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Get Ready for $10 Oil
Bloomberg | A. Gary Shilling

Posted on 02/17/2015 10:29:59 AM PST by Duke C.

At about $50 a barrel, crude oil prices are down by more than half from their June 2014 peak of $107. They may fall more, perhaps even as low as $10 to $20. Here’s why.


TOPICS: Agriculture; Business/Economy; Food; Miscellaneous; Politics
KEYWORDS: agaryshilling; algeria; angola; bloomberg; brazil; canada; china; cuba; ecuador; energy; eritrea; europeanunion; fracking; garyshilling; india; indonesia; iran; iraq; keystonexl; lebanon; malaysia; mexico; nato; nicaragua; nigeria; opec; putinsbuttboys; randsconcerntrolls; ruble; russia; saudiarabia; southafrica; sudan; venezuela; vladtheimploder; yemen
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To: 82nd Bragger

“10 dollar a barrel oil would destroy all our domestic production and exploration”.

Exactly. And what we do if the Saudi’s subsequently raised it to $200 a barrel?

The Saudis will wait till all the oil exploration companies in the US are in chapter 13 and have sold off all their oil equipment to either them or another country in the middle east then they will raise their prices.


41 posted on 02/17/2015 11:18:40 AM PST by GraceG (Protect the Border from Illegal Aliens, Don't Protect Illegal Alien Boarders...)
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To: proxy_user

“If you know what’s going to happen in the future, then you should be buying futures. But experience has shown that only half of these predictions come true....”

No they should be selling future and going short.


42 posted on 02/17/2015 11:18:51 AM PST by amnestynone (A big government conservative is just a corporatist who is not paying enough taxes.)
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To: central_va

Maybe you should revisit economics 101.


43 posted on 02/17/2015 11:19:52 AM PST by eastforker (Cruz for steam in 2016)
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To: eastforker

You are retarded.


44 posted on 02/17/2015 11:21:31 AM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: central_va

You are the one who is showing their ignorance . What do you have, an 8th grade education?


45 posted on 02/17/2015 11:24:15 AM PST by eastforker (Cruz for steam in 2016)
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To: GraceG

I think that’s the whole idea. And not only that, it will immediately seize such a chokehold on Putin that—even though the man is a stark-raving madman already—it will give him the ultimate excuse to bust out and invade every Middle Eastern country and capture every bit of oil production.
Not to leave out that Obomination is also a stark-raving madman on his best days as well...


46 posted on 02/17/2015 11:27:19 AM PST by Patriot777 (Imagine....that we could see Obama being hauled out of the White House kicking and screaming?)
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To: eastforker

Ok, let’s take apart your silly argument. Suppose oil was on the surface, and it wasn’t necessary to drill hundreds of feet to get to it. You simply pumped it out of a big crude oil lake to the refinery. There was so much that it was essentially free. So would that be bad thing economically? Do you see that your argument is plain stupid.


47 posted on 02/17/2015 11:31:27 AM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: 82nd Bragger

Gasoline would only be available to those who could afford it—the wealthy. The rest of us will have to wait in long rationing lines to get just enough to go to work and come home. Or utilize large transport buses. Maybe that’s what is going to happen; no more personal vehicles, huge drop in gasoline consumption, gives way to electric jalopies.


48 posted on 02/17/2015 11:36:46 AM PST by Patriot777 (Imagine....that we could see Obama being hauled out of the White House kicking and screaming?)
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To: central_va

Yes, that would be a bad thing. That would mean 100’s of billions of $ a year would not be pumped back into the economy for such things as research and development, manufacturing, transportation and thousands of other jobs. Oil greases the wheel of our current economy. That’s why I said at some point in time, the reset button has to be pressed, but, that can not happen in or current economy until it has been destroyed. This economy can not sustain itself and eventually it will fail in the not to distant future.


49 posted on 02/17/2015 11:40:00 AM PST by eastforker (Cruz for steam in 2016)
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To: GraceG

Workplace automation will cause more deflationary pressure.


50 posted on 02/17/2015 11:52:02 AM PST by citizen352
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To: MeshugeMikey

Gas has already went up 40 cents a gallon here in San Diego.. we have cap and trade going on as well..that is going to raise gas tax up to 79 a gallon.. for the environment


51 posted on 02/17/2015 11:52:22 AM PST by JoanneSD
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To: Duke C.

If you are a writer for Bloomberg and desperately need people to read one of your articles; a headline stating 10 dollar oil coming; is good way to get the attention your ego desires.

Just Saying!


52 posted on 02/17/2015 12:02:09 PM PST by PoloSec ( Believe the Gospel: how that Christ died for our sins, was buried and rose again)
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To: PoloSec

The anti-fracking oil countries accomplished what they wanted to accomplish. They bankrupted a couple of companies and slowed down fracking.

Oil will settle at 75 a barrel and gas prices around 2.45 a gallon.

And everyone will be happy.


53 posted on 02/17/2015 12:14:10 PM PST by EQAndyBuzz (Islam is the military wing of the Communist party.)
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To: JoanneSD

and the SPRING Boutique Blend...is right around the corner in CA....raising the price again accordingly.


54 posted on 02/17/2015 12:24:57 PM PST by MeshugeMikey ("Never, Never, Never, Give Up," Winston Churchill ><>)
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To: Duke C.

Not gonna happen. Too many places are rendered unprofitable at $50, as they fold supplies will drop and the price will go up.


55 posted on 02/17/2015 12:27:09 PM PST by discostu (The albatross begins with its vengeance A terrible curse a thirst has begun)
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To: DoodleDawg
Prices here went up 12¢/gal in the past 3 days.
56 posted on 02/17/2015 1:04:04 PM PST by Carriage Hill ( Dip me in honey and throw me to the lesbians.)
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To: Duke C.

I like his thinking.
The frackers are quickly taking the US off the mideast oil consumer list.
The towel heads are going to find their new “bestie” is a country with mafia business practices and 1.5b expendable people to enforce them.
Since most Islamic terror is financed from this source, I see it as a most welcome development.


57 posted on 02/17/2015 1:09:22 PM PST by nascarnation (Impeach, convict, deport)
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To: EQAndyBuzz
Oil will settle at 75 a barrel and gas prices around 2.45 a gallon. And everyone will be happy.

I agree..... and I think $75 and $2.45-50 is the best case scenario. I think its doable for a few years.

58 posted on 02/17/2015 1:16:53 PM PST by kjam22 (my music video "If My People" at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=74b20RjILy4)
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To: discostu

Exactly right, the $50 a barrel will only bring a certain amount of oil to market, and from what I have learned $50 will bring less than the 80 million barrels a day that the globe consumes. In my view $77 a barrel will bring consumption and demand into balance. And as populations grow and more fiat money is printed, to achieve a balance the price must increase, we may very well see $100 a barrel in the next 10 years as an equilibrium price.


59 posted on 02/17/2015 1:27:08 PM PST by 2001convSVT (Going Galt as fast as I can.)
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To: Duke C.
Word is that he Saudis are engaged in a last ditch effort to destroy exploraraton and production in infidel countries...particularly here.
60 posted on 02/17/2015 2:08:27 PM PST by Gay State Conservative (Obama;America's First "Third World" President)
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