I'll tell you what, though, I love horses and the racetrack. I haven't been in a few years, used to go all the time with my Dad, but I used to bet a couple bucks here and there. (That'll make my bishop upset!)
In any case, I know a BAD bet when I see one.
Let me ask you this: Do you think life starting on earth in an evolutionary way was a LONGSHOT or do you think it is so common that it was inevitable?
Answer the question clearly, please. And then feel free to add any proviso's, explantions, whatever that you feel necessary.