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Sharp rise in favour of war on Iraq (Guardian poll)
The Guardian (U.K.) ^ | 10/16/2002 | Alan Travis

Posted on 10/15/2002 6:15:02 PM PDT by Pokey78

There has been a spectacular surge in support among British voters for military action against Iraq in the immediate aftermath of the terror attack in Bali, according to the latest Guardian/ICM poll.

The survey, which was carried out on Monday, shows that support for a military attack on Iraq has risen 10 points in the last week from 32% to 42% of voters.

The ICM poll also shows that more voters agree with Tony Blair that it is necessary to fight on two fronts against both al-Qaida and Iraq. Only one in three voters agree that the United States and Britain "took their eye off the ball" by concentrating on Iraq.

Mr Blair yesterday told the Commons in an emergency statement that the Bali attack was "an act of pure wickedness" which he said would be met "with defiance and determination".

He told MPs that he entirely rejected the contention that terrorism should be fought alone and that dealing with Iraq's weapons of mass destruction was a distraction.

"Some say that we should fight terrorism alone and that the issues to do with weapons of mass destruction are a distraction. I reject that entirely," he said. "Both, though different in means, are the same in nature. Both are the new threats facing the post-cold war world. Both are threats from people of states who do not care about human life, who have no compunction about killing the innocent. Both represent the extreme replacing the rational, the fanatic driving out moderation."

The Guardian/ICM poll shows that 41% of voters agree with the prime minister that it is not a choice between fighting either Iraq or al-Qaida. Fewer - 35% - disagreed and said they believed the United States had "taken its eye off the ball".

The level of support for a military attack on Iraq is now at its highest level since the Guardian started a weekly tracker poll on the question in August. Opposition to a war against Iraq reached a peak in the last week of August when it touched 50% and has now fallen to its lowest level at 37%.

Support for a war against Iraq is strongest amongst men - 51% approve as opposed to only 34% of women - and among 25- 34-year-olds who approve by 52% to 25%. Opposition to war is strongest among women - 41% of whom disapprove compared with 33% of men.

The poll results also show that the belief that a new UN mandate is needed before British troops are committed remains overwhelming with 85% of voters saying this must be a precondition.

A similar proportion - 81% - also says there needs to be a Commons vote before there is British participation in an attack on Iraq. Mistrust of Saddam Hussein also remains at a very high level in Britain. Three-quarters say they do not believe he would honour his commitment to allow UN weapons inspectors into Iraq without any conditions. Only 13% are prepared to give him the benefit of the doubt.

ICM interviewed a random sample of 1,008 adults aged 18 and over by telephone on Monday 14 October. Interviews were conducted across the country and the results have been weighted to the profile of all adults.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; United Kingdom
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To: ChadGore
I think this just goes to show how little common sense is left in the world. An attack on Bali by Al-Qaeda doesn't inself make Iraq any more dangerous. Iraq has been the same danger for the last 10 years. But people love to make uneducated guesses at what should be done and when instead actually make any intellegent decision. The fact that polls are going up only goes to show that people are brainwashed by what they see on TV. While it's a nice means to an end it's too bad to see that so many people have been reduced to using so little brain matter.
21 posted on 10/15/2002 7:08:15 PM PDT by Almondjoy
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To: Pokey78
The Guardianistas must be in a snit over this!

It's telling that, despite the best probable efforts of the Guardian to push-poll their way out of reporting the truth, they still had to admit to a ten percent increase in support for taking out Iraq. The real poll numbers were probably quite a bit higher...

22 posted on 10/15/2002 7:10:51 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: Pokey78
Thank you Mr. Blair...I have to say though, in all honesty, that I've been wondering where the REAL Tony Blair is and what you've done with his body since your (formerly??) good friend Bubba Clinton gave you successful tips on how to win elections and commit absentee vote fraud.

I am pleasantly thrilled with Prime Minister Blair's (maybe the third time I've called him by his title and that since 9/11) actions and unequivocal support of the US and President Bush since 9/11/01...but there IS a teeny part of me that keeps saying "He hated Thatcher...he is acting SOOOO Thatcherlike now...is it too good to be true?"

23 posted on 10/15/2002 7:11:09 PM PDT by cake_crumb
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To: Miss Marple
And you are quite correct. If the Guardian is showing a ten-point surge, it may actually be more than that.

Great minds think alike, I guess - see my post #22.

24 posted on 10/15/2002 7:11:53 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: cake_crumb
but there IS a teeny part of me that keeps saying "He hated Thatcher...he is acting SOOOO Thatcherlike now...is it too good to be true?"

There are some people on the left who rise to the occasion when events merit. Blair seems to be one of those.

