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Pennsylvania will go to Mitt (Vanity + Chart)
Vanity ^ | November 4, 2012 | ConservativeInPA

Posted on 11/04/2012 2:00:10 PM PST by ConservativeInPA

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TOPICS: Chit/Chat; Miscellaneous
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The chart above details D & R percentages from the 2008 and 2010 elections by county in PA. The figures from 2008 are from the presidential election. The figures from 2010 are from the gubernatorial election.

Note the highlighted counties. These are the only counties that remained Democratic in 2010. I fully expect that Philadelphia will go for Obama. Allegheny (Pittsburgh) is going to be very close. We will see how Delaware and Montgomery go, but it will not be like 2008.

Overall, there is a huge trend in the state for the remaining counties - an 11% shift towards Republicans. Conservatively, I would box that shift to be between 8% and 12%.

Pennsylvania is a red state outside of a few counties. From what I have observed in the state is that people are highly motivated to vote against Obama. I do not see people highly motivated to vote for Obama.

Another interesting statistic is change in voter registration. From the PA Dept. of State, since 12/28/2008, 117,438 D's changed to R. 44,213 I's changed to R. Compare that to 71,994 R's change to D. and 50,290 I's change to D. That is over 39k to R. I would only look at that from a momentum stand point. I would also suspect that a lot of the R's to D happened shortly after Obama became president.

1 posted on 11/04/2012 2:00:10 PM PST by ConservativeInPA
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To: ConservativeInPA; LS; Perdogg

BTTT


2 posted on 11/04/2012 2:03:01 PM PST by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: ConservativeInPA
5:25pm (ET) LIVE: Mitt Romney in Morrisville, PA
3 posted on 11/04/2012 2:06:26 PM PST by Berlin_Freeper (WINNING IS EVERYTHING!)
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To: Berlin_Freeper

I hope Romney/Ryan remind the Pennsylvanians about Obama’s remark about the bitter clingers in areas like PA.


4 posted on 11/04/2012 2:09:36 PM PST by MayflowerMadam
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To: SoftwareEngineer; LS; Ravi; InterceptPoint; tatown; Perdogg; nhwingut; ConservativeGuy; ...

PA Election Numbers Crunch Ping - Check out the shift between 2008 and 2010 to Republicans (Chart by County)


5 posted on 11/04/2012 2:12:24 PM PST by ConservativeInPA (I advocate indentured servitude for the 47% until the national debt is eliminated.)
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To: MayflowerMadam

6 posted on 11/04/2012 2:20:06 PM PST by Berlin_Freeper (WINNING IS EVERYTHING!)
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To: Jet Jaguar
I do not see people highly motivated to vote for Obama.

I think the dropoff in Jewish support for Obama in this area is going to surprise people.

7 posted on 11/04/2012 2:21:32 PM PST by dirtboy
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To: MayflowerMadam
REASON ENOUGH FOR OBAMA TO LOSE MOST OF THE SWING STATES:

November surprise: Obama's EPA planning major post-election anti-coal regulation

8 posted on 11/04/2012 2:29:11 PM PST by Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America
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To: ConservativeInPA

This just in:

The latest Pennsylvania absentee ballot returns are in and show Republicans opening up a 19-point lead over the Democrats — a 17-point swing from the 2008 absentee results.

See: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2954896/posts

That is what I call motivation.

There are a number of very stong Tea Party groups in Pa. They haven’t gone away, they are just being conservative. No need to protest.


9 posted on 11/04/2012 2:30:41 PM PST by ConservativeInPA (I advocate indentured servitude for the 47% until the national debt is eliminated.)
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To: ConservativeInPA
Another interesting statistic is change in voter registration. From the PA Dept. of State, since 12/28/2008, 117,438 D's changed to R.

How much of that is from D's wanting to vote in the Repub primary, while still intending to vote for Obama?

10 posted on 11/04/2012 2:32:01 PM PST by PapaBear3625 (political correctness is communist thought control, disguised as good manners)
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To: PapaBear3625
How much of that is from D's wanting to vote in the Repub primary, while still intending to vote for Obama?

There may be some that did that, but I do not recall any concerted movement to do so. The last time there was an organized effort to switch parties and vote in a primary was in 2008 (Hillary vs. Obama), and those switching were Republicans.

