LOOKS LIKE SURVEY USA WINS AGAIN !!!!!!!!!!
Actual Results Here was my predtiction 10/05/03
Yes on recall Yes on recall 56%
No on Recall No on Recall 44%
Arnold Arnold 44%
Cruz Cruz 37%
McClintock McClintock 12%
Camejo Camejo 3%
Others Others 4%
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Survey USA NBC/Knight Ridder Gallup/CNN
(Small sample Poll)
10/05/2003 10/04/2003 09/28/2003
Remove Davis 57% Yes on Recall 54% Recall Davis 63%
Keep Davis 43% No on Recall 41% Keep Davis 35%
Arnold 46% Arnold 36% Arnold 40%
Cruz 34% Cruz 29% Cruz 25%
McClintock 13% McCintock 15% McClintock 18%
Other 5% Camejo 3% Camejo 5%
Undecided 2%
Survey USA Poll - Certain Voters(MOE 5.8%)
NBC/Knight Ridder Poll - Liklely Voters MOE 3.2%
CNN/Gallup Poll - Likely Voters MOE 4%
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SurveyUSA
10/01/2003 09/23/2003 09/10/2003
Remove Davis 61% Remove Davis 57% Remove Davis 62%
Keep Davis 39% Keep Davis 42% Keep Davis 37%
Arnold 45% (+6%) Arnold 39% (0%) Arnold 39%
Cruz 28% (-4%) Cruz 32% (+3% Cruz 29%
McClintock 16% (-2%) McClintock 18% (+2%) McClintock 16%
Other 5% (+2%) Huffington 4% (+1%) Ueberroth 6%
Undecided 2% (-2%) Other 3% (0%) Huffington 3%
Undecided 4% (0%) Other 4%
Undecided 3%
Certain Voters (MOE 3.7%)
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Field Poll
10/02/2003 09/09/2003 08/15/2003
Yes on Recall 57% Yes on Recall 55% Yes on Recall 58%
No on Recall 39% No on Recall 40% No on Recall 37%
Arnold 36% (+11%) Cruz 30% (+5%) Cruz 25%
Cruz 26% (-4%) Arnold 25% (+3%) Arnold 22%
McClintock 16% (+3%) McClintock 13% (+4%) McClintock 9%
Camejo ? Ueberoth 5% (0%) Ueberoth 5%
Arianna 3% (-1%) Arianna 4%
Camejo 2% (0%) Camejo 2%
Likely Voters (MOE 3.5%)
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LA Times 09/29/2003 09/12/03 08/00/03
For Recall 56% For Recall 50% For Recall 50%
Against Recall 42% Against Recall 47% Against Recall 45%
Arnold 40% (+15%) Cruz 30% (-5%) Cruz 35%%
Cruz 32 (+2%) Arnold 25% (+3%) Arnold 22%
McClintock 15% (-3%) McClintock 18% (+6%) McClintock 12%
Ueberoth 8% (+1%) Ueberoth 7%
Arianna 3% (0%) Arianna 3%
Camejo 2% (0%) Camejo 2%
Likely Voters (MOE 3%)
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