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But the nation state Israel is not the Israel of the Covenant of G-d. They are not heirs to the promise. We are. End of story.

History is filled with such blustering. From Nebuchadnezzar to Hilter...

...for if G-d did not spare the natural branches, He will not spare you, either... Romans 11:21

"Have you not observed what this people have spoken, saying, 'The two families which the L-RD chose, He has rejected them'? Thus they despise My people, no longer are they as a nation in their sight. "Thus says the L-RD, 'If My covenant for day and night stand not, and the fixed patterns of heaven and earth I have not established, then I would reject the descendants of Jacob and David My servant, not taking from his descendants rulers over the descendants of Abraham, Isaac and Jacob But I will restore their fortunes and will have mercy on them.'" Jeremiah 33:24-26

And in case you think you have any hope at in the New Covenant, apart from Israel (literally), you are without hope...

"Behold, days are coming," declares the L-RD, "when I will make a new covenant with the house of Israel and with the house of Judah... Jeremiah 31:31