25 posted on 10/15/2002 7:13:04 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: Pokey78
A liberal is just someone who's never been mugged. I can imagine how shocked and angry they are at the carnage. I have been reading the Aussie papers and the articles about the Bali bombing are heartbreaking and infuriating.
26 posted on 10/15/2002 7:13:35 PM PDT by veronica
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To: glock rocks
Hmmm...visions of Saddam, dressed in a pig skin, slow roasting over Hickory coals....maybe an apple sticking out of his....err..mouth...
27 posted on 10/15/2002 7:15:20 PM PDT by cake_crumb
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To: Pokey78

28 posted on 10/15/2002 7:16:22 PM PDT by red-dawg
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To: red-dawg
Gross!
29 posted on 10/15/2002 7:21:03 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: Pokey78
The French were asked and their only reply was "War? What's that? Is that something you can win?"
30 posted on 10/15/2002 7:22:43 PM PDT by RedBloodedAmerican
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To: marktwain; Miss Marple
These attacks just show huge misjudgement on the part of Al Qaeda.

It's hard for me to see what the point of Al Qaeda is, other than evil devotion to radical Islamic hegemony. In other words, what's their endgame?

They've opened war on so many fronts, they seem unfocused, only striking wherever they see the defenseless.

31 posted on 10/15/2002 7:31:16 PM PDT by lds23
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To: Pokey78; dighton; Orual; general_re
The Guardianistas must be in a snit over this!

I picture vomit in the newsroom.

32 posted on 10/15/2002 7:34:38 PM PDT by aculeus
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To: veronica
"I can imagine how shocked and angry they are at the carnage. I have been reading the Aussie papers and the articles about the Bali bombing are heartbreaking and infuriating."

To be fair...LOADS of the Aussie Mainstream population are far more conservative and have been in favor of Iraq since the beginning. Indeed, the Australian government's initial reluctace to join in the war in Afghanistan right after 9/11 ("People might DIE!!") was met with an EXTREMELY negative reaction by the Aussie public.

Thanks, Aussie public. Fire your elected officials and replace them with officials who represent YOUR morality, needs and opinions PLEASE!! (I'm sure you're working on it)

33 posted on 10/15/2002 7:36:26 PM PDT by cake_crumb
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To: OldFriend
So, what's new?
34 posted on 10/15/2002 7:36:53 PM PDT by Guillermo
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To: Pokey78
42-37 in favor. Not exactly a resounding endorsement, but the point is apparently getting across.
35 posted on 10/15/2002 7:42:34 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: Pokey78
There has been a spectacular surge in support among British voters for military action against Iraq in the immediate aftermath of the terror attack in Bali, according to the latest Guardian/ICM poll.

Seems the Britts are starting to realize these terror attacks can happen to them also

36 posted on 10/15/2002 7:53:14 PM PDT by Mo1
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To: dirtboy
"There are some people on the left who rise to the occasion when events merit. Blair seems to be one of those."

Yeah but...Mr. Blair ( I HAVE to speak of him respectfully, since he gained such a -guarded- measure of respect since 9/11/01) is one of the original Clinton/LIEberman-ista Third Way people I have been after for several years...

It's just...at best, it's just weird...at worst...well, I want to give him the benefit of the doubt and therefore will.

37 posted on 10/15/2002 8:04:39 PM PDT by cake_crumb
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To: red-dawg
hey that looks like dashole on the backside there
38 posted on 10/15/2002 8:12:56 PM PDT by ATOMIC_PUNK
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To: lds23
It's hard for me to see what the point of Al Qaeda is, other than evil devotion to radical Islamic hegemony. In other words, what's their endgame?

I have no problem with seeing the endgame, at least as it was initially envisioned.

Al Qaeda attacks the U.S. and provokes it into further futile but enraging attacks on Muslim countries, a la Sudan and Afghanistan under Clinton.

Muslims become more enraged and emboldened. As more attacks on the U.S. occur, a revolt occurs in Saudi Arabia, and Osama is made the Caliph.

Under a true and just Caliph, the rest of the Muslim world is united, with the sword if necessary.

The problem with this end game is that it has way too many false assumptions built into it, not the least of which is "Allah is on our side". If you truely believe that Allah will sweep you into power, you have a delusion which will justify anything you wish to do.

In a small, detached way, I can sympathise with Osama. He acted with only a cartoon knowledge of the United States, handed to him by Clinton. He looked at how we reated to Lebanon, the African embassies, Somalia, and the Cole. He assumed that we would always act that way. He did not realize that those attacks were viewed as mildly irritatting annoyances of a housefly on a bull elephant. 9-11 was the equivelant of the housefly biting the bull elephant on the tip if his most tender element. It coulb be ignored no longer.

39 posted on 10/15/2002 8:20:45 PM PDT by marktwain
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To: aculeus
I picture vomit in the newsroom.

I picture a knot of sobbing drunks in the nearest pub.

40 posted on 10/15/2002 8:24:20 PM PDT by dighton
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