Actual Results Here was my predtiction 10/05/03 Yes on recall Yes on recall 56% No on Recall No on Recall 44% Arnold Arnold 44% Cruz Cruz 37% McClintock McClintock 12% Camejo Camejo 3% Others Others 4% ---------------------------------------------------------- Survey USA NBC/Knight Ridder Gallup/CNN (Small sample Poll) 10/05/2003 10/04/2003 09/28/2003 Remove Davis 57% Yes on Recall 54% Recall Davis 63% Keep Davis 43% No on Recall 41% Keep Davis 35% Arnold 46% Arnold 36% Arnold 40% Cruz 34% Cruz 29% Cruz 25% McClintock 13% McCintock 15% McClintock 18% Other 5% Camejo 3% Camejo 5% Undecided 2% Survey USA Poll - Certain Voters(MOE 5.8%) NBC/Knight Ridder Poll - Liklely Voters MOE 3.2% CNN/Gallup Poll - Likely Voters MOE 4% ------------------------------------------------------------ SurveyUSA 10/01/2003 09/23/2003 09/10/2003 Remove Davis 61% Remove Davis 57% Remove Davis 62% Keep Davis 39% Keep Davis 42% Keep Davis 37% Arnold 45% (+6%) Arnold 39% (0%) Arnold 39% Cruz 28% (-4%) Cruz 32% (+3% Cruz 29% McClintock 16% (-2%) McClintock 18% (+2%) McClintock 16% Other 5% (+2%) Huffington 4% (+1%) Ueberroth 6% Undecided 2% (-2%) Other 3% (0%) Huffington 3% Undecided 4% (0%) Other 4% Undecided 3% Certain Voters (MOE 3.7%) ------------------------------------------------------------- Field Poll 10/02/2003 09/09/2003 08/15/2003 Yes on Recall 57% Yes on Recall 55% Yes on Recall 58% No on Recall 39% No on Recall 40% No on Recall 37% Arnold 36% (+11%) Cruz 30% (+5%) Cruz 25% Cruz 26% (-4%) Arnold 25% (+3%) Arnold 22% McClintock 16% (+3%) McClintock 13% (+4%) McClintock 9% Camejo ? Ueberoth 5% (0%) Ueberoth 5% Arianna 3% (-1%) Arianna 4% Camejo 2% (0%) Camejo 2% Likely Voters (MOE 3.5%) ---------------------------------------------------------------- LA Times 09/29/2003 09/12/03 08/00/03 For Recall 56% For Recall 50% For Recall 50% Against Recall 42% Against Recall 47% Against Recall 45% Arnold 40% (+15%) Cruz 30% (-5%) Cruz 35%% Cruz 32 (+2%) Arnold 25% (+3%) Arnold 22% McClintock 15% (-3%) McClintock 18% (+6%) McClintock 12% Ueberoth 8% (+1%) Ueberoth 7% Arianna 3% (0%) Arianna 3% Camejo 2% (0%) Camejo 2% Likely Voters (MOE 3%) ---------------------------------------------------------------