[Congressman Billybob]

You're missing the point. Regardless of turnout, voters are going to have trouble voting in an election of 195 candidates. THAT is the central point. And I am NOT a casual observer of politics -- I've worked for a dozen presidential candidates, among others.

I'll make you these two wagers based on the mechanical difficulty of voting for one of 195 candidates. In both cases, I owe you $25 if I'm wrong. You owe me $1 if I'm right. 1. The total vote on the Davis recall question will exceed the total vote for all candidates running to replace him. 2. The average of the polls for how people will vote, as of the day before the election, will not match the votes cast. Specifically, the totals for Schwarzenegger, Bustamante and Simon together will be higher than poll results predict, and the totals for all other candidates together will be lower than predicted.

Billybob

[PeoplesRep_of_LA]

While I enjoy a good wager, you are getting off topic. I don't disagree with whatever central point you are making, that not everyone will vote on the 2nd question. I think most will, but you may have some true believers against the recall who will obstain. I don't care, since otherwise those are Bustamante votes, but I agree that will happen.

My point (still) is that the turnout will not be "low" it will not even been "moderate" it will be historic highs.

I've got another wager, that it will be higher than the 32% you mentioned, and I'll gladly give you the 25-1 odds that it exceeds that.

[Cyber Liberty]

I wouldn't touch your bet with a 10-foot pole.