11 posted on 11/04/2012 2:38:17 PM PST by ConservativeInPA (I advocate indentured servitude for the 47% until the national debt is eliminated.)
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To: Berlin_Freeper
On C-SPAN A guy named Rudy from a former communist country and lived under Nazi Germany said with Obama, 4 more years will be 4 more years living under poverty.
The guy before him who must have been a liberal said that he's going to boycott Republican business.
12 posted on 11/04/2012 2:58:14 PM PST by American Constitutionalist
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To: ConservativeInPA; JustaCowgirl; wille777
cspan Live Stream of Romney campaign stop in Bucks County,PA   (FR thread)

Cspan live link

13 posted on 11/04/2012 2:58:35 PM PST by tomkat ( PAlabama '12 = RR = 300 +)
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To: ConservativeInPA

Is anyone listening to some of these liberals calling into C-SPAN ? most sound like they are high on drugs and the current guy says that Obama has done a lot for our country...


14 posted on 11/04/2012 3:00:16 PM PST by American Constitutionalist
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To: ConservativeInPA

90, 000 fewer workers in Pennsylvania now than when [Benghazi-Coward] Obama took office in 2009, according to Dana Perino on “The Five” today.


15 posted on 11/04/2012 3:02:04 PM PST by Graewoulf ((Traitor John Roberts' Obama"care" violates Sherman Anti-Trust Law, AND the U.S. Constitution.))
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To: Graewoulf

Yep, saw that. There’s also 240,000+ jobs related to Marcellus Shale gas drilling/fracking in PA. Add that to all the coal jobs. These people are not voting for Obama.


16 posted on 11/04/2012 3:08:34 PM PST by ConservativeInPA (I advocate indentured servitude for the 47% until the national debt is eliminated.)
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To: ConservativeInPA
" That is what I call motivation."

PRR LOCOMOTIVE MOTIVATION ROLLING IN LIKE A SPEEDING TRAIN


PRR ROMNEYRYAN PENNSYLVANIA RAILROAD




LET THE MOMENTUM ROLL ON LIKE A LOCOMOTIVE




PRR

Pennsylvania RomneyRyan

17 posted on 11/04/2012 3:10:32 PM PST by American Constitutionalist
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To: ConservativeInPA

On C-SPAN now Debbie Witcherman is trying to convince people how Obama is going to win Florida with their great ground game in Florida.... I had to turn it off.


18 posted on 11/04/2012 3:12:52 PM PST by American Constitutionalist
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To: ConservativeInPA

Is this absentee only, early voting, or early and absentee?


19 posted on 11/04/2012 3:14:38 PM PST by LS
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To: American Constitutionalist

I am watching Little Debbie too. She is deluded. Is she actually that stupid to believe what leaves her mouth?


20 posted on 11/04/2012 3:16:42 PM PST by ConservativeInPA (I advocate indentured servitude for the 47% until the national debt is eliminated.)
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To: American Constitutionalist

I have it muted. She is a vile creature.


21 posted on 11/04/2012 3:17:18 PM PST by angcat (ROMNEY/RYAN 2012)
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To: ConservativeInPA

WOW ! Tommy Thompson holds up the whole Rally and waits for some woman in the crowd to get help.... NOW THAT’S A GREAT COMPARISON TO THE REAL TIME HELP AND EFFICIENCY REPUBLICANS PROVIDE COMPARED TO THE DEMOCRAPS !


22 posted on 11/04/2012 3:20:57 PM PST by American Constitutionalist
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To: LS
Is this absentee only, early voting, or early and absentee?

The chart is final election result percentages. There is no early voting in PA.

23 posted on 11/04/2012 3:21:20 PM PST by ConservativeInPA (I advocate indentured servitude for the 47% until the national debt is eliminated.)
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To: American Constitutionalist

WOW ! EX-PA Gov. Tommy Thompson is really ticked off at Obama and his administration...


24 posted on 11/04/2012 3:24:10 PM PST by American Constitutionalist
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To: ConservativeInPA

So it is absentee numbers.


25 posted on 11/04/2012 3:25:23 PM PST by LS
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To: ConservativeInPA

” - - - These people are not voting for Obama.”

