calgov2002:
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Posted on 06/15/2003 11:25:57 PM PDT by LdSentinal
LOS ANGELES - A Republican-led campaign to recall California's Democratic governor, once dismissed as improbable, now appears poised to qualify for the ballot — and to shake up California politics like never before.
The outcome is anyone's guess, and the situation has politicians from both parties scrambling. It promises to be "a wild ride," promises one political consultant.
Gov. Gray Davis was elected in a landslide in 1998 but his approval rating tumbled to 28 percent amid voter wrath over the state's energy and budget crises.
Now he could find himself forced from office by a campaign that has been fired up a little-known conservative congressman who has poured $800,000 into the effort so far.
Potential Republican replacements range from that congressman, Rep. Darrell Issa, to Bill Simon, the financier Davis narrowly beat in November, to actor Arnold Schwarzenegger, whose advisers say he will decide whether to run after the July 2 release of "Terminator 3."
Davis could even be replaced by a fellow Democrat, like Sen. Dianne Feinstein, who has not ruled out a run.
Many Republicans fear the recall could backfire and leave them worse off in a state where Democrats already control every statewide office and both houses of the Legislature.
"This entire process is unprecedented," state GOP communications consultant Rob Stutzman said Sunday.
When Republican activists started talking recall four months ago, few would have predicted it would get so far. Recall campaigns have been attempted 31 times against California governors but none has made it to the ballot.
But everything changed in May, when Issa began shoveling money into the campaign. The ambitious car alarm magnate from the San Diego area, who has served in Congress since 2000, has set up a gubernatorial campaign committee. He started campaigning around the state Saturday.
"Darrell Issa supplied the fuel necessary. Now the rest is just mechanical," said Allan Hoffenblum, a Republican consultant. "It's not a matter of if, it's just a matter of when. And it's going to be a wild ride."
Recall supporters have until Sept. 2 to collect nearly 900,000 signatures to get the measure on the ballot. They hope to complete the process next month to force a special election this fall instead of next March, when Democrats will turn out for the state's presidential primary.
With Issa's money funding an army of paid signature gatherers, recall organizers claim they've already collected more than 700,000 signatures.
After playing down the recall effort for months, Davis allies recently formed a committee to fight it, raised nearly $800,000 and hired signature gatherers of their own.
Davis himself has begun speaking out against the campaign.
"It will move us backwards and cost the taxpayers $30 million," he told The Associated Press on Friday, referring to the projected cost of a special election. "It's just a bunch of affluent losers who are trying to spend money to throw this state into reverse."
Issa denies that he is funding the recall just to forward his own political ambitions.
"Many people say here's this rich guy trying to buy himself a governorship, right? Wrong," Issa told a gathering of moderate Republicans on Saturday. "People stand 30-deep to sign this petition ... I'm supporting the recall because Gray Davis needs to go."
Anyone could get on a recall ballot by paying a $3,500 filing fee or collecting 10,000 signatures. That means there could be numerous candidates and the victor could win with a relatively small number of votes.
The format has set off furious jockeying in Democratic circles over whether to close ranks around Davis or attempt to unite behind a strong Democrat to replace him if he is recalled. Feinstein's name is the most often mentioned.
On the Republican side, many party leaders fear a Democrat could win or that the recall could distract from efforts to re-elect President Bush .
Regardless of the outcome, the victor would get an unenviable prize: the job of handling the state's $38.2 billion budget deficit.
"I'm concerned it could be successful, and some poor Republican governor walks into an empty office in Sacramento and says 'What do we do now?'" said former GOP Assemblyman Brooks Firestone.
Hard to get much worse.
I agree. Even with the worst case scenario, Diane Feinstein becames gov, and appoints someone like Cruz Bustamante to her seat, there would be a new senatorial election for that seat in a year. Good chance for the pubs to pick up another seat in the senate. And Feinstein would be taking over a basket case and get the blame from both the left and right.
There was a large surplus when Governor Pete Wilson left office.
If the recall petitions qualify the issue for the ballot, Gray Davis will resign before the election. He will wait until the Republicans start to drop some heavy cash into the election campaign, and then pull the plug.
The problem with the petitions is that they identify Gary Davis by name, rather then use a term, such as "incumbent Governor of the State." If the recall qualifies, but Davis quits before the election is complete (as late as the day of the election), it will not make any difference who wins the election to replace him. Under the State Constitution, Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante, will become the Governor for the balance of the term.
Another Dum-o-crap dirty trick in the making.
calgov2002:
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From the article: "Davis himself has begun speaking out against the campaign -- "It will move us backwards and cost the taxpayers $30 million," he told The Associated Press on Friday, referring to the projected cost of a special election. "It's just a bunch of affluent losers who are trying to spend money to throw this state into reverse."
Earth to Dufus: When you are driving 100 mph toward a cliff (under your idiotic "leadership", it is highly appropriate to "throw this state into reverse". The sooner we are rid of this blithering idiot the better.
| Gray Davis will resign before the election.
Secondly, I think you're looking at this from a two-party standpoint, when the more serious struggle is within the Democratic Party. Davis is for sure gone come 2006, and a lot of Democrats have their eye on his seat. The only guy who wants to see Cruz Bustamante get an incumbent's head start is Cruz Bustamante. Almost every other Democrat in the state would be furious with Davis for handing him the Governorship on a plate. If I were a betting Democrat, I would bet that either Davis will defeat the recall, or that if he doesn't, Arnold Schwarzenegger will win the office on sheer name recognition combined with low turnout. Whoever gets that job is stepping into a House of Horrors anyway, let it be some Republican amateur who has a good chance of being on the ropes come the next election. |
This could spread, regardless of the results in California. It's just too expensive to treat the government at any level like a sacred cow, with built-in cost increases. Time for government leaders to act like adults and live within their means.
That doesn't matter; it won't stop the recall, per the state constitution.
Too many "primary" races.
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It's possible, but I doubt this for two reasons. First, it just doesn't sound like Gray Davis. So long as he thinks he has even a prayer of remaining in office, he'll never resign. The pre-elections polls will have to be conclusive that he is for sure doomed before he would take such a step.