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Turkey wants northern Iraq
Daily Times ^

Posted on 02/20/2003 6:39:53 PM PST by BlackJack

‘Turkey demands control of Iraq from US’

By Owen Matthews, Sami Kohen and John Barry

ANKARA: Turkey is raising its price for allowing US forces to invade Iraq from its territory. In early negotiations with the United States, Ankara spoke of sending in Turkish troops to set up a “buffer zone” perhaps 15 miles deep along the Iraqi border. This would prevent a flood of Kurdish refugees from northern Iraq, the Turks said.

But now, Newsweek has learned, Turkey is demanding that it send 60,000 to 80,000 of its own troops into northern Iraq to establish “strategic positions” across a “security arc” as much as 140 to 170 miles deep in Iraq. That would take Turkish troops almost halfway to Baghdad. These troops would not be under US command, according to Turkish sources, who say Turkey has agreed only to “coordination” between US and Turkish forces.

Ankara fears the Iraqi Kurds might use Saddam’s fall to declare independence. Kurdish leaders have not yet been told of this new plan, according to Kurdish spokesmen in Washington, who say the Kurds rejected even the earlier notion of a narrow buffer zone. Farhad Barzani, the US representative of the main Kurdish party in Iraq, the KDP, says, “We have told them: American troops will come as liberators. But Turkish troops will be seen as invaders.”

The White House did not respond to requests for comment; officials elsewhere in the administration played down the Turkish demands as bargaining tactics: “We told them flat out, no.” But independent diplomatic sources in Ankara and Washington with knowledge of the US-Turkey talks say that while the precise depth of the “security zone” has still to be agreed, the concept is “pretty much a done deal,” as one observer put it.

These sources add that the main US concern has been that US, not Turkish, troops occupy the northern Iraqi cities of Mosul and Kirkuk, and that Turkish troops merely surround but not enter the heavily Kurdish cities of Erbil and Sulemaniye. To get Turkey’s assent to this, these sources say, the United States had to “cave” on its demand that Turkish troops be under US control.

Two days of tough negotiations in Washington last week failed to settle the other part of Turkey’s price: a multibillion-dollar economic package. Turkish PM Abdullah Gul is now threatening to delay the all-important vote in the Turkish Parliament to allow US deployments in Turkey. Pentagon officials acknowledge frustration at the problems Turkey’s bargaining poses for the US military buildup.

Turkish sources say that when Turkey’s Foreign Minister Yasar Yakis met with President Bush on Friday, the president warned that the United States might open a northern front against Iraq without Turkish participation. But military sources say that would be close to impossible.

“Turkey is playing hardball,” said Michael Amitay of the Washington Kurdish Institute. “But if the US agrees to these Turkish deployments, there is a real risk that the Kurds will start a guerrilla war against the Turkish troops.” —Newsweek


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Front Page News
KEYWORDS: warlist
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To: SamAdams76
I just got this $500 globe from my work as a gift.

Boy, those guys at work must really like, admire and respect you.

Nobody ever gave me a globe.

161 posted on 02/20/2003 9:08:42 PM PST by Temple Owl
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To: George W. Bush
How sad that you believe a nation is defined by its diplomats and politicians.

I think a nation is defined by its people, its traditions, its history, and its vision of the future.

162 posted on 02/20/2003 9:11:52 PM PST by ChemistCat (Many are hungry, but few have smoked almonds.)
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To: George W. Bush
Your assessment is mostly the psycho babble the media wants us to believe. The Turkish military is 110% with us on this one. They want to creat a stable region with the replacement of the regimes in Iran, Iraq, Lebanon and Syria. Ignore the "Islamic" politicians and watch the military. The Turks will not abandon us and vice versa. They are the last buffer to keeping the bear out of the region and we can not lose them. They want more power and importance and can get it with a decisive U.S. victory in Iraq. Remember the first rule of PsyOp: confuse everyone.
163 posted on 02/20/2003 9:17:13 PM PST by Beck_isright
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To: ChemistCat
I don't think he has a clue about the nation, the region or anything. He speaks from the NEA perspective. Especially when he makes the statement inferring that there are "experts" in the State Department; that's the funniest thing I've read so far this year.
164 posted on 02/20/2003 9:18:52 PM PST by Beck_isright
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To: SpookBrat
How you can justify terrorism?

The terror-bombing of Hamburg during WWII was justified, because it was a reaction to the terror-bombing of London. Nobody would tell Churchill he had no right to hit Hitler back with proportional force. The only reason firebombing Hamburg was a bad idea was that it was a waste of money.

