[Dave S]

I haven't seen numbers like these anywhere; he appears to be about five to seven percent too high or too low in each case compared to the other pollsters. I don't think Zogby cooks his polls; this is big business for him and his polling accuracy reputation is extremely important in getting new clients. Anyone have any ideas here?

I hope Im wrong but the DEms have had major GOTV campaigns in the last two off year elections which have left the GOP surprised, losing races they thought they had in the bag. The AFL-CIO is suppposely putting more resources behind candidates in this race than in the previous years. Perhaps Zogby is taking this high turnout for Dems into account in his poll numbers. His prediction in Texas fits with some of the Dems are saying about their GOTV program there.

[laconic]

I fear you may be right; I remember Election Day 2000 when the folks at NewsMax.com reported in midafternoon that they were stunned by the far greater than anticipated turnout in the old folks' condo canyons in Fort Lauderdale and the historically huge turnout of blacks in Florida. Up to this year, the Dems have run (with the help of their friends in organized labuh) the far better ground campaign; supposedly the GOP has learned something from this but we'll see Tuesday nite.