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UK Met Office Forecasts 2009 to be One of Top 5 Warmest Years on Record Despite Cool Pacific
Green Car Congress ^ | 12/31/2008 | UK. Meteorology Office

Posted on 01/08/2009 4:59:24 PM PST by Dale Lee

Climate scientists at the UK’s Met Office and the University of East Anglia forecast the 2009 global temperature to be 14.44 °C—more than 0.4 °C above the long-term average. This would make 2009 warmer than 2008 (preliminarily pegged at 14.3 °C, the tenth-warmest on a record dating back to 1850); the warmest since 2005 (14.48 °C); and one of the top-five warmest years on record, despite continued cooling of huge areas of the tropical Pacific Ocean.

The 2009 forecast includes an updated decadal forecast using a Met Office climate model. This indicates a rapid return of global temperature to the long-term warming trend, with an increasing probability of record temperatures after 2009.


TOPICS: General Discussion
KEYWORDS: climatechange
Al Gore working over there too...
1 posted on 01/08/2009 4:59:24 PM PST by Dale Lee
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To: Dale Lee; Horusra; CygnusXI; Entrepreneur; Defendingliberty; WL-law; Genesis defender; ...
 




Beam me to Planet Gore !

2 posted on 01/08/2009 5:00:52 PM PST by steelyourfaith
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To: steelyourfaith

You sure this isn’t a rerun?

Wasn’t the Arctic sea ice supposed to be all gone by now, but instead has the fastest growth and ended up greater than ever since 1979 when records began...

GWS — Global Warming Syndrome is a mental disease.


3 posted on 01/08/2009 5:06:25 PM PST by Tarpon (America's first principles, freedom, liberty, market economy and self-reliance will never fail.)
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To: Dale Lee; OKSooner; honolulugal; Killing Time; Beowulf; Mr. Peabody; RW_Whacko; gruffwolf; ...
Image and video hosting by TinyPic

FReepmail me to get on or off

Climate Research News

Click on POGW graphic for full GW rundown

GREENIE WATCH

Ping me if you find one I've missed.


UK Met.. when seconds count, you'll get the forecast in about an hour...
4 posted on 01/08/2009 5:06:55 PM PST by xcamel (The urge to save humanity is always a false front for the urge to rule it. - H. L. Mencken)
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To: Dale Lee

What they are really saying:

“This year is going to be better (hotter), we know last year was a total bust, but if we say it this way we can keep the scam going”...


5 posted on 01/08/2009 5:07:53 PM PST by Pikachu_Dad
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To: Dale Lee
If I was a betting man I'd take some of that in a nanosecond.
6 posted on 01/08/2009 5:08:10 PM PST by hinckley buzzard
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To: xcamel

HOW ABOUT THIS ONE:

Perhaps the Met Office should look out their window at the -12C weather?


http://www.theregister.co.uk/2008/09/23/met_office_denies_deniers/
Met Office: Global warming sceptics ‘have heads in sand’

* Track this topic
* Print story

Recent chill just a blip, insist weather prophets

By Lewis Page • Get more from this author

Posted in Environment, 23rd September 2008 13:13 GMT

Whitepaper - What is the best data center energy storage for you?

The UK Met Office climate change bureau has issued a stinging attack on the idea that recent falls in global temperature might mean that global warming is over or has been exaggerated.

“Anyone who thinks global warming has stopped has their head in the sand,” said an unnamed Met Office spokesman in a statement released online today. The statement goes on angrily:

Global warming does not mean that each year will be warmer than the last, natural phenomena will mean that some years will be much warmer and others cooler. You only need to look at 1998 to see a record-breaking warm year caused by a very strong El Niño. In the last couple of years, the underlying warming is partially masked caused [sic] by a strong La Niña.

The average global temperature has actually fallen a bit for the last two years, which has caused warmosceptics to suggest that the overall temperature rise since 1990 has been made too much of. The Met Office, which has also today released a pdf brochure entitled Global warming goes on, says that the falls of the last two years are no more than a temporary blip.