I don't look at the means of the attack--it makes no difference to me whether an F-15 or suicide bomber is used to strike a target--it matters what the target is.

I don't think guerilla resistance to genocidal violence is wrong, even if the guerillas go to the same extremes as the violators. During WWII Jews would have been justified in killing German civilians--which didn't mean they had to, or should have, but they would have not been morally tainted to any severe degree. Violence can be met with violence.

If Israel was engaging in genocidal violence against Palestinians, and refused to negotiate for peace, Palestinian terrorism against Israeli civilians would be justified (Israel isn't doing that, so Palestinian terrorism isn't justified).

The Turks want to control Kurdistan because it's a strategic region: sitting on two major rivers in the part of Kurdistan stolen by Turkey and a bunch of oilfields in the area stolen by Iraq.

The history of Turkey's campaign to utterly obliterate the Kurds as an independent people cannot be ignored. If they continue this campaign of extreme violence into the modern age by destroying a small, peaceful Kurdish democracy, then they deserve anything and everything they get.

I'm not a conservative, I'm a center-right radical.

165 posted on 02/20/2003 9:20:03 PM PST by xm177e2 (smile) :-)
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To: a_Turk
The problems arise when the Grand Strategies, that is, those policies fundamental to the security of the nation, of allies interfere one with the other.

The USA is very unusual in that its Grand Strategy has mostly been achieved. It may be summed up briefly, thus:

1) US military dominance of North and South America.
2) Domination of the Atlantic and Pacific to ensure that there can be no invasion of North or South America.
3) The stability of, friendship with, or military domination of those countries which line the Pacific and Atlantic.

Since the 11 September attacks, there is a new strategic component:

4) Preventing terrorist attacks on the USA by destroying governments or organizations that wish to launch terrorist attacks on the USA.

Turkey's Grand Strategy has not been achieved. As far as non-naval matters are concerned, although the Turkish military is the dominant force in Anatolia, due to the hostility of her neighbors, it is necessary that she be the dominant regional force, because developing friendly relations isn't likely for a few generations to come, at the very least. This will require Turkish domination of Northern Iraq, and the permanence of Iraq's present geopolitical borders.

In other words, these are issues which simply may not be negotiated, because they are of fundamental importance to Turkish national security.

For the life of me, I do not see how the Grand Strategy of the USA and the Grand Strategy of Turkey conflict.

If you could, to the best of your knowledge, describe Turkey's Grand Strategy as you see it, I think it may be of great help to other members of this forum in understanding Turkish regional concerns.

166 posted on 02/20/2003 9:25:16 PM PST by Mortimer Snavely (Is anyone else tired of reading these tag lines?)
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To: xm177e2
You are one sick little puppy.
167 posted on 02/20/2003 9:27:34 PM PST by Mortimer Snavely (Is anyone else tired of reading these tag lines?)
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To: xm177e2
Blah, blah, blah, blah, blah....

You're totally mental for justifying terrorism in any form or the murder of innocent Turks because you don't like them for personal reasons. Your argument is no different than Usama and his girlyman friends or Hamas, etc. They use the same logic.

What the hell is a center right radical?

168 posted on 02/20/2003 9:30:36 PM PST by SpookBrat
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To: ChemistCat
How sad that you believe a nation is defined by its diplomats and politicians.

Look, polling numbers we fully accept (and no Turkish source questions) estimates the opposition of the Turkish voters to be running 85%-95% against letting us in to Turkey under almost any circumstances even if we get a full Security Council resolution authorizing force against Saddam. So it's the diplomats and the politicians and the military who will let us into Turkey if we pay enough and they're willing to do so completely against the wishes of the general populace, no matter how sweetly idealistic your ideas are about the character of a particular ethnic people. In short, if we were respecting the wishes of ordinary Turks, we wouldn't be going in at all. But both America and the Turkish leadership are ignoring Turkish public opinion and it just comes down to how much we pay to rent the country's borders and airbases for a few weeks and Turkey dictating the terms of any victory.

There is absolutely nothing here that indicates anything other than mercenary intent on the part of Turkey. I've yet to see a single statement from their government on the necessity of removing Saddam or even destroying his WMD, the same WMD which alarmed them enough to request NATO protection. It's just money, money, money, wait, wait, wait.

I've almost decided that the only way to explain this charitably would be to assume the newly elected parliament, 90% new legislators, have badly miscalculated.

