[Future Useless Eater]

SARS Mortality Rates [reflects treatment] for 'PROBABLE' cases only Based on World Health Organization daily tables                 (Revised:  May 26 pm)
Area	Recoveries to date	Deaths to date	Recent** Death Rate		Active Cases still in Danger	Projected Future Deaths	Projected Cumulative Mortality
China	2829	317	10.2%		2170	222	10.1%
Taiwan	112	72	76.4%		401	262	57.1%
Hong Kong	1276	267	13.8%		183	25	16.9%
elsewhere [30 countries]	448	70	11.9%		58	7	13.4%
**  Recent deaths are based on findings from the Imperial College of London...... that deaths take 12 days longer on average than recoveries on average..... = (12-day recent deaths) / (12-day recent deaths + prior 12-day recoveries)

Observations - Treatment:
• Taiwan only reports 'probable' cases when they are the most obvious, or in CRITICAL condition, which is why their death rates seem so high.
• Taiwan maintains an additional shamelessly high 'suspected' count exceeding ONE THOUSAND patients, and has stopped reporting 'suspected' cases to hide this problem.
• China's numbers also seem manipulated and underreported.

Trend - Active Cases Still in Danger [reflects containment] for 'PROBABLE' cases only
Date	China	Taiwan	Hong Kong	elsewhere 30 countries	World-wide all 33 countries
May 12	3068	138	399	95	3700
May 13	3061	153	374	89	3677
May 14	3046	170	343	85	3644
May 15	3034	196	309	78	3617
May 16	2969	193	297	79	3538
May 17	2918	221	276	76	3491
May 18 (est.)	2870	254	263	73	3460
May 19	2799	249	250	70	3368
May 20	2700	268	236	69	3273
May 21	2618	295	227	65	3205
May 22	2526	349	217	62	3154
May 23	2438	396	209	59	3102
May 24	2326	386	196	68	2976
May 25 (est.)	2259	386	184	61	2890
May 26	2170	401	183	58	2812
May 27	...	408	...	...	...
(includes new daily cases... excludes cases resolved by death or recovery) (some tables are supplemented with government data when WHO data is missing)

Observations - Containment:
• I believe China's numbers are highly fictional.
• Taiwan's 'probable' count should be FOUR or FIVE HUNDRED higher.
• Taiwan is withholding 'probable' cases and calling them 'suspected'. This raises their 'probable' mortality rate, and obscures their real containment.
                            May 27  (408) active 'probable' cases
Apr 30   (41)      [a ten-fold increase ]

[Future Useless Eater]

SARS - Treatment/Containment tables - updated through Monday's numbers here