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To: AndrewC
Precisely the point. Even though it is a outcome consistent with the game of craps, it is unexpected and remarkable.

That is not what I said. The game of craps is based on fair dice rolls. The expected distribution of fair dice rolls is known. Your example is highly inconsistent with the distribution of fair dice. It is possible, but not probable. I'd examine your dice way before the number of consecutive sevens reached 54 thousand.

"Or it's a stunning vindication of the laws of probability. Each individual coin, spun individually, is equally as likely to turn up heads as tails and should therefore cause no surprise each individual time it does."

103 posted on 10/31/2002 10:22:03 AM PST by Condorman
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To: Condorman
Correct me if I'm wrong, but each and every possible series of coin tosses is just as likely as any other series -- regardless of the length of the series. You cannot look at a series of "random" events that have happened and declare the series impossible or unlikely.
111 posted on 10/31/2002 11:43:03 AM PST by js1138
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