The chart above details D & R percentages from the 2008 and 2010 elections by county in PA. The figures from 2008 are from the presidential election. The figures from 2010 are from the gubernatorial election.
Note the highlighted counties. These are the only counties that remained Democratic in 2010. I fully expect that Philadelphia will go for Obama. Allegheny (Pittsburgh) is going to be very close. We will see how Delaware and Montgomery go, but it will not be like 2008.
Overall, there is a huge trend in the state for the remaining counties - an 11% shift towards Republicans. Conservatively, I would box that shift to be between 8% and 12%.
Pennsylvania is a red state outside of a few counties. From what I have observed in the state is that people are highly motivated to vote against Obama. I do not see people highly motivated to vote for Obama.
Another interesting statistic is change in voter registration. From the PA Dept. of State, since 12/28/2008, 117,438 D's changed to R. 44,213 I's changed to R. Compare that to 71,994 R's change to D. and 50,290 I's change to D. That is over 39k to R. I would only look at that from a momentum stand point. I would also suspect that a lot of the R's to D happened shortly after Obama became president.
To: ConservativeInPA; LS; Perdogg
2 posted on
11/04/2012 2:03:01 PM PST by
Jet Jaguar
(The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
To: ConservativeInPA
3 posted on
11/04/2012 2:06:26 PM PST by
Berlin_Freeper
(WINNING IS EVERYTHING!)
To: SoftwareEngineer; LS; Ravi; InterceptPoint; tatown; Perdogg; nhwingut; ConservativeGuy; ...
PA Election Numbers Crunch Ping - Check out the shift between 2008 and 2010 to Republicans (Chart by County)
5 posted on
11/04/2012 2:12:24 PM PST by
ConservativeInPA
(I advocate indentured servitude for the 47% until the national debt is eliminated.)
To: ConservativeInPA
This just in:
The latest Pennsylvania absentee ballot returns are in and show Republicans opening up a 19-point lead over the Democrats — a 17-point swing from the 2008 absentee results.
See: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2954896/posts
That is what I call motivation.
There are a number of very stong Tea Party groups in Pa. They haven’t gone away, they are just being conservative. No need to protest.
9 posted on
11/04/2012 2:30:41 PM PST by
ConservativeInPA
(I advocate indentured servitude for the 47% until the national debt is eliminated.)
To: ConservativeInPA
Another interesting statistic is change in voter registration. From the PA Dept. of State, since 12/28/2008, 117,438 D's changed to R. How much of that is from D's wanting to vote in the Repub primary, while still intending to vote for Obama?
10 posted on
11/04/2012 2:32:01 PM PST by
PapaBear3625
(political correctness is communist thought control, disguised as good manners)
To: ConservativeInPA; JustaCowgirl; wille777
13 posted on
11/04/2012 2:58:35 PM PST by
tomkat
( PAlabama '12 = RR = 300 +)
To: ConservativeInPA
Is anyone listening to some of these liberals calling into C-SPAN ? most sound like they are high on drugs and the current guy says that Obama has done a lot for our country...
To: ConservativeInPA
90, 000 fewer workers in Pennsylvania now than when [Benghazi-Coward] Obama took office in 2009, according to Dana Perino on “The Five” today.
15 posted on
11/04/2012 3:02:04 PM PST by
Graewoulf
((Traitor John Roberts' Obama"care" violates Sherman Anti-Trust Law, AND the U.S. Constitution.))
To: ConservativeInPA
Is this absentee only, early voting, or early and absentee?
19 posted on
11/04/2012 3:14:38 PM PST by
LS
To: ConservativeInPA
WOW ! Tommy Thompson holds up the whole Rally and waits for some woman in the crowd to get help.... NOW THAT’S A GREAT COMPARISON TO THE REAL TIME HELP AND EFFICIENCY REPUBLICANS PROVIDE COMPARED TO THE DEMOCRAPS !
To: ConservativeInPA
WOW ! PA-Gov. Tom Corbin says PENNSYLVANIA IS IN PLAY !
And then ? he has the whole crowd to turn and look at the camera and show the media that Pennsylvania is in play !
WOW !
To: ConservativeInPA
LOL..... PA GOV. Tom Corbin while speaking the crowd chants USA USA USA USA and while they chant USA USA USA ... he asks ?
" how many more days ? "
and the crowd seamlessly go from USA USA USA to 2 MORE DAYS 2 MORE DAYS 2 more days .
This guy is great with the crowd and slams the media about how they don't report the news honestly....
He says the other day with the over flow crowd they had at one of their rallies they had 1000's in the overflow and the main stream media reports " 100s' ":
but Tom Corbin says:
" with the new social media we have a way of fixing that "
LOL.... wow ! he tells everyone to pull out their cell phones and take panoramic photos of the crowd and post it on facebook, and send it to the media...
To: ConservativeInPA
LOL..... The crowd chants “ SEND HIM HOME SEND HIM HOME SEND HIM HOME “
To: ConservativeInPA
ROMNEY ?
HERE IS MY CHRISTMAS SHOPPING LIST OF CUTTING FEDERAL SPENDING.
Folks add to the list as you may.
1.# CUT THE EPA !
2.# CUT THE DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION !
3.# GIVE BIG SIS JANET THE PINK SLIP... SHE'S FIRED FROM HER JOB !.
4.# CUT THE NATIONAL ENDOWMENT OF THE ARTS FUNDING !
5.# BIG BIRD ? GET A REAL JOB AND STOP MOOCHING OF THE GOVERNMENT !
To: ConservativeInPA
Liberals analyze the election as if 2010 never happened.
38 posted on
11/04/2012 4:36:31 PM PST by
TBP
(Obama lies, Granny dies.)
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