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Who'll be first with star ship Private Enterprise?
Scotsman ^
| 10-10-03
| JIM GILCHRIST
Posted on 10/10/2003 4:01:18 PM PDT by Brett66
Who'll be first with star ship Private Enterprise?
JIM GILCHRIST
Weve put people on the moon and hundreds more into orbit. Yet more than 40 years after Yuri Gagarins momentous first circuit of the globe, space travel remains the prerogative of government agencies - Russian, American and, shortly, Chinese - which no longer rate manned space missions high on their priorities. Contrary to the interplanetary pioneering spirit and back-room boffinry which informed much early science fiction, private enterprise, so far, has failed to put a man into space.
Granted, there have been two "space tourists", Dennis Tito and Mark Shuttleworth, who flew in Soyuz spacecraft to the International Space Station for a cool £12 million or so each, but commercial space travel has failed to materialise.
This is about to change. As NASA chews over the report into the Columbia disaster, the prospect of suborbital excursion flights, zero-gravity orbital hotels, and even lunar resorts should loom a little closer within the next year, possibly even within the next few months, when the first private manned space flight blasts off in a bid to win the $10 million X Prize.
In an attempt to "jump-start the space tourism industry" through encouraging international competition, the prize will go to the first team privately to finance, build and launch a vehicle to carry three people to 100km (62.5 miles) above the Earth and return safely. The suborbital flight must be repeated, using the same vehicle, within two weeks.
With 24 teams from five countries registered, three of them from Britain, the deadline for the prize is 1 January, 2005 (when the competitions insurance guarantee terminates), but some teams may make their attempts within a matter of months, although it seems unlikely any will do so around the resonant date of 17 December, the centenary of the Wright brothers first flight at Kittyhawk.
It is the pioneer days of flight which are part of the inspiration of the X Prize, founded by aerospace engineer and space activist Peter Diamandis and compared to the Orteig prize which prompted Charles Lindberghs solo transatlantic flight in 1927. "The year before Lindbergh flew from New York to Paris, something in the order of 6,000 people flew in aeroplanes," said Mr Diamandis, who is now the president of the St Louis-based X Prize Foundation.
"The year after he made his historic flight, over 180,000 people took aeroplane rides. The market and the need for suborbital vehicles will grow significantly after the X Prize is won."
Announced in 1996, the prize has attracted a celebrity entourage that includes Mr Tito, the best-selling novelist Tom Clancy (who put up part of the prize money), former NASA administrator Dan Goldin, former pioneer astronauts John Glenn and Buzz Aldrin, and the science fiction seer Arthur C Clarke, as well as two of Lindberghs grandchildren.
Among the front-runners are a California-based aerospace company, Scaled Composites, whose billionaire owner, Burt Rutan, was the designer of Voyager, the first aircraft to fly round the world non-stop, and whose X Prize attempt involves a distinctive-looking turbojet-powered "mother" aircraft, White Knight, which will provide a high-altitude launch platform for the small, suborbital SpaceShipOne.
There has been talk of Mr Rutan making an attempt on the prize as soon as December, although a spokeswoman for Scaled Composites said this week that this was unlikely.
Another of the entries, Interorbital Systems of Mojave, California, announced last month that its pilot would be a 16-year-old, Justin Houchin. He could be the first teenager into space - if he manages to raise the sponsorship towards his $50,000 ticket.
Building and launching a spaceship do not come cheap. Mr Rutan has his own fully developed aerospace company, while an anonymous backer recently contributed $25 million towards his attempt.
For Steve Bennett, the British self-made rocketeer currently rated as a contender, such back-up must seem enviable indeed. With his company, Starchaser Industries, based at Hyde, Cheshire, Mr Bennett has progressed from amateur rocketry to recently drop-testing a one-man capsule over the Red Lake test area in Arizona (he sky-dived down alongside it), and is about to test-fire the Churchill 3 rocket engine for his X Prize vehicle, Thunderbird.
