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To: mwl1
How do the actual election results compare to various final polls?

Lately Zogby has been held as the "best" since they were closest in 2000. It seems most polls in recent days predicted no change in the Senate.

So overall, is it correct that polls were too optimistic for the dems? Maybe they will need to adjust for Republican secret sauce in the future, to be more accurate.
3,998 posted on 11/06/2002 2:07:50 AM PST by truth_seeker
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To: truth_seeker
my take on the pollsters is that scott rasmussen was MUCH more on top of this election than zogby was. heard him on hannity on monday, and he was far more positive for the elephants than zogby was.
4,032 posted on 11/06/2002 2:15:36 AM PST by AFPhys
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To: truth_seeker
So overall, is it correct that polls were too optimistic for the dems? Maybe they will need to adjust for Republican secret sauce in the future, to be more accurate.

All polls have a RAT bias. And I don't mean an intentional bias; it's just a known fact that all polls taken will end up giving the RATS a few points more "support" than they actually have. They try to factor it out, but usually fail. Nobody's ever pinpointed the reason for this, but I think it's mainly because a lot of people are still afraid to tell anyone they're a Republican, lest they be screeched at, called a racist, etc. So they tell the pollster they're voting RAT, of course they're voting RAT, but then vote GOP in the privacy of the voting booth.

4,064 posted on 11/06/2002 2:25:25 AM PST by Timesink
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