Posted on 03/01/2020 11:02:59 AM PST by DouglasKC
I didn't spell it out but addressed it by using a very low number of hospitalizations, 10%...or half of the generally agreed upon figure of 20% for severe symptoms. But even at 5% it's still way above capacity.
No I think it's a statement of fact.
BTW, my data was one day out of date. Italy now has 566 new cases of coronavirus and 5 new deaths, raising total to 1,694 cases and 34 dead since yesterday. That’s how fast things change in Western countries.
No problem. Just pointing out that there's a good reason why governments around the world are taking it seriously.
1 death in the US so far. 1. You dramabugs have been screaming this would end the world as we know it for several months now. 1. Just 1 death.
You sound like the liberal global warming types telling us we have only got 10 years left.
The current daily mortality rate in the US is approximately 8.5 per 1000 people.
“Just pointing out that there’s a good reason why governments around the world are taking it seriously.”
I agree.
It’s new (novel) and therefore unknown.
To use a word from a past politician, it’s prudent.
Err on the side of caution.
You should look up PHEMCE.
I thought your question was a super good one to ask, the question of why governments are taking it so seriously.
Good topic for vanity cause it’s not addressed and asked in the media that i see.
I appreciate the gracious way you replied to other freeper.
High quality post
Why would you accuse him of scare mongering when his post explicitly compared death rate to a typical annual flu?
He isn’t asking governments to take it more seriously, he is asking why they are taking it so seriously.
“No the death rate isnt high compared to the flu. When we actually get some verified numbers out of China,Iran,South Korea, Japan then we can talk”
Your comment seems to imply that those countries are minimizing the death rate. Why do you think they would do that?
The possibility of 10 to 20% of the working population being at home JUST sick of the flu for 3 to 4 weeks is very serious economically.
Thanks! I’ve been looking for two days about the reason for the fear - mortality rates to not warrant the fear we see. This is the first thing I’ve seen which makes sense.
OR, just bring in 40-50 high-capacity portable incinerators to handle all the bodies, like China did:
https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/world-news/china-deploys-40-incinerators-wuhan-21529067
&
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/china-deploys-40-mobile-incinerators-wuhan-report
Do you have an alternate reason why every government on the face of the earth including the United States government is taking this very seriously?
Just this morning I was playing with the numbers and I came up with similar results.
Ron @CodeMonkeyZ A Japanese biodata team has discovered that SARS-CoV-2 as seen in Tokyo is different than what is seen in Kyoto and Nagoya.
I think that's just what they did. They decided NOT to treat the 20% and just see who lived and died...that's why the "hospitals" they are building look more like warehouses for the sick.
Your estimates are off for this reason:
No one has any preexisting immunity to this virus. The influenza or the common cold-causing strains of corona virus circulate in a population that is mostly immune. In a naive population, there could be hundreds of millions of cases.
I do not know off-hand what the R0 rate was for the 1917-1919 influenza pandemic, but I do know that they were converting any large building they could to hospitals. They also implemented containment measures. Millions of people died, including well over half a million in the US alone.
Code they have gone for 2 months with practically no screening or testing here in US.
They are starting Monday...
Come back here in 2 weeks after results in and prove all the “dramabugs” wrong.
Appeciate the post.
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