Mr Bennett plans to pilot the eventual three-man capsule himself, and reckons his bid to become the worlds first astronaut aboard a privately built spaceship could happen within 18 months. For him, as for many other challengers, the big problem is cash. Starchaser has raised some £2 million - about half of the overall cost - through sponsorship, investors and an energetic publicity programme, including a competition to win one of the seats on the two required flights. Two of the other seats have been bought, for £250,000 each, by enthusiasts willing to risk the ride, while the third is still up for grabs at £500,000.
Mr Bennett appears undismayed by the multi-million funding of his competitor: "OK, this is a guy with a successful track record, and somebodys put $25 million into his project so he can win a $10 million prize," he says of Mr Rutan. "But were not fazed by that. We have some pretty good scientists on our team, and we know where he is going to have problems.
"Were still in with a very good chance," he added, "and were going to put Britain back into space."
If he wins, says Mr Bennett, some of the $10 million will be "re-invested in terms of making bigger and better rockets happen". Going by various recent analyses, he reckons that within ten years of someone winning the prize, the space tourism industry will be worth about $10 billion.
"A straight-up-straight-down, suborbital flight could initially cost about $100,000, or £65,000, and with market forces could come down to as little as £10,000."
In Canada, the X Prize has offered Scots-born Geoff Sheerin, 40, an industrial designer, the chance to fulfil dreams of space flight he has nursed since childhood. Based in London, Ontario, he and his team have gone back to basics and modelled their Canadian Arrow rocket on the V2 missile developed by the Germans during the Second World War.
"We needed a high-thrust engine, and the only one I knew of with plans in the public domain was the V2," he said. The resulting engine is "as low-tech as you can get". Mr Sheerins team, including a NASA-trained astronaut currently working for the Ukrainian space agency, who will pilot the vehicle, is ready to commence engine tests. He said: "We had hoped to do a flight before the end of this year, but now it looks like early next year."
Despite the lack of anything getting off the ground so far, the leisure business has long displayed a tentative interest in space travel. Pan Am started accepting reservations for commercial moon flights 35 years ago, prompted by the Pan Am spaceship featured in the film 2001: A Space Odyssey, while around the same time a certain famous hotel chain proposed Lunar and Orbiter Hiltons.
More recently, Virginia-based Space Adventures, which organised the flights by Mr Tito and Mr Shuttleworth, has been negotiating a custom-built Soyuz spacecraft for its customers: the fare - return of course - will stand at around $20 million.
Apart from the tourism aspect, there are many who think that it is the private sector, rather than government agencies, which will ultimately carry the torch of manned space exploration. Among them is Britains Astronomer Royal and leading cosmologist, Sir Martin Rees, who points to the commercial sponsorship role in Britains Beagle 2 robot spacecraft currently on its way to Mars and who has urged the private sector to develop in that direction.
It sounds a far cry from one of Sir Martins predecessors as Astronomer Royal who, a few days before the Soviet Union launched Sputnik in 1957, declared authoritatively that the idea of space travel was "utter bilge".
So dont mock. You may regard the likes of Mr Bennett and Mr Sheerin as space cadets, but the Wright brothers, remember, were bicycle mechanics.
• For further details visit www.xprize.org
TOPICS: Business/Economy; Technical
KEYWORDS: commercial; goliath; nasa; rutan; space; starchaser; xprize
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1
posted on
10/10/2003 4:01:18 PM PDT
by
Brett66
To: *Space; RightWhale; anymouse; RadioAstronomer; NonZeroSum; jimkress; discostu; The_Victor; ...
Ping.
2
posted on
10/10/2003 4:01:46 PM PDT
by
Brett66
To: All
Aww man! Enough of the fundraiser posts!!! |
|
Only YOU can make fundraiser posts go away. Please contribute! |
3
posted on
10/10/2003 4:04:46 PM PDT
by
Support Free Republic
(Your support keeps Free Republic going strong!)
To: Brett66
The problem with the X prize is that it isn't big enough.
it should be a Billion dollars.
Those kind of odds would bring out the big investors and
then we'd see some real progress.
