Good reasoning. You are probably right.
I think the Republicans will make the Dem obstruction of judges an election issue.
I just hope that after 2004 we will have enough R-s in the Senate to override the Democrats on everything, i.e. a filibuster proof majority. Maybe that's the plan -- make the election a national referendum, as Newt did, when he successfully engineered the Republican takeover of the House.
I think you're right also. (Please note that Schummer said they would stop them in Committee). I think the Repubs are looking for a majority only vote on each of these nominees (on the books) even though the rule of 60 is in effect.
Eventually, I believe this will wind up in Supreme Court where ALL of the sitting judges were seated with a majority vote, not a super majority vote.
The filibuster rule should not apply because the Constitution is specific in this case and the Congress cannot make rules which conflict. This is not a legislative matter. It is a separation of Powers matter and the Senate, as it stands, is usurping the Power of the President.