To: Rye
It's not looking too good unless our gal does better than expected in remaining Jefferson and New Orlean parishes....which would buck the statewide trend of Landrieu gaining votes over the 11-05-02 election.
Jefferson will go heavily Pubbie but I doubt enough to offset remaining New Orleans proper votes and the 13K edge Landrieu already has.
Still not too shabby. A stronger Pubbie could have prevailed handily in a diehard Dem state(the only left in the old CSA with more registered Dems than Pubbies). That says something. The worm is definitely turning and the old Long machine remnants are getting rusty.
From what I've gleaned so far, the large rural black vote turnout is what has handed Landrieu her edge.....that and more Pubbie apathy than I would have liked to have seen....along with the infighting.
To: wardaddy
AP has called it for Landrieu.....Damn!
To: wardaddy
"Still not too shabby. A stronger Pubbie could have prevailed handily in a diehard Dem state(the only left in the old CSA with more registered Dems than Pubbies). That says something. The worm is definitely turning and the old Long machine remnants are getting rusty."
Problem is, I'm hard pressed to think of any other likely candidates, besides the governor, who made it clear from the beginning that he wasn't going to run, no way, no how. Terrell WAS the strongest Republican out there. It's not like there was a dream candidate sitting on the sidelines. The White House beat the bushes (no pun intended) to get several Republicans in the race and force a runoff.
Apparently the black vote wasn't very energized, yet Landrieu STILL won, more easily than she did against Woody Jenkins, who IMHO was a weaker opponent than Terrell. That's troubling.
1,832 posted on
12/07/2002 8:21:24 PM PST by
kms61
To: wardaddy
Thanks for the detailed reply. It seems Landrieu's association with the much beloved (in Louisiana) Senator Breaux, who has been her almost constant companion in the last month, helped push her over the top. (That, along with the black vote, as you mentioned).
To: wardaddy
This vote by the black voters may be the last vestige of the Solid South so with that said here is the challenge of the future! In the national election it was the lack of this vote that won the day for Conservatives so does this tell you anything? This is a tenuious victory at best and no time to chirp! Time to get busy and get organized. In the common vernacular guys "This Is a Wake-up Call" Whistleing Dixie does not cut it!
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