How about it Mr.Gates?
4
posted on
10/10/2003 4:10:49 PM PDT
by
tet68
(multiculturalism is an ideological academic fantasy maintained in obvious bad faith. M. Thompson)
To: tet68
It will be very interesting to see events unfold after the Xprize is won. I suspect there will be a lot of new investor interest to fund the next generation of spacecraft.With 2-3 companies competing and hopefully succeeding in turning a profit, a lot of money could come into play very rapidly.
5
posted on
10/10/2003 4:19:12 PM PDT
by
Brett66
To: Brett66
Imagine China beating a private US citizen into space by only a month and a half. They should feel really bad about that in the Politburo
Go Rutan, go!
6
posted on
10/10/2003 4:19:43 PM PDT
by
GeronL
(Please visit www.geocities.com/geronl)
To: Brett66
private ships that race around the moon and back??
7
posted on
10/10/2003 4:20:17 PM PDT
by
GeronL
(Please visit www.geocities.com/geronl)
To: GeronL
Sounds good to me, sign me up. (as soon as I have enough money)
8
posted on
10/10/2003 4:21:40 PM PDT
by
Brett66
To: Brett66
there will be a lot of new investor interest Keep your powder dry
9
posted on
10/10/2003 4:26:11 PM PDT
by
RightWhale
(Repeal the Law of the Excluded Middle)
Comment #10 Removed by Moderator
To: Brett66
A european company said it has developed a solar cell that is 20X more efficient and much cheaper to produce than what we now have. This will allow space vehicles and satellites to gather more power.
If we can just find a cheaper way of getting things into orbit, aahhh....
11
posted on
10/10/2003 4:59:51 PM PDT
by
GeronL
(Please visit www.geocities.com/geronl)
To: Brett66
remember the new plane that was powered by a ground based laser? It was a small R/C plane. But who is to say that a ground based laser couldn't put a space plane into orbit??
12
posted on
10/10/2003 5:10:39 PM PDT
by
GeronL
(Please visit www.geocities.com/geronl)
To: Normal4me; RightWhale; demlosers; Prof Engineer; BlazingArizona; ThreePuttinDude; Brett66; ...
I'm part of the company that wants to send humans to space. There are a lot companies with that goal.
Space Ping! This is the space ping list! Let me know if you want on or off this list!
13
posted on
10/11/2003 6:01:03 AM PDT
by
KevinDavis
(Let the meek inherit the Earth, the rest of us will explore the stars!)
To: KevinDavis
Please add me to the Space Ping list.
Growing up as a pre-teen in the 60's, space rockets fired my imagination, so to speak, and still do.
14
posted on
10/11/2003 6:05:40 AM PDT
by
P.O.E.
To: P.O.E.
You have been added...
15
posted on
10/11/2003 6:09:13 AM PDT
by
KevinDavis
(Let the meek inherit the Earth, the rest of us will explore the stars!)
To: Brett66
You bubble-headed booby you !
16
posted on
10/11/2003 6:12:19 AM PDT
by
MeekOneGOP
(Check out the Texas Chicken D 'RATS!: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/keyword/Redistricting)
To: KevinDavis
Thanks!
17
posted on
10/11/2003 6:42:47 AM PDT
by
P.O.E.
To: Brett66
I'm sure Burt Rutan will be glad to know that he is "a Billionaire" according to the Scotsman. :) Maybe compaired to a Scotsman's budget he is. ;)
18
posted on
10/11/2003 8:34:51 AM PDT
by
anymouse
To: Brett66
And Burt might also be amused at the thought that he owns Scaled Composites. He used to, but years ago sold out to a parent company, where he does sit on the Board of Directors.
19
posted on
10/11/2003 8:37:22 AM PDT
by
anymouse
To: GeronL
private ships that race around the moon and back??hehehe..like the London-to-Paris Air Prize..
20
posted on
10/11/2003 8:42:13 AM PDT
by
skinkinthegrass
(Just because you're paranoid,doesn't mean they aren't out to get you. :)
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