There are few States more Red, White and Blue than Pennsylvania.

I find it hard to imagine any Pennsylvanian voting for a proven Coward named Benghazi-Coward Obama.


26 posted on 11/04/2012 3:26:04 PM PST by Graewoulf ((Traitor John Roberts' Obama"care" violates Sherman Anti-Trust Law, AND the U.S. Constitution.))
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To: ConservativeInPA

Never mind. Doh. I see it’s 2008 and 2010, NOT absentees for 2012.


27 posted on 11/04/2012 3:26:09 PM PST by LS
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To: LS
Is this absentee only, early voting, or early and absentee?

Pennsylvania has no early voting, absentee only.

28 posted on 11/04/2012 3:26:30 PM PST by BulletBobCo
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To: ConservativeInPA
WOW ! PA-Gov. Tom Corbin says PENNSYLVANIA IS IN PLAY !
And then ? he has the whole crowd to turn and look at the camera and show the media that Pennsylvania is in play !

WOW !
29 posted on 11/04/2012 3:31:11 PM PST by American Constitutionalist
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To: ConservativeInPA
LOL..... PA GOV. Tom Corbin while speaking the crowd chants USA USA USA USA and while they chant USA USA USA ... he asks ?

" how many more days ? "

and the crowd seamlessly go from USA USA USA to 2 MORE DAYS 2 MORE DAYS 2 more days .

This guy is great with the crowd and slams the media about how they don't report the news honestly....

He says the other day with the over flow crowd they had at one of their rallies they had 1000's in the overflow and the main stream media reports " 100s' ":
but Tom Corbin says:


" with the new social media we have a way of fixing that "

LOL.... wow ! he tells everyone to pull out their cell phones and take panoramic photos of the crowd and post it on facebook, and send it to the media...


30 posted on 11/04/2012 3:43:42 PM PST by American Constitutionalist
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To: American Constitutionalist

Tom Corbitt


31 posted on 11/04/2012 3:44:27 PM PST by tired&retired
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To: tired&retired
Sorry folks if I got his name spelled wrong..... sorry... but I had to post&type as fast as I can do I won't forget what he was saying before I forget.... yes, I should have checked the spelling of his name.


32 posted on 11/04/2012 3:49:08 PM PST by American Constitutionalist
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To: tired&retired

Tom Corbett

He’s far better than Slick Eddie Rendell, but I don’t trust Tom Corbett, the former in-house legal counsel for Waste Management Inc.


33 posted on 11/04/2012 3:50:52 PM PST by tired&retired
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To: American Constitutionalist

Romney now live on Fox News in Bucks Count PA


34 posted on 11/04/2012 3:52:35 PM PST by tired&retired
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To: ConservativeInPA

LOL..... The crowd chants “ SEND HIM HOME SEND HIM HOME SEND HIM HOME “


35 posted on 11/04/2012 4:01:24 PM PST by American Constitutionalist
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To: ConservativeInPA
ROMNEY ?

HERE IS MY CHRISTMAS SHOPPING LIST OF CUTTING FEDERAL SPENDING.

Folks add to the list as you may.

1.# CUT THE EPA !
2.# CUT THE DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION !
3.# GIVE BIG SIS JANET THE PINK SLIP... SHE'S FIRED FROM HER JOB !.
4.# CUT THE NATIONAL ENDOWMENT OF THE ARTS FUNDING !
5.# BIG BIRD ? GET A REAL JOB AND STOP MOOCHING OF THE GOVERNMENT !

36 posted on 11/04/2012 4:08:37 PM PST by American Constitutionalist
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To: American Constitutionalist
LOL..... The crowd chants “ SEND HIM HOME SEND HIM HOME SEND HIM HOME “

I have watched several of Romney's rallies over the last couple of weeks, and I think that is the first time that I have heard that. It really sums up the mood in PA right now, at least with people I interact. People are tired and just want to be rid of Obama.

37 posted on 11/04/2012 4:29:26 PM PST by ConservativeInPA (I advocate indentured servitude for the 47% until the national debt is eliminated.)
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To: ConservativeInPA

Liberals analyze the election as if 2010 never happened.


38 posted on 11/04/2012 4:36:31 PM PST by TBP (Obama lies, Granny dies.)
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