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To: Condorman
Correct me if I'm wrong, but each and every possible series of coin tosses is just as likely as any other series -- regardless of the length of the series. You cannot look at a series of "random" events that have happened and declare the series impossible or unlikely.
111 posted on 10/31/2002 11:43:03 AM PST by js1138
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To: js1138
Correct me if I'm wrong, but each and every possible series of coin tosses is just as likely as any other series -- regardless of the length of the series. You cannot look at a series of "random" events that have happened and declare the series impossible or unlikely.

You are correct with respect to any given series. For a fair coin "HHHHHHHHHH" is as likely as "HHTHTTTHTH". For distributions of results in the aggregate, however, the head-to-tail ratio should be about 1-to-1. (For a any roll of a pair of fair dice, they should total 7 about 1 out of every 6.) So based on the known properties of a coin, the probability of observing a series containing 10 heads (~.09%) is far less than the probability of observing a series containing 5 heads and 5 tails (~24.6%).

121 posted on 11/01/2002 7:12:36 AM PST by Condorman
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