Washington/Batimore Heavy Snow Forecast...

National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington ^ | February 14, 2003

[SarahW]

Richmond VA is ALWAY on the rain snow line. We could get buckets of rain, sleet or snow. No way to tell until its all over. :)

[Cicero]

Only the usual amount of snow here in Vermont, but it was 20 below last night, and supposed to be the same again tonight. Our neighbors have cancelled a barbecue they were planning for Saturday night. The cold water pipe to my bathtub has frozen up again, but luckily the plumber designed it so it doesn't burst when it thaws . . . so far at least. Who knows when it will thaw this time?

[dirtboy]

This could be as a bad as the 96 storm???

That's what they are comparing it to - 2 inches of rainfall equivalent is a lot of snow...

[BluH2o]

Drove up to Copper Mtn. from Colo.Sprgs. to ski back in early January. I've never seen Dillon Reservoir so low ... and I've been skiing Colorado going back 30 years. You guys (I live in the mid-west now, but still a Bronco guy) are in dire need of percipitation.

[dirtboy]

You guys (I live in the mid-west now, but still a Bronco guy) are in dire need of percipitation.

I'm in PA now, and we're gonna get it...

[RoughDobermann]

Thanks. Everyone here is hoping but they're already talking about ZERO outdoor watering this summer. Gonna be brown and dusty really quickly. My best to you and your wife.

[RoughDobermann]

Drove up to Copper Mtn. from Colo.Sprgs. to ski back in early January. I've never seen Dillon Reservoir so low

You should have seen it this summer; they actually found some old boat wrecks the level was so low. Really quite sad.

[RoseofTexas]

Let me ask the question again, please humor me. Because of the DC protest I'm hoping for a heavy snow day tomorrow. What are the chances of there of heavy snow? Or does anyone here live in DC? Is it snowing, raining, what? BE SAFE!

[RoseofTexas]

Ooops..strike out OF, meant: What are the chances of snow there tomorrow?

[Semper911]

MidAtlantic states, head's up. It is headed your way... and it looks nasty.

[AM2000]

I was just listening to the local news (I'm in NJ too) and they're predicting no more than 2 inches tonight. 10+ on Sunday!

[tomkat]

sorry rose, was away for awhile ...

looks like we'll either get about 6" or, depending on the track, a couple feet.

weathermen > guys/gals that can be wrong 50% of the time and still get paid ...

[don-o]

Predictions for East Tennessee have been for major rain today - 2 inches.

We may have gotten one half inch.

ISTM that the more data the weathermen have to work with, the less accurate forecasts have become.

[Dog]

Accuweather.com

[Textide]

Calling for a foot or so here in Leesburg, VA (30mi NW of DC). The combination of terror threat and winter storm has left only caviar and wine on the grocery shelves, but I'll manage....somehow.

OK I'm exaggerating (about the grocery store)

[John H K]

ISTM that the more data the weathermen have to work with, the less accurate forecasts have become.

Actually, forecasts have gradually, and continuously, been getting more and more accurate. This can be shown statistically.

However, the perception is otherwise for a variety of reasons:

1) People are ATTEMPTING longer range forecasts than they did 20-30 years ago. Forecasts are more wrong the longer you forecast out, thus creating the impression there is more error.

2) Crisis of rising expectations. Forecasts are VERY gradually getting better...for example, on average, National Hurricane Center track error is reduced by about 1% a year. The improvement is much slower than people's expectations, much slower than the rate technology is getting better, so people get frustrated.

3) Just blatant old-fogeyism....the standard "back in my day, things were better" business. Viewing the past through rose-colored glasses. There was a huge amount of blown forecasts in the 70s, 60s, 50s, 40s, etc.

[mom-7]

According to the map I am in the 10 inch area. Will believe it when I see it. Went to the grocery store about 10 A.M. and the shelves were bare. Don't people keep food in their homes? Much ado about nothing. By the way I went to do my every other week shopping.

[Dog]

I work in a grocery store in South Jersey.....very busy day indeed..

[AnAmericanMother]

Same here in N. Georgia.

They were forecasting major rain from mid day on. We got a little band of showers about 11 a.m., then just sprinkles, and by 4 o'clock the SUN was out.

I planned for today to get my car worked on in the p.m. since it would be raining anyway. Missed a gorgeous day outside - could have been riding my horse instead of sitting in the waiting room at the Ford place . . . sigh.

[verity]

Milk, bread, booze, videos. The run has no doubt started

The duct tape, man. For God's sake, do not forget the duct tape.