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Increase in Autism Baffles Scientists
nytimes.com ^ | 10-18-02 | By SANDRA BLAKESLEE

Posted on 10/18/2002 4:02:32 AM PDT by krodriguesdc

Increase in Autism Baffles Scientists

By SANDRA BLAKESLEE

Trying to account for a drastic rise in childhood autism in recent years, a California study has found that it cannot be explained away by statistical anomalies or by a growing public awareness that might have led more parents to report the disorder.

But the study's authors, who reported their findings yesterday to the California Legislature, said they were at a loss to explain the reasons for what they called an epidemic of autism, the mysterious brain disorder that affects a person's ability to form relationships and to behave normally in everyday life.

"Autism is on the rise in the state, and we still do not know why," said the lead author, Dr. Robert S. Byrd, an epidemiologist and pediatrician at the University of California at Davis. "The results are, without a doubt, sobering."

As diagnoses of autism have increased throughout the nation, experts and parents have cast about for possible explanations, including genetics, birth injuries and childhood immunizations. The California study found that none of these factors could explain an increase of the magnitude reported there — more than triple from 1987 to 1998.

Dr. Catherine Lord, a professor of psychology and psychiatry at the University of Michigan who is a leading authority on autism, said it was unclear whether the California findings applied to other states.

The federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is working in 13 states to look at the apparent increase in autism cases, said Dr. Frank DeStefano, an epidemiologist at the agency. So far, there is no reliable count of autism cases nationwide, since criteria and reporting practices vary from state to state.

The California study was prompted by a 1999 report from the state's Department of Developmental Services, which reported that the number of children with "full spectrum," or profound, autism had increased by 273 percent, to 10,360 in 1998 from 2,778 in 1987. The study did not deal with milder forms of the disorder, like Asperger syndrome.

The numbers were surprising, Dr. Byrd said. The traditional estimate was that 4 or 5 children out of 10,000 might develop autism. Instead, it appeared that 10 children in every 10,000 were seriously autistic, meaning they suffered from a brain disorder that left them unable to speak or compulsively performing repetitive motions like flapping their arms or rocking.

After the period studied, the number of autistic children continued to rise, to 18,460 cases as of July 2002, according to the California Department of Developmental Services.

In response to the study, the legislature directed the MIND Institute, an autism research center at the University of California at Davis, to investigate.

"We wondered if the increase was real," Dr. Byrd said. "Maybe we were doing a better job of finding cases. Maybe there was an increase in awareness of autism. The movie `Rain Man' was very popular."

California has a system of 21 regional centers that diagnose developmental disorders and provide services to children with them. Dr. Byrd and his team mined these centers for data.

Researchers sent questionnaires to the parents of 684 children with full-spectrum autism or mental retardation. About half were teenagers, born from 1983 to 1985; the others were ages 7 to 9, born a decade later.

If the criteria for diagnosing autism had changed in those 10 years or if the definition had broadened, the mystery would be solved, Dr. Byrd said. But the standards used to diagnose full-spectrum autism were the same in both age groups, he said.

Some people suggested that the centers might diagnose autism so families would receive more generous state assistance. But the centers have no incentive to do so, Dr. Byrd said, since they do not receive more state financing for identifying more children with disabilities.

The study also considered whether children in the older group were incorrectly classified as mentally retarded, when they were in fact autistic. But the rate of misdiagnosis was about the same in both groups, Dr. Byrd said.

Still another possibility — that large numbers of families with autistic children had moved into California — was discarded when it turned out that most children in both groups were born in California. A general increase in population accounted for about 10 percent of the rise in autism, Dr. Byrd said. The rest remains a mystery.

There also were no significant differences over time in sex, race or parental education. Parents of the older children were more likely to report mental retardation along with autism, but the finding did not explain the rising incidence.

About a third of parents in both groups reported that their children began to regress around the age of 18 months, Dr. Byrd said. They suddenly lost the ability to say words and stopped making eye contact. Many parents blame vaccinations thatare given around 18 months; until recently some vaccines contained a mercury-based preservative that some people believe can cause brain damage in young children. The study found no evidence that the vaccine was the culprit, Dr. Byrd said.

Nevertheless, more parents of younger children reported constipation and vomiting, which they attributed to complications from the measles vaccine. Wheat allergies were also more frequent. But none of these differences fully explain the increase in autism cases in California, Dr. Byrd said.

Parents in the study were asked what might have caused their child's autism. Nearly half the parents in both groups said they did not know. A third blamed genetics; smaller numbers cited immunizations, birth injury or environmental factors.

"You can't explain an increase of this magnitude on genetics," Dr. Byrd said. "Something else is happening."

"We know autism has a strong genetic component," said Portia Iversen, a founder of Cure Autism Now, a research and advocacy group in Los Angeles formed by parents of autistic children. "But we don't know what in the environment is interacting with genes to contribute to this huge increase in cases."



TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: autism; epidemic
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let's blame it on terrorists and not vaccines :)
1 posted on 10/18/2002 4:02:32 AM PDT by krodriguesdc
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To: krodriguesdc
Where's the drug history on the parents in this study?
2 posted on 10/18/2002 4:05:26 AM PDT by patriciaruth
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To: patriciaruth
How many nuclear waste dumps in California? Wasn't that state the birthplace of the military industrial complex?
3 posted on 10/18/2002 4:15:48 AM PDT by TiaS
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To: krodriguesdc
This is a duplicate story, but a different source. First post here.

From my post on that thread:

I've recently come across some info about autism and another possible contributing factor, birth asphyxia. It is an interesting theory, and one that should be looked into I think.

Here is a abstract by two professionals that is to be presented at the upcoming International Meeting for Autism Research on November 1: BRAINSTEM LESIONS IN AUTISM: BIRTH ASPHYXIA AS A CAUSATIVE FACTOR.

