[laconic]

Well, if Terrell gets 10 percent of the black vote and even if the black vote is at historically high levels (26 percent of the total LA vote, which would match when David Duke ran for governor), she still wins if she can get as "little" as 64 percent of the white vote (which would be 74 percent of the total) 2.6 percent + 47.5 percent = 50.1 percent. Given Bush's 71 percent approval margin in the state, its do-able.

[KQQL]

That's my call was 51% -48% for Terrell.....
I figured 1% for write-ins.

if the Black vote ends up low......Terrell could win by 5%+..otherwise it will be in the 3% range.