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"Seriously, you know that Paul has a ceiling in the GOP and in America don’t you?"

That statement probably has great merit. There is most likely a limitation to what Paul could hope to accomplish in the GOP. There is likewise a limitation to what he could accomplish with the whole of America, and that limitation has been growing significantly.

A September, 2007 Gallup poll found 39% of Americans expressing favor for the Democratic AND Republican parties. A clear majority of 57% were unfavorable of the two parties.

Maybe the two parties had better brace themselves. The American people might be ready to toss both. If that day is approaching, Democrats and Republicans will have to forge an unholy alliance in an attempt to thwart the will of the American people.

The very fact that a die-hard pro-life strict constitutionalist can gain so much support in this country gives me great faith in the American people. If Ron Paul by some miracle got the nomination, I would enthusiastically support him, despite my disagreement with him on foreign policy.

I give him all the credit in the world.

The demoncrat party is far more likely to have a viable third party candidate. But unfortunately the type of people who would break away (like Nader or Code Pink) never have any freaking money so they accomplish nothing.

When a breakout candidate on the right shows up, he is usually self funded or have at least an eight figure fundraising capability so it ends up hurting the GOP.

If the GOP candidate doesn’t campaign on closing the border, I would bet dollars to donuts that somebody goes third party - a bigger name than Tancredo or Hunter. And the GOP will be screwed, and justifiably so.

A candidate could also run on the issue of dealing with the $55T in unfunded liabilities between the public employee pensions, medicare, social security and freaking Amtrack retirees. Or he could just run on the border issue. But he decided to lead with ‘get out of Iraq’ which has lost elections for candidates of both parties.

But Ron Paul is only campaigning on retreating from Iraq and ending all ‘non constitutional spending’ from Congress. What part of that could he actually have any dream of accomplishing as a third party candidate? Even if he was in the GOP it would be a joke. Ron Paul doesn’t have any messages which will resonate outside of the libertarian wing and he has something less than zero personal appeal so nobody else will even listen to him. The guy has been around for a long time and nobody was clamoring for him to seek higher office. He is just so driven by the Iraq war that he couldn’t stop himself.

In short, he is Ross Perot without the populist issue and the billion dollar warchest. But he could run on his own and get 3% of the vote and prevent the GOP from winning FL, OH, IA, MO, CO and NV.