2012 9:35:47 PM PDT by MestaMachine (obama kills and none dare call it treason)
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To: verum ago
Republican momentum has the Left is denial. The polls are pointing to a Romney win and the piss-stream media won't affirm any of it. They're so in the tank it would kill them to do so!

Romney-Ryan, November 6th

Photobucket

14 posted on 11/02/2012 9:36:08 PM PDT by BobP (The piss-stream media - Never to be watched again in my house)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Watched him on CNBC this evening - not credible! He is one of those liberal fellows that continues to spread lies regardless of the consequences (you know even if the MSM has discredited them - one of their own!). That does seem to be a problem with Liberals on TV these days - they keep spreading outright lies with no Liberal backup.

It is becoming so common that I automatically either change the channel or laugh at their statements. That means that I am watching some other channel other than one that will actually challenge them on what they are saying...heh.

That leaves out several channels... but you know who you are...


15 posted on 11/02/2012 9:36:08 PM PDT by Deagle (quo)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Wow. Reading this, it becomes clear very quickly why he loses every race he runs. His is not real familiar with reality, and lives in a leftist bubble.


16 posted on 11/02/2012 9:37:19 PM PDT by ilgipper (Obama supporters are comprised of the uninformed & the ill-informed)
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To: CyberAnt

You beat me by 12 seconds. Dang.


17 posted on 11/02/2012 9:37:41 PM PDT by MestaMachine (obama kills and none dare call it treason)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Oh, I knew his name was familiar. He’s Mr. Proud-of-my-Dukakis-campaign.

Loooooooooooser!

The Betamax of campaign advisors.


18 posted on 11/02/2012 9:37:55 PM PDT by verum ago (Some people must truly be in love, for only love can be so blind.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
And this, children, is why sniffing glue is bad for you.
19 posted on 11/02/2012 9:39:57 PM PDT by meadsjn
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To: bigbob
How many campaigns has he lost at the helm? Every one. A fool knows no bounds.
20 posted on 11/02/2012 9:39:57 PM PDT by Fungi
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Whew! I feel so much better that Shrum called it for his side! There is not a man with a worse track record!


21 posted on 11/02/2012 9:41:27 PM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
I remember Scum Shrum back to Muskie.

He has been involved a one level or another in 7 presidential campaigns.

No candidate of his has won except Carter but Scum resigned from Carter's campaign after 10 days, he saw no way Carter would win.

So his prediction about Romney could be the best thing to ever happen to Romney's campaign.

22 posted on 11/02/2012 9:43:25 PM PDT by Positive (Nothing is sadder than to see a beautiful theory murdered by a gang of brutal facts.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

How can Shrum shovel dirt on anyone else when his whole career has been six feet under for decades?


23 posted on 11/02/2012 9:46:27 PM PDT by Kingosaurus
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

It looks like the Daily Beast was in dire need of some filler material.


24 posted on 11/02/2012 9:46:27 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (The Red Cross says, Vote For Obama!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“Bob Shrum: R.I.P., Mitt Romney”

Seriously? That is his message, R.I.P.?

Sorry, but if that had been said about zero a bazillion Secret Service dudes would be all over this guy.

Disgusting.


25 posted on 11/02/2012 9:49:04 PM PDT by Reddy (B.O. stinks)
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To: RichInOC
Bob Shrum is high on himself.

Shrum is an idiot. I don't think he ever gets it right.

Shrum to John Kerry - “Let me be the first to call you Mr. President.”

26 posted on 11/02/2012 9:49:11 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: CyberAnt
Hmmmmm ..?? Bob Schrum ..?? Isn’t this the same campaign manager WHO HAS NEVER WON AN ELECTION ..?? I rest my case!!

100% agreement. I have been slightly worried just since the storm that Romney was fading, but now that Bob Shrum, the architect of every losing democrat disaster campaign, says bronco bama president per se is winning ??!!?? HAHAHAHA .

I feel SO much BETTER. Mitt has it in the bag now.

27 posted on 11/02/2012 9:49:33 PM PDT by builder (I don't want a piece of someone else's pie)
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To: verum ago

Betamax had the quality edge, but was not as cheap as its rival and that’s why it lost out.


28 posted on 11/02/2012 9:49:50 PM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (cat dog, cat dog, alone in the world is a little cat dog)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

29 posted on 11/02/2012 9:53:59 PM PDT by bigbob
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Is this the same Bob Shrum who has lost 11 out of 12 campaigns he has managed or something like that?


30 posted on 11/02/2012 9:55:53 PM PDT by jimfree (In Nov 2012 my 12 y/o granddaughter has more relevant&quality executive experience than Barack Obama)
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To: RichInOC
Bob Shrum is high on himself.

