8.0 Earthquake in Japan Okay, this is eerie: Astronomer Predicts Major Earthquake for Japan, Other Experts Express Doubts (posted 9/15/03):
Yoshio Kushida, a well-known self-taught astronomer who runs his own observatory just outside Tokyo, published on its Internet site his prediction that a quake with a magnitude of 7 or greater was likely to strike the metropolitan area on Tuesday or Wednesday.
Off by 8 days and 260 miles, but still...
Cmon, that quack was debunked both here AND all over Japan. Please don't cloud the thread with some crackpot's prediction that was both vague in location and is now off by over nine days. Thanks.
You are right. When they had the 5.5 , some people said he was wrong, because the earthquake wasn't as strong as he precicted, well he may have been a little off on the timing, but he got the magnitude right.
Being able to predict and earthquake, even with a margin of error of several days is pretty darn good.
Then the dogs can give the "earthquake imminent" warning.
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2003/09/25/tech/main575049.shtml Japanese researchers are coming up with some novel theories they believe could provide the answer to one of this country's most pressing concerns — how to predict when a major earthquake is likely to strike.
One researcher, a medical doctor, was in the headlines this week with a study indicating erratic behavior in dogs, such as excessive barking or a higher than usual tendency to bite, may be a quake harbinger.
Earlier this month, amateur astronomer Yoshio Kushida caused a stir with his prediction, based on radiowave fluctuations, that a major quake was highly likely to hit the Tokyo area imminently.