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To: rohry
There are more (short) derivatives on gold than all the gold mines in the world produce in 7 years. Where are the shorts going to buy gold without raising the price to the stratosphere?

Well, there's the point. Lots of short action out there. On the other side of each short derivative is someone who will profit from an INCREASE in price, and they'll make a LOT of money.

Believe me, the holders of long positions will cash in as soon as they can. ESPECIALLY if you're saying that there's far too much short action out there--because the holders of long positions will seek to turn their positions into cash before anyone else does, lest they be left holding an unsecured loan to an entity in bankruptcy court, so they're just going to race to be the first to pull the trigger.

37 posted on 12/18/2002 4:17:55 PM PST by Poohbah
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To: Poohbah
"Well, there's the point. Lots of short action out there. On the other side of each short derivative is someone who will profit from an INCREASE in price, and they'll make a LOT of money."

And you know this, how? The derivative market is non-tranparent (there are no reports on how the derivatives are structured). There are computer programs driving the buying and selling of derivatives, do you know what their buy and sell points are? Most of the contracts demand delivery of physical gold.

The gold that has been "borrowed" (actually sold) has to be bought on the (transparent) market. Where are they going to buy it to deliver to the "longs."

I seriously don't think that you know what ypu are talking about...
41 posted on 12/18/2002 4:27:26 PM PST by rohry
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