It must be dizzying to be Bob Shrum.

31 posted on 11/02/2012 9:56:54 PM PDT by John Valentine (Deep in the Heart of Texas)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
I stopped Reading A ‘Bob Shrum”

He is the Paul Krugman of Politics.

32 posted on 11/02/2012 10:00:30 PM PDT by UNGN (I've been here since '98 but had nothing to say until now)
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To: verum ago

he teaches at nyu. what would you expect


33 posted on 11/02/2012 10:01:43 PM PDT by willywill
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
what a moron, do they ever tell the truth about anything?

Go all the way back to Nov. 18, 2008, when Romney wrote that op-ed in The New York Times headlined: “Let Detroit Go Bankrupt.”

Who wrote the headline? hint: Not the author of the column

34 posted on 11/02/2012 10:03:03 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

He must get paid by the word.


35 posted on 11/02/2012 10:17:36 PM PDT by ShasheMac
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To: verum ago
hah, the sad, self abusive, commentary , of a loser, for a loser. Shrum just dove over the cliff in an attempt to depress , what has proved to be undepressable, the conservative turnout.

It is a combination of a solid middle of the road candidate combined with extreme , left wing, nitwitery of obama and the utter contempt his policies have for America, economically and politically.

36 posted on 11/02/2012 10:18:38 PM PDT by ping jockey (I would rather die a free christian than live , enslaved, and separated from my GOD.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

This article makes me feel better already! Bob Shrum was a consultant for Michael Dukakis, Al Gore, John Kerry!


37 posted on 11/02/2012 10:19:41 PM PDT by Paleo Conservative
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

38 posted on 11/02/2012 10:20:29 PM PDT by Colonel Kangaroo
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I heard Zer0 repeating Shrum’s horse manure on the campaign stump. If the DemonRATs have no record of success, they attack their opponent with lies. The ends justifies the means.


39 posted on 11/02/2012 10:21:03 PM PDT by jonrick46 (Countdown to 11-06-2012)
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To: Paleo Conservative

He’s just digging for money and throwing guano to his base.


40 posted on 11/02/2012 10:21:46 PM PDT by eyedigress ((zOld storm chaser from the west)/?)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Like I'm going to listen to or believe anything this guy has to say.

"the "Shrum Curse," as it's become known, continued unabated. Shrum worked on the failed presidential campaigns of Richard Gephardt and Michael Dukakis in 1988, Bob Kerrey in 1992, and Al Gore in 2000. "

publicintegrity.org

41 posted on 11/02/2012 10:22:31 PM PDT by Daaave ("You Nexus, huh? I design your eyes.")
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To: Reddy

It’s a misprint. It’s supposed to read “Bob Shrum, R.I.P. (Signed) Mitt Romney.”


42 posted on 11/02/2012 10:23:58 PM PDT by ShasheMac
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Hey Bob, are you still wetting your bed?

We really should repost this after the election just to show how dumb Shrum really is.


43 posted on 11/02/2012 10:26:12 PM PDT by Bullish (The stench from this amateur regime stinks all the way to Kenya.)
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To: ping jockey

And did you read the comments after the article. Seriously, these nut jobs need to be medicated..


44 posted on 11/02/2012 10:28:27 PM PDT by BlueStateRefugee
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

He’s acting like the entire election is a referendum on Romney. No, Romney hasn’t been President the last four years. This election is about Obama and his failing us all on the Economy, Foreign Policy, and debt.

If we get out and vote, Romney wins big, and we will vote !


45 posted on 11/02/2012 10:29:33 PM PDT by MacMattico
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Bob Schrum....always wrong.....


46 posted on 11/02/2012 10:32:34 PM PDT by Nifster
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Shrum be trippin on shrooms.


47 posted on 11/02/2012 10:46:21 PM PDT by rawcatslyentist ("Behold, I am against you, O arrogant one," Jeremiah 50:31)
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Comment #48 Removed by Moderator

To: 2ndDivisionVet

“The latest Democracy Corps survey reports...”

Well, now THERE’s a reliable, unbiased source. LOL!

Shrum is so far out in the weeds on this one it’s kinda sad. It’s almost as if he thinks it’s still six months until the election, and is trying to get Romney to second-guess himself or maybe sabotage himself by taking Shrummy’s advice.

Either way, he’s full of beans.


49 posted on 11/02/2012 11:15:19 PM PDT by DemforBush (100% Ex-Democrat.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Finally, the electoral kiss of death for obama.


50 posted on 11/02/2012 11:21:58 PM PDT by jwalsh07
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