Posted on 09/04/2012 11:46:53 AM PDT by MNJohnnie
he prolific Democratic polling firm has the president ahead, by tightening margins, in two swing states. Here's Colorado:
PPP's first post-convention Colorado poll finds Barack Obama continuing to hold the lead over Mitt Romney in the state, 49-46. This is, however, the closest PPP has found the race in four Colorado polls this year suggesting that Romney may have received a modest bounce in the state.
Last month we found Obama ahead by a 49-43 margin in Colorado. But in the wake of his selection of Paul Ryan as his running mate and the Republican convention Romney has consolidated the GOP vote, going from an 85-10 advantage with his party base to an 89-8 one. He continues to trail in the state because of his struggles with independents there though. Obama has a 48-41 lead with them, a trend that's been consistent in our polling there all year.
And Michigan:
PPP's first likely voters poll in Michigan this year finds Barack Obama with a solid lead in the state, 51-44. That's down a good bit from our last registered voters poll in July which found Obama ahead 53-39. That's a reflection of the fact that the state could be looking at a very different electorate in 2012 than it had in 2008. We find that 34% of likely voters on this poll are Republicans compared with 33% who are Democrats. Exit polls last time showed 41% of voters as Democrats and just 29% as Republicans.
Nevertheless, Obama still has a healthy lead. That reflects the fact that despite his ties to the state, Michigan voters just don't embrace Romney. Only 45% have a favorable opinion of him to 49% with an unfavorable one. They don't accept Romney as one of their own either — only 34% consider him to be a Michigander to 57% who do not.
Like most data on the Obama-Romney matchup, there's a glass half-full and half-empty read for both sides. Any lead is good news for a president as vulnerable as this one, but Romney can take some comfort in the fact that he's closed the gap.
Colorado
[Romney’s up 49-46 with men, 49-47 with white voters, and 51-46 with voters over 45. ]
These numbers are fishy. Where did they poll? Boulder?
I agree. Michigan and Pennsylvania voters can't bring themselves to make that leap of faith to the light, apparently. Change is hard for those who have become conditioned to believe they're more secure and protected with a democrat in the White House.
By contrast, because Colorado only slid to to the darkside last election, its voters might be more willing to set themselves right. Ditto for here in Virginia and in NC and FL.
Across the board, even with Rasmussen, the key phrase is “Obama is up” in these swing states.With unemployment >8.3% for forever, gas $4+/gal everywhere but New Jersey, the debt passing $16 T, and the middle east and central Asia about to go boom, the idea that Obama is leading is astonishing. In a sane world Donald Duck would have a 10 point lead. Why? I think people don’t want to believe their ‘08 vote for history failed. Too many accept either the Bush’s fault or Republicans are only for the rich memes,or maybe the Paulites and ideologically pure conservatives really are going to teach the GOP a lesson and stay home. Whatever the reason, Nov 6 is not looking too promising.
Um no Rassmussen has Obama down in his swing state poll
Obayma is up by that much if you only involve democrats in the poll. from Michigan.
Sorry for the delay. CO Dems are better organized than the R’s here. But I think it’s a lot closer than this poll indicates. There’s just too much dissatisfaction here for zero. There are even a number of Libertarians who will vote Romney just because it’s so close and it’s a choice between capitalism versus socialism.
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