Posted on 01/02/2003 4:57:07 PM PST by Enemy Of The State
"... make that waaaay behind you."
Anyone who thinks that China is going to fall on their sword for North Korea is sorely mistaken. For internal political reasons, China can't quite cut NK loose yet, but that day is coming. China's future lies in keeping Japan de-militarized, South Korea intact, and both helping pump up the Chinese economy. North Korea has nothing to offer, but a rational for U.S. troops to stay parked on the Chinese border.
Its safe to say that China will shed no tears for their 'fellow communists', nor offer any support where it counts.
My guess is that China is more interested in what they can get from U.S. using this "crisis". China knows that current S. Korean gov will not turn on China aggressively even if China fails to defuse the situation promptly. It is taking its time to get the most out of it while the hapless S. Korean gov. is scrambling to get Chinese attention. Current S. Korean leadership does not know how to play a high stake poker game. It is unfortunate. But it is true. It only knows how to look good in front of international media. That is what Kim Dae-Jung is all about.
Known to his friends as Fu-Q.
Bush Justice Department Obstructs Testimony of Chinagate Scandal Figure John Huang
Ashcroft Winding Down Justice Department Chinagate Probe
Cover-up at the Bush Commerce Department - By Charles Smith
NORTH KOREA: US agrees to fund power and heating (Bush sends 95 million to member of Axis of Evil!!)
US grants N Korea nuclear funds[President George W Bush waived the Framework's]
US grants N Korea nuclear funds
North Korea Threatens Nuclear Strike on U.S. - March 15, 2002
North Korea Says U.S. "Sworn Enemy" - April 4, 2002
"Axis of Evil" - North Korea, Iraq and Iran
North Korea's Best Pal: The U.S.?
"Rep. Dana Rohrabacher, R-Calif , is even more direct.
"We are giving North Korea hundreds of millions of dollars in fuel and food while they are spending the same amount bolstering their military. If ever there was an insane policy, this is it."
Presidential front-runner George W. Bush has also voiced concerns about Clintons approach to North Korea.
"North Korea is a serious threat to American forces in Asia and to our important allies, Japan and the Republic of Korea," the Bush campaign told IBD. "Gov. Bush believes that the administrations strategy toward North Korea has failed to secure important, long-term U.S. objectives on the Korean peninsula: to end
North Koreas nuclear weapons program, to stop the proliferation of ballistic missile technology from Pyongyang, and to reduce the conventional military threat facing the Republic of Korea and U.S. troops stationed there."
"The State Department's 1999 report stated that North Korea had links with Osama bin Laden."
Fatherly Advice to the President on North Korea
Carlyle's Way
"Shortly after George W. Bush was sworn in as president, he broke off talks with North Korea regarding long-range ballistic missiles, claiming there was no way to ensure North Korea would comply with any guidelines that were developed. The news came as a shock to South Korean officials, who had spent years negotiating with the North, assisted by the Clinton administration. By June, Mr. Bush had reopened negotiations with North Korea, but only at the urging of his own father. According to reports, the former president sent his son a memo persuasively arguing the need to work with the North Korean government. It was the first time the nation had seen the influence of the father on the son in office.
But what has been overlooked was Carlyle's business interest in Korea. The senior Bush had spearheaded the group's successful entrance into the South Korean market, paving the way for buyouts of Korea's KorAm Bank and Mercury, a telecommunications equipment company. For the business to be successful, stability between North and South Korea is critical.
"We're not looking for individuals of any particular religion or from any particular country."
FBI Director Robert Mueller - SOURCE.
That is possibly what China will try if Kim Jong-Il push things too far. But it is a risky move. So China will go about it cautiously, taking its time, if it decides to do so.
In such case, China would prefer to have someone only beholden to China but not to the other players in the region. But anybody not rocking the boat too often could be better than Kim Jong-Il in the end. China may actually join hands with America and Russia to do this. It remains to be seen, in such a contingency, how deep China will reach into N. Korean elites to pull this off.
It is sufficient for U.S. to merely declare unequivocally that U.S. won't interfere with China about the Taiwan problem under any circumstances. Then it is as good as done. Maybe that is what China wants. Who knows ?
It all hinges on how badly U.S. needs China to resolve Kim Jong-Il problem. Ironically, the more stinks N. Korea makes, grabbing international headlines, the more danger Taiwan will be in. Chen Sui-Bian must really hate Kim Jong-Il. Kim may be forcing Bush's hand to give up Taiwan in order to get to N. Korea. In the end, Kim gets nothing and digs his own grave. But he would drag Taiwan, an unrelated third party, with him.
Ceasar fell .. in broad daylight . . at the hands of those he trusted most.
Kim Jong Il's dictatorial control isn't nearly as powerful as what Ceasar's was.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.