It might be possible to get the impression, reading the Reg, that there’s a firm editorial policy at Vulture Central denying that climate change exists, that cutting carbon emissions would make sense even if it did, or even that oil will ever run out. However, there isn’t any such policy. Rather, the Reg seems mainly to like being contrary*: and the Met Office, as a highly respected research institution, surely deserves to be heard on this matter.

That said, it’s important to note that today’s rather strident statement comes from the Met Office’s subsidiary Hadley Centre, which exists purely to do climate change research. It is funded partly by the government and partly by taking fees from businesses to advise them on ways to cope with global warming.

If global warming has stopped or isn’t very significant, therefore, everyone at the Hadley Centre is out of a job. Which might explain why they’re so cross about the recent cooling. ®
Bootnote

* We on the vaguely-defence-related desk, for instance, would be unsurprised to see a big opinion piece soon saying that buying gas from Russia and oil from the Gulf will continue to have nothing but positive effects on Western society and its interactions with the rest of the world.


7 posted on 01/08/2009 5:11:28 PM PST by Pikachu_Dad
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To: xcamel

Check out this publication from the Met.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/hadleycentre/news/warming_goes_on.pdf

They do admit that warming has slowed/stopped in the last 6 years. See the chart on the last page.

However, they show a chart from 1970 to the present. They show a 6 year period in the early 80s with a slight cooling trend; followed by a rapid cooling trend in the late 90s; followed by the current six year slow period...

-0.2 C/decade
+0.33 C/decade
+0.09 C/decade...

Whoo boy.


8 posted on 01/08/2009 5:17:27 PM PST by Pikachu_Dad
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To: Pikachu_Dad

They are the keystone cops of climate...


9 posted on 01/08/2009 5:19:32 PM PST by xcamel (The urge to save humanity is always a false front for the urge to rule it. - H. L. Mencken)
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To: Pikachu_Dad
I am starting my own Multi-Level marketing scheme

Raising sheep in Greenland, the wool is the best because of all the cold nights, and soon you investors will not have to import feed by aircraft.

The melting of ice will allow the area to return to the growing conditions that the Vikings found in AD 1000 that lasted for 300 years. Send your money to Billy Mays now, but wait, if you do it within the next 10 minutes, we will double this offer, 2 sheep for only $1995.00, plus shipping and handling

10 posted on 01/08/2009 5:54:16 PM PST by Foolsgold ("We live in the greatest country in the world and I am going to change it" Barry O'boomarang 2008)
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To: Dale Lee

Just for grins, why don’t you diary this thread and re-post it in December.


11 posted on 01/08/2009 6:02:52 PM PST by Mr. Lucky
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To: Foolsgold
Sorry I had to post on top of myself


12 posted on 01/08/2009 6:20:45 PM PST by Foolsgold ("We live in the greatest country in the world and I am going to change it" Barry O'boomarang 2008)
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To: Dale Lee

13 posted on 01/08/2009 7:30:24 PM PST by Chode (American Hedonist -)
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To: xcamel

Is Climate Research News part of Walmart?.............

14 posted on 01/09/2009 5:23:03 AM PST by Red Badger (I was sad because I had no shoes to throw, until I met a reporter who had no feet.....)
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To: Red Badger

ha..ha.


15 posted on 01/09/2009 5:29:27 AM PST by xcamel (The urge to save humanity is always a false front for the urge to rule it. - H. L. Mencken)
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To: xcamel

Makes you want to Punch Al Gore in the nose.
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16 posted on 01/14/2009 2:21:39 PM PST by kilkman
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To: Dale Lee

“This indicates a rapid return of global temperature to the long-term warming trend, with an increasing probability of record temperatures after 2009.

It does not.


17 posted on 01/28/2009 10:58:00 PM PST by CIDKauf (No man has a good enough memory to be a successful liar.)
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