Hurricane Isabel Is Falling Apart/But Could Re-Gain Strength-Live Thread

NHC | 9-16-03 | my favorite headache

[My Favorite Headache]

Hurricane Isabel is falling apart and fast. Re-Con planes have been flying in the storm since midnight and the entire west quad of the storm has disappeared. The eastern portion of the storm has a wind around 110KTS. There is discussion that re-strengthening will occour within 24 hours though so this still remains a threat.

Pressure has dramatically risen as well. Discussion currently is Isabel making landfall in either Northern South Carolina or Southern North Carolina and a due north move after landfall. Thinking is a landfalling Category 2 minimal 3 storm.

[My Favorite Headache]

Duct tape is proven pointless unless you tape it from the inside and even then...boards are the way to go or shutters.

[My Favorite Headache]

Howlin ....can you give me an update...I just finished with jury duty....I didn't get picked....which is a good thing....!>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

Dog...this is almost as bad as the Shower story here on FR. Did you just start a new trend?

Jury Duty Ping!?!?

[My Favorite Headache]

Howlin ....can you give me an update...I just finished with jury duty....I didn't get picked....which is a good thing....!>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

Dog...this is almost as bad as the Shower story here on FR. Did you just start a new trend?

Jury Duty Ping!?!?

[aristeides]

they sound upset everytime the storm gets downgraded....

They're in the disaster business.

[nina0113]

We're the "Sooks" - and I had to do the "Watch and Learn" the first time I used one too!

[Howlin]

Want to have some fun?

Go here:

http://wwwa.accuweather.com/adcbin/public/index.asp?partner=accuweather

and on the lefthand side, put in your zip code.....then read the daily predictions, especially the WIND GUTS!!!

[ContemptofCourt]

Sharon Resultan does it for me.....;)

[Hatteras]

Obviously this is not an exact science but it seems to me that today is a day that we expected to see a slow down. The "predictors" expected this action when the hurricane met with the cold front.

My thought was that, despite what the experts were saying, it looked as though the front would overrun Isabel, weakening it, but not driving it off. Isabel would then have plenty of time to rebuild some strength, sneak in behind the front and come ashore in a more westerly track. Somewhat, though not as dramatic, as Dennis in '99.

I have noticed, however, that all the tracks predict a big bump in forward momentum in the next 36 hours in a northwesterly track but shouldn't the front be steering it away from the coast? Has the front stalled?

[jawz]

58mph wind gusts here in Raleigh

A local station here has some good maps: http://www.wral.com/news/2320507/detail.html.

[CollegeRepublican]

Thursday 9/18 Forecast in Detail for PASADENA, MD
Wind Gusts 139 mph

Well that sucks for me. I hope that page is a joke like the Onion.

[oceanview]

i think it depends on how deep to the south that front digs as to whether it can pick the thing up to the north. the track projections haven't changed much in the last 48 hours.

[Old Professer]

I agree with you, I am trying to send the latest 500MB chart below:

[My Favorite Headache]

No the front has not stalled...it is going to pick up momentum because the storm is going to be sucked up like a vaccum. The high pressure will keep it from going to far to the east and manage a landfall...or they are saying.

[appalachian_dweller]

The latest satellite image from intellicast.com shows the eye reforming. Once it moves over the Gulf Stream it may re-strengthen. I'm no meteorologist but I'm predicting a CAT3 landfall.

[Constitution Day]

WIND GUTS??
*grin*

Seriously, it shows 109 MPG "guts" for us. Yikes!

[Constitution Day]

WIND GUTS??
*grin*

Seriously, it shows 109 MPH "guts" for us. Yikes!

[NittanyLion]

For my ZIP outside Richmond, 156 MPH wind gusts on Thursday afternoon...

[Constitution Day]

*hiccup

[dead]

I don't know where you posted it. I just read comments about it.

[CollegeRepublican]

I got 139 mph in Central Maryland. Holy Cow. That would beat the old record by 39mph.