Well see how things shake out when the PCA splits.
What do you see coming?
Let’s see what the committee for the ordination of women reports back this summer, and then I’ll be able to give you a straight answer. Unordained deaconesses (the practice, but not the rule at this point) and a few conservatives will leave. No deaconesses, and a small group of liberals will leave. Ordained women deacons, and a fair sized minority of conservatives will leave. A path toward ordained women REs, and buy the popcorn.
The conservatives aren’t as well organized as they were in the PCUS in the late 60s - early 70s, as the property provision has provided a safety valve for bleeding off the most conservative folks and leaving the moderates firmly in the driver’s seat.