Replies

It would be quite a gamble to pull off this shooting and then try and make it across the Potomac before a roadblock could be set up. And every motel is going to notice anybody in a white van that check in. So I think we can surmise that perp either lives in VA, has a business there, a swapout car there, a support group/safehouse there, or the white van report is false. My hunch is that the police have a good degree of confidence that the van is white. So that gets us back to geography. The longer he is on the road, the greater the risk, and there are a limited number of crossings back into MD. To avoid these bridge chokepoints he'd have to go west of Cumberland before circling back, again raising time on the road and risk. MD was easier early on, becuase the level of response and manhunt was smaller, but as this has gone on he's had to pull back to his home turf(or at least away from choke points). Thus it looks like there is a N.VA aspect to this, which helps the police to narrow their focus some.

I still bet he'll be caught before the end of next week.

For the record, I still have no opinion as to who this may be, terrorist or home grown wack job.

But you wanna bet it's the same caliber weapon in this specific incident?

Thus it looks like there is a N.VA aspect to this, which helps the police to narrow their focus some. I still bet he'll be caught before the end of next week.

Good reasoning. I think you're right; he'll be caught soon. The police know more than they're babbling on TV. They've finally become smart enough not to broadcast the score.