Personally, I've had enough of it. I don't want Turkey to help us now. General Franks and Rumsfeld say we can do it without them. It's time to proceed with our other plans now. Enough of this changing the terms of arrangements and jacking the price up and Turkey's leaders pretending they received no deadline. Time to leave the bazaar.
169 posted on 02/20/2003 9:32:26 PM PST by George W. Bush
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To: Mortimer Snavely
>> describe Turkey's Grand Strategy as you see it

Help bring democracy to the anti-democratic states around us sothat we may all live in harmony and provide a safe and joyful world for the generations to come...

A fricking pipe dream, it seems sometimes.
170 posted on 02/20/2003 9:37:10 PM PST by a_Turk (Lookout, lookout: the candy man!)
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To: a_Turk
A fricking pipe dream, it seems sometimes.

No good deed goes unpunished.
171 posted on 02/20/2003 9:40:21 PM PST by George W. Bush
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To: ChemistCat
I don't think for a moment that they'll massacre anybody<P. So what will they do with the Kurds who don't want them there...and who've said they'll use guerrilla tactics to oppose them?
172 posted on 02/20/2003 10:02:49 PM PST by liberallarry
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To: a_Turk
Sending the deal to your parliament means it won't even be voted on until after the US has conquered Iraq. Those corrupt buggers will be offered mammoth bribes, if they haven't gotten some already, from all sorts of foreign groups to delay or vote no - the French, Iraqis, Saudis, Al Qaeda, Pakistan and maybe even the Koreans (both North and South). All of the bribes will be cheerfully accepted, and your parliamentarians will have a wonderful time soliciting more, during which time they won't vote yes or no lest that stop the flow of bribes.

I'm writing something for publication on Friday to that effect.

173 posted on 02/20/2003 10:15:30 PM PST by Thud
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To: xm177e2
"The Kurds are fragmented, but that's mostly because of their circumstances." Notably that they're Kurds.
174 posted on 02/20/2003 10:17:13 PM PST by Thud
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To: Beck_isright
What we must have is stability until we've gotten Iraqi oil production back up, and acquired a friendly government in Iran. Then we can do without Saudi oil for 18-24 months while things get sorted out there and we restore its oil production under new management (ours).

Then, after we control what is now Saudi oil production, we can let go of Iraq,and its oil,and let Iraq's Shiite majority and the Turks settle who controls the Kurdish areas.

175 posted on 02/20/2003 10:21:35 PM PST by Thud
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To: Beck_isright
Yeah, the deception plans are coming thick and fast. I knew the Turkish mess wasn't one of them when UPI said the deal was being submitted to the Turkish parliament.
176 posted on 02/20/2003 10:22:56 PM PST by Thud
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To: SpookBrat
Personal reasons? What do the Kurds have to do with me personally?

In the past century, Turkey has gone from a genocidal Muslim dictatorship to a genocidal secularist "military democracy." If Turkey wasn't so intent on dominating the Middle East on the backs of the Kurds, it wouldn't be such a bad place.

It doesn't matter if they use the same logic, because they lie about facts. If you believe in the death penalty, then you probably think we had the right to execute Timothy McVeigh. If the Saudi Arabian government arrested an innocent man, claimed he was behind a terrorist attack, and wanted to execute him on that basis, they would be using the same "logic" as the American Justice Department. And it wouldn't make them right.

177 posted on 02/20/2003 10:26:01 PM PST by xm177e2 (smile) :-)
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To: BlackJack
Kirkuk is also a majority Turcoman city. Turcomen (or Turkomen or Turkmen) are ethnic Turks who have lived in northern Iraq for a millenium. They speak Arabic but are discriminated against by Arabs and Kurds.
Turkey wants to protect Turkomen and claim Kirkuk on that basis.
178 posted on 02/20/2003 10:49:46 PM PST by rmlew
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To: xm177e2
An interesting analysis. Perhaps it's right...but my take is different.

I like Jabotinsky's view of the Israeli/Palestinian conflict. The two sides have incompatible claims and incompatible cultures - so its a fight to the death. The same may be true of the Turks and Kurds.

We're fighting this war because we believe the present state of affairs is intolerable - the threat to our safety, our power, and the international order is just too great. We believe we have to remake the map of the Middle East to reduce this threat.

Bit if this dispute with Turkey is any indication of what is to come the new map will be drawn with a lot more old-fashioned, brutal realpolitic and a lot less idealistic, democratic-capitalism than we've been led to believe.

179 posted on 02/20/2003 10:59:01 PM PST by liberallarry
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To: liberallarry
Here's Krugman's pretty nasty take on the situation.
180 posted on 02/20/2003 11:42:50 PM PST by liberallarry
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