4 posted on 10/18/2002 4:25:22 AM PDT by JameRetief
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To: krodriguesdc
California=increased fish consumption=possible mercury exposure in vitro

Just a guess, could also be as someone said increase in drug use, and that could include all the serotonin replacing drugs, i.e. Prozac, not just illegal street drugs.

We've been immunizing children for years, so it wouldn't be the regular immunizations, but the Hep. vaccines are new to the mix.

Hep vaccines have been implicated in other neuro diseases like MS.

5 posted on 10/18/2002 4:26:34 AM PDT by dawn53
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To: TiaS
I have little doubt that we have so polluted our food, water and air that the rise of autism as well as the many, many other huge increases in health problems of our children are starting to haunt us.

Its not just autism, look at juvenile diabetes, food allergies, breast cancer, other cancers etc how much they have increased over the past 30+ years. I do think there are more cases being diagnosed, wheras in the past they would have gone unreported, but some of the polluting that was done 20-30-40 years ago and (even though things seem to have improved) even still today is coming back to haunt us and will continue to for generations to come.

6 posted on 10/18/2002 4:31:26 AM PDT by freeper12
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To: dawn53
Can autism be misdiagnosed? could it be another disease?
7 posted on 10/18/2002 4:32:24 AM PDT by longtermmemmory
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To: krodriguesdc
Exposure to liberalism causes autism.
8 posted on 10/18/2002 4:33:01 AM PDT by Physicist
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To: freeper12
The greatest change that has directly led to declining health overall is our shift to processed oils, and our decreased intake of the essential fatty acids (EFAs) in our diet.

If you only read one book on health, read Fats That Heal Fats That Kill by Udo Erasmus. If nothing else, read his lecture that gives a brief general overview of what is meticulously detailed in his book. EFA consumption could even be relevant in helping those afflicted with autism (over 60% of our brain mass is made up of fatty acids).

I began taking his Oil Blend about a year ago, and I can definetly say, without a shadow of doubt in my mind, the health benefits are amazing. You begin noticing a definite difference within a few days, and you will never wnat to go without it.

9 posted on 10/18/2002 4:41:37 AM PDT by JameRetief
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To: krodriguesdc
Autism and nutrasweet?

Before you go grab the tin-foil, check out the serious links
from a Google search: "autism nutrasweet"

10 posted on 10/18/2002 4:42:09 AM PDT by Deep_6
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To: JameRetief
Want even. :-)
11 posted on 10/18/2002 4:42:55 AM PDT by JameRetief
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To: JameRetief
P.S. here is some information from a laboratory about Autism and Essential Fatty Acids.
12 posted on 10/18/2002 4:58:11 AM PDT by JameRetief
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To: Deep_6
That's interesting, I hadn't thought of that. My husband had a serious reaction the first time he ate something with aspartame in it. Needless to say, we avoid it like the plaque, but aren't expectant and nursing mothers also advised to avoid it???
13 posted on 10/18/2002 5:00:32 AM PDT by dawn53
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To: krodriguesdc
What do they EXPECT after eight years of Clinton? He ruined every relationship for many miles around, except for his own relationship with a sink.
14 posted on 10/18/2002 5:09:59 AM PDT by T'wit
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To: T'wit
btt
15 posted on 10/18/2002 5:12:35 AM PDT by GailA
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To: JameRetief
is autisim going to be the next add or adhd?
16 posted on 10/18/2002 5:23:24 AM PDT by longtermmemmory
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To: dawn53
My wife has severe rheumatoid arthritis and suffered from fibromyalgia.

Since eliminating aspartame from her diet months ago, her fibromyalgia
is gone. Now she is slowly decreasing her dosages of arthritis medication.

Although her joints [hands and feet] will have to be replaced, we hope to
slow the progression or perhaps put it into remission.

It's interesting, that so many articles are written [including newsgroup
information/personal notes] worldwide [that have no intertwined rapport
and/or connection], all stating the adverse effects of aspartame.....
yet "big business"  denounces the adverse claims as hogwash.

More interesting, is the fact that many FDA operatives retire to jobs with
companies [as Monsanto], to do the filing of "supportive research" for 
that company's manufactured drugs.

Monsanto makes pesticides also. They're doing well in the pharmaceutical
business, in spite of the asbestos lawsuit losses and other lawsuit losses.

 

17 posted on 10/18/2002 5:24:05 AM PDT by Deep_6
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To: JameRetief
well - something is causing this epidemic in autism - until they find conclusive evidence - everything that we expose children to should be suspect...

my guess is that vaccines are involved - how, I do not know but with children getting an average of 21 jabs before starting school it is cause for concern...

yes we've been vaccinating children but never with such intensity and frequency...

overwhelming is what I'd call it! Kids do not have developed immune systems...

18 posted on 10/18/2002 5:25:50 AM PDT by krodriguesdc
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To: krodriguesdc
We tend to approach all problems in a straight line, that is identify the stress, eliminate it and you have global improvement. This process sees all stress as bad and to be avoided, but in fact, the process of being born completes the maturation of the baby, producing hormones and events that nature in its efficiency has made use of. Therefore, the recent rise in Caesarian delvieries could be a contributing factor. But since it it seen as a beneficial procedure will probably not be considered.

regards

19 posted on 10/18/2002 6:19:18 AM PDT by okiedust
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To: krodriguesdc
I have always contended that there is a link between childrens' vaccinations and the increase in learning disabilities. This post would seem to corroborate that:

NEW STRONG EVIDENCE LINKS AUTISM TO VACCINE

20 posted on 10/18/2002 6:39:12 AM PDT by NYer
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