[WL-law]

I wonder if the signature-certifiers will use the Bob-Dornan-stolen-election standard when doing their review? Methinks not; they'll opt for something a bit more rigorous.

[skeeter]

This recall isn't "Republican-led". Its as grassroots an effort as I've ever seen.

[NYC Republican]

I sure hope this fails... It could be disastrous for the GOP.

[Reeses]

Don't forget to sign every anti-recall petition you can as well. It has no legal significance and costs Davis $1 every time. The petition asks for your address. I assume I'll be getting Davis junk mail, further burning Democrat money. Davis will probably wonder some day why Republicans are on his mailing list multiple times. And he will have lots of time on his hands to wonder.

[Congressman Billybob]

This writer does not begin to understand the subject she is writing about. She is deliberately avoiding the questions of how many signatures are "in the pipeline" and what is the validity rate of the signatures already turned in.

The validity rate is running at well above 80%. That means, under California's sampling law, if the proponents of recalling Davis file 1.08 million signatures, well short of the 1.2 million they have targeted, the recall goes on the ballot.

Compared to the couple hundred petition campaigns I am aware of, the Davis recall is at the top of the heap in efficiency, planning, organization and results. The normal rule of thumb on statewide campaigns is 30% shinkage between gross signatures filed and signatures that are validated. This campaign is running at less than 15% shrinkage.

1. This election will take place, in the fall.
2. Davis will be recalled -- either because he loses the election, or because he resigns before the election. At this point, under California law, it does NOT matter whether he resigns.
3. If Arnold enters the race, Arnold will win. In a short race that is winner-take-all, the candidate with the greatest name recognition will win. I predict that at least 24% of the voters who bother to vote will decide that California definitely needs a Terminator, and that will be the winning total.

Congressman Billybob

Latest column, now up FR, "Bits and Pieces."

[gulfcoast6]

Let ole Davis stay in there, sure will make the democracts look bad, no terrible. One thing for sure, we won't be seeing him run for president for sure.

[kellynla]

The big enchillada is the 2010 election. Whoever is the governor in 2010, their party would control redistricting thus enhancing chances of picking up legislative and congressional seats after the 2010 census.

[LS]

I heard Roger Hedgecock on Rush last week say that they were at 800,000, then a caller called in and said they were at 900,000, and that they needed 1.2 mil just to be sure. Why the discrepancy?

[heleny]

The secretary of state's office declined to make the numbers public Monday, so The Associated Press contacted the clerk's offices of all 58 counties directly. Responses were received from all except Placer, Tehama and Trinity. The total signatures collected as of mid-June by the other 55 counties was 389,337.

The Secretary of State today reported only 376,008 signatures for all 58 counties, fewer than the AP sum from 55 counties for some unknown reason.