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Looks like SARS will go to zero by month's end.
World Health Organization ^ | June 15, 2003 | StACase

Posted on 06/15/2003 6:48:38 AM PDT by StACase

The important statistic with regard to diseases such as SARS is, in my opinion, the number of active cases. WHO and News organizations don't report this stat. However, WHO since April 10th has reported total number of cases, deaths and recoveries from which the number active cases can easily be derived. So, if my Excel® generated chart of that data is correct, SARS will hit "Zero" active cases before the end of June.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: rate; sars; who
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To: FL_engineer
I was just surfing and came across an interesting link.

http://www.pbs.org/frontlineworld/stories/hongkong/science.html
121 posted on 06/17/2003 6:20:39 AM PDT by TBall
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To: TBall; _Jim; aristeides; blam; All
Wonderful article!

I mentioned weeks ago about the late Dr. Don Wiley working with peptides as a virus vaccine and one freeper went overtime saying I didnt know the science, "everyone uses peptides, yada , yada.

I even posted a conference on Peptides that had a presentation about peptides as a treatnment for SARS.

Dr. Don Wiley ,who died after "falling off the bridge in Memphis" was into vaccines for viruses and peptides and was a huge target for terrorists in my opinion.

I believe Wiley was murdered because he was such a star player against viruses.

I'll try to find the "Tides" conference, and post it.
122 posted on 06/17/2003 6:34:42 AM PDT by Betty Jo
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To: StACase
Looks like SARS will go to zero by month's end.

So then it's OK to order the Sweet-N-Sour Civet Cat again?

123 posted on 06/17/2003 6:37:01 AM PDT by PBRSTREETGANG
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To: jacquej
"Commenting on recent reports of people in Guangdong being affected by Japanese encephalitis,an influenza-like disease which causes severe brain inflammation and which is transmitted by mosquito bites,he said 'There's a possibility that this could be something else.'

http://straitstimes.asia1.com.sg/asia/story/0,4386,195107,00.html
124 posted on 06/17/2003 6:41:19 AM PDT by Betty Jo
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To: TBall; All
Two Don Wiley/virus/peptide urls

http://www.hhmi.org/communic/bulletin/oct95/wiley.htm

http://www.mcb.harvard.edu/DonWiley/Guestbook.html
125 posted on 06/17/2003 6:54:03 AM PDT by Betty Jo
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To: aristeides
When my oldest was sent home from the hospital for atypical pneumonia last fall there were some pretty strong meds she was prescribed in case there was an underlying mycoplasma or other bug developing. The initial virus caused such a frail condition that we had to really quarantine for months just as preventive medicine.

Mycoplasma is seen in schools and other close quarters.
126 posted on 06/17/2003 8:14:50 AM PDT by Domestic Church (AMDG...)
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To: Betty Jo
The myco comes after the immune system has been embattled and worn out.
127 posted on 06/17/2003 8:16:46 AM PDT by Domestic Church (AMDG...)
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To: Domestic Church; CathyRyan; Mother Abigail; Dog Gone; Petronski; per loin; riri; flutters; ...
WHO Says SARS Has Been 'Stopped Dead' . Hope this doesn't turn out to be premature.
128 posted on 06/17/2003 8:22:48 AM PDT by aristeides
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To: TaxRelief
"This weather is reminiscent of 1816 (The year there was no summer)."

Funny you should mention that...had just spoken of that summerless year yesterday afternoon and couldn't remember the date in history. We are at least two months behind up here and I'm waiting for the mildew to hit the corn which has finally sprouted a few inches. Nice weather for germs and molds. What was the winter of 1816/1817 like? Any epidemics?
129 posted on 06/17/2003 8:24:35 AM PDT by Domestic Church (AMDG...)
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To: Domestic Church
I just finished reading a book about the Congress of Vienna of 1814-15. At least in Europe, the winters of those two years were also severe. And there was a severe epidemic of flu in the winter of 1814-15. Most of the dignitaries at the congress in Vienna caught the flu. So did Napoleon on Elba.
130 posted on 06/17/2003 8:32:06 AM PDT by aristeides
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To: aristeides
Sounds like the WHO have coined a new China Syndrome...lies, more lies and damn lies.

This is going to be the longest fall in history.
131 posted on 06/17/2003 8:37:46 AM PDT by Domestic Church (AMDG...)
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To: dc-zoo; Judith Anne
As I recall Judith Anne had what she thought was a flame war with a poster who tends to be rather cutting and sarcastic. I thought she handled herself well, but then, I am a lawyer and argue for a living, while she is a nurse and is supposed to be nurturing and caring. Maybe she didn't like it.

My sister is a nurse and hates to argue. She thinks it's weird to argue for fun.

People have a tendency to be jarred by their first flame war, but hopefully she'll get over it and come back, because her posts are excellent.

But maybe I have no idea what I am talking about and she just got busy.
132 posted on 06/17/2003 9:40:29 AM PDT by CobaltBlue
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To: Domestic Church
The Year Without Summer was from a dust veil in the atmosphere caused by numerous volcanoes erupting in prior years, the main contributor was Tambora in 1815. When Toba blew 75,000 years ago, only 2,000-5,000 humans worldwide survived, this event can be seen in our genes as a 'bottleneck.'

Tambora

The Infamous 'Year Without Summer'

133 posted on 06/17/2003 10:27:02 AM PDT by blam
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To: blam
blam, you are truly a wonderful source of knowledge!!!!!
134 posted on 06/17/2003 10:35:16 AM PDT by jacquej
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To: jacquej
"blam, you are truly a wonderful source of knowledge!!!!!"

Thank you. My hobby is anthropology/archaeology, I study this stuff. BTW, a comet shower in 540AD caused the Dark Ages and the recovery took 300-400 years, many died.

135 posted on 06/17/2003 10:43:06 AM PDT by blam
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To: Domestic Church
I see Blam has already sent you a link telling the story of 1816, but I love the way this version is written and we have read this story to our kids several times:

1816, The Year There Was No Summer

136 posted on 06/17/2003 10:45:10 AM PDT by TaxRelief (If you want to control a nation, you start by "protecting" the kids and the elderly...)
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To: CobaltBlue; Judith Anne
Judith Anne is tough, and would not be perturbed by a flame war. Just be patient. Some people are on vacation.
137 posted on 06/17/2003 10:49:07 AM PDT by TaxRelief (If you want to control a nation, you start by "protecting" the kids and the elderly...)
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To: aristeides
WHO Says SARS Has Been 'Stopped Dead' .

Reminds me of another premature headline: "Dewey Defeats Truman"

138 posted on 06/17/2003 11:04:06 AM PDT by Prince Charles
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To: Domestic Church
The epidemics were rampant from 1804-1817, but the "year with no summer" (1816) was blamed for the "European Typhus Epidemic" that ravaged Southern Europe and the mediterranean and the "Cholera Epidemic of 1816-1817" in India.

There were a lot of premature pneumonia deaths in the US and there was famine throughout the Northern Hemisphere.

Historically, the bizarrely cold weather of 1816 may have been responsible for: the shift of farming from New England to the Midwest, the continuing difficulties France faced after the defeat of Napoleon, massive global migration and even the creation of some great works of art!
139 posted on 06/17/2003 11:17:46 AM PDT by TaxRelief (If you want to control a nation, you start by "protecting" the kids and the elderly...)
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To: aristeides
About the only thing right in the article about SARS being stopped is that Taiwan couldn't take much more damage to its economy.

Just like misdiagnosing SARS,taking steps that are based on the economy will clearly lead to more deaths.
140 posted on 06/17/2003 11:35:01 AM PDT by Betty Jo
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