[John Jamieson]

I'm afraid aero drag plays a big role here! That's much to simple.

[Cold Heat]

Sitting in recliner marveling at the math.

This is why I had to get dirty to make money! LOL

[bonesmccoy]

Yes, I am aware of the fact that drag plays a big role here.

However, I do not have differential equations to relate drag at various altitudes, the prevailing winds on the morning in question, and the ground terrain.

So, the best I can surmise is the basic college ballistics equation and use that as the initial point of reference.

We can at least see where the impact point could have been and how